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Started By
Message
re: Texas Early Voting News: Now STFU
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:56 am to TK421
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:56 am to TK421
quote:
I believe this is true, but the media (and some of my social media) would suggest there is a massive population of Republicans ready to vote for Biden
This may have been the case in 2016. Lots of people, myself included, listened to the media and thought Trump was bad news. I didn't vote against Trump, but I didn't vote for him.
But Trump has definitely gained support from those that either voted against him or didn't vote for him, including myself. And Biden isn't picking up conservative support by going further left.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 8:57 am
1
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:59 am to noonan
Nate Tin disagrees with OP
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:01 am to truthbetold
OP has nothing to do with polls. You’re posting polling averages.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:02 am to Adam Banks
Agreed. Trump came to Texas in 2016 because of Beto's threat to Cruz. Texas will be a blowout for Trump this time.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:02 am to Covingtontiger77
That’s incorrect information
Texas does not have party registration
So you have to take their primary history to get a good guess.
Of all the early voters, 29.1% had previous Republican primary voting history. And 0.7% had mixed primary history with the last primary they voted in as Republican
28.9% had no primary voting history at all
And 16% had no voting history ever
Texas does not have party registration
So you have to take their primary history to get a good guess.
Of all the early voters, 29.1% had previous Republican primary voting history. And 0.7% had mixed primary history with the last primary they voted in as Republican
28.9% had no primary voting history at all
And 16% had no voting history ever
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:02 am to GumboPot
quote:
The key assumption to a Biden win has been huge early Democrat turnout.
State after state after state that key assumption for Democrats has been eviscerated.
What about the mail in ballots? That’s what worries me.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:04 am to 20 ton
quote:
I believe the thing that makes me wonder is how could a gun grabbing idiot like Beto almost beat Cruz.
Unfortunately, there are morons who just don’t like Ted Cruz The person. Abbott won by about 14 and Cruz won by around 3, so that’s the only thing I can think of.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:05 am to loogaroo
The Dems have proven they will do anything without fear to regain power. More cheating is a no brainer
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:11 am to Covingtontiger77
I have read a number of liberals on Twitter that sincerely believe TX is so statistically close that it won't be called on election night
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:12 am to SidRich
quote:
Trump came to Texas in 2016 because of Beto's threat to Cruz.
Lion/Beta was 2018.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:15 am to GumboPot
quote:
The key assumption to a Biden win has been huge early Democrat turnout.
State after state after state that key assumption for Democrats has been eviscerated.
the irony of covid is that its going to make it easier for white collar and blue collar workers to vote. I dont think the polling is taking that into account. and them making it so easy to early vote and such is a Marlo Stanfield quote:
"You think its one way. but its the other way"
Seriously going to laugh my arse off this Tuesday.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:25 am to 20 ton
quote:
I believe the thing that makes me wonder is how could a gun grabbing idiot like Beto almost beat Cruz
He passed himself off as Hispanic so he got a lot of votes that way.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:38 am to mtntiger
quote:
Take Austin, Houston, Dallas, San Antonio out of the equation, and it's even more lopsided.
FIFY
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:39 am to noonan
quote:There weren't three people in the entire state who thought that man was Hispanic.
(Beto O'Rourke) passed himself off as Hispanic so he got a lot of votes that way
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:47 am to mtntiger
quote:
Take Austin out of the equation, and it's even more lopsided.
Houston, El Paso, San Antonio, and Dallas will all be blue as well... just not as dark of a shade
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:51 am to RammerJammer91
That was the PRAVDA HAMMER NARRATIVE in 2016. "Cruz is unlikeable" What spew! What commie pilfered nonsense!
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:51 am to Covingtontiger77
Either last night or this morning, I heard stupid NBC said that Texas is officially a toss up. I laughed out loud for reals.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:52 am to 20 ton
quote:
I believe the thing that makes me wonder is how could a gun grabbing idiot like Beto almost beat Cruz
Beto had a lot more money to his campaign, over double the amount with quite a bit coming in the last week
Posted on 10/30/20 at 10:05 am to Covingtontiger77
Assuming crossover votes are a wash and indies lean Trump that’s a 20 point win. Honestly increased Hispanic trump support might mean more democrat registered voters vote Trump.
The left will melt if Trump wins, but Texas trending back to a double digit GOP advantage would really piss them off because that puts Texas going blue even further away than they expect
The left will melt if Trump wins, but Texas trending back to a double digit GOP advantage would really piss them off because that puts Texas going blue even further away than they expect
Posted on 10/30/20 at 10:07 am to Scruffy
quote:
That was the same thing as in WI threads.
It isn’t actually data released by the state.
It is a guesstimate by a group calked TargetSmart which uses location and consumer data to estimate party affiliation.
Anyone know how accurate they were on this in 2016 though? If their model gets within 2-3 points then it’s close enough to get an idea
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