Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us The Blue Wall is starting to Crack | Page 2 | Political Talk
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re: The Blue Wall is starting to Crack

Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:55 am to
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
90026 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:55 am to
quote:

Yet nobody on here thinks he can win Pennsylvania


other than doom and gloomers and haters who has said this??
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84065 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:57 am to
He's going to win PA by over 200K.
Posted by RidiculousHype
The Hatch
Member since Sep 2007
10827 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Have you factored in the +400K gain for R's in registered voters since 2020?

No, but maybe that will be a big factor for Election Day turnout.

The raw R numbers make sense. They will be slightly better than 2020.

It's the D numbers that are screwy. They're way behind 2020, but is that just returning to the post-pandemic norm?

Nobody really knows, and the entire election pretty much hinges on it.
Posted by Hogbit
Benton, AR
Member since Aug 2019
3091 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:57 am to
quote:

All the cheating comes from mail in and early voting. Its much harder to cheat on election day.

Exactly why I tell you assholes to stop voting early.
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25492 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Yet nobody on here thinks he can win Pennsylvania


Liar
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
24285 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:01 am to
If the early votes are mostly low propensity voter for Rs that would be great news.

Turn on on Tuesday will still be key, but there seems to be a lot of data pointing to Kamala not exciting the base.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84065 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:02 am to
It is returning to post pandemic norms. Kamala is going to perform worse than Biden in PA. Again, Trump will win PA by over 200K.
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
56137 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:02 am to
quote:

I tell you assholes to stop voting early.


Well tell this a-hole the difference between voting early on a machine seven days ahead of voting on Nov. 5th on a machine also.
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
12825 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:03 am to
quote:

It's the D numbers that are screwy. They're way behind 2020, but is that just returning to the post-pandemic norm?

Nobody really knows

There is no motivation for the average democrat to go vote...even they know Kamala sucks.

The Trump hate train has run out of gas for most.
Posted by RidiculousHype
The Hatch
Member since Sep 2007
10827 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:04 am to
quote:


It is returning to post pandemic norms. Kamala is going to perform worse than Biden in PA. Again, Trump will win PA by over 200K.

I meant in the sense of D's being less inclined to vote by mail this time around.

But yeah, it could absolutely be what you're saying too.
Posted by junkfunky
Member since Jan 2011
36070 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:05 am to
Crackers
Posted by jrobic4
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
12810 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:06 am to
Jim Acosta should be shot
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84065 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:07 am to
Dems are well-established early voters going back before COVID (some of that is harvesting mail-in votes). They are not suddenly going to be heavy election day voters to make up for low early vote for no reason.

We know why R's are voting early much more than the usual. Trump and the RNC have encouraged it.
Posted by joshua2571
Member since Nov 2015
8293 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:10 am to
Please let Donald Trump to win for this board sanity. This board will be insufferable if Trump loses this election. It is going to be a tight race either way.
Posted by Boomdaddy65201
BoCoMo
Member since Mar 2020
4324 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:11 am to
quote:

The Dems are already pointing fingers before the morning of election day, which generally means they know they are up shite creek and want to deflect blame from themselves.


Watch the House of Biden catch the wrecking ball.

They never had any real power; manipulation, corruption, compression, sure, but weight, not so much. The strings on that marionette will be completely severed as it’s chucked under the Greyhound. Sure, it will be glorious and they’ve earned every cruelty coming to them, but unless we can shear off the puppeteers glove in the process it’s an exercise in futility.
Posted by shinerfan
Duckworld(Earth-616)
Member since Sep 2009
28341 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:12 am to
quote:

Yet nobody on here thinks he can win Pennsylvania



Looks like a coin flip to me.
Posted by shinerfan
Duckworld(Earth-616)
Member since Sep 2009
28341 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Have you factored in the +400K gain for R's in registered voters since 2020?



Any word on whether the Amish are voting early or waiting? They have a longstanding tradition of staying out of politics but when their elders reversed course and said they're voting this year that means they're all voting this year. That's what? 150-200k new voters?
Posted by Hogbit
Benton, AR
Member since Aug 2019
3091 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:19 am to
They have less time to manipulate votes. Duh
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
56137 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:39 am to
quote:

They have less time to manipulate votes.


Duh, we don't use Dominion machines here in Arkansas.
Posted by CidCock
Member since Sep 2007
Member since Feb 2011
8691 posts
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:43 am to
I'm still worried that a lot of the early R votes are usual election day voters and we won't have quite the ED turnout edge as in the past. Still, would rather the fiirewall not be in place obviously.
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