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Message
re: The Blue Wall is starting to Crack
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:55 am to dallastiger55
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:55 am to dallastiger55
quote:
Yet nobody on here thinks he can win Pennsylvania
other than doom and gloomers and haters who has said this??
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:57 am to Fat Bastard
He's going to win PA by over 200K.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:57 am to Jwho77
quote:
Have you factored in the +400K gain for R's in registered voters since 2020?
No, but maybe that will be a big factor for Election Day turnout.
The raw R numbers make sense. They will be slightly better than 2020.
It's the D numbers that are screwy. They're way behind 2020, but is that just returning to the post-pandemic norm?
Nobody really knows, and the entire election pretty much hinges on it.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:57 am to anc
quote:
All the cheating comes from mail in and early voting. Its much harder to cheat on election day.
Exactly why I tell you assholes to stop voting early.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:57 am to dallastiger55
quote:
Yet nobody on here thinks he can win Pennsylvania
Liar
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:01 am to John Barron
If the early votes are mostly low propensity voter for Rs that would be great news.
Turn on on Tuesday will still be key, but there seems to be a lot of data pointing to Kamala not exciting the base.
Turn on on Tuesday will still be key, but there seems to be a lot of data pointing to Kamala not exciting the base.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:02 am to RidiculousHype
It is returning to post pandemic norms. Kamala is going to perform worse than Biden in PA. Again, Trump will win PA by over 200K.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:02 am to Hogbit
quote:
I tell you assholes to stop voting early.
Well tell this a-hole the difference between voting early on a machine seven days ahead of voting on Nov. 5th on a machine also.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:03 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
It's the D numbers that are screwy. They're way behind 2020, but is that just returning to the post-pandemic norm?
Nobody really knows
There is no motivation for the average democrat to go vote...even they know Kamala sucks.
The Trump hate train has run out of gas for most.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:04 am to Jwho77
quote:
It is returning to post pandemic norms. Kamala is going to perform worse than Biden in PA. Again, Trump will win PA by over 200K.
I meant in the sense of D's being less inclined to vote by mail this time around.
But yeah, it could absolutely be what you're saying too.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:06 am to John Barron
Jim Acosta should be shot
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:07 am to RidiculousHype
Dems are well-established early voters going back before COVID (some of that is harvesting mail-in votes). They are not suddenly going to be heavy election day voters to make up for low early vote for no reason.
We know why R's are voting early much more than the usual. Trump and the RNC have encouraged it.
We know why R's are voting early much more than the usual. Trump and the RNC have encouraged it.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:10 am to John Barron
Please let Donald Trump to win for this board sanity. This board will be insufferable if Trump loses this election. It is going to be a tight race either way.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:11 am to teke184
quote:
The Dems are already pointing fingers before the morning of election day, which generally means they know they are up shite creek and want to deflect blame from themselves.
Watch the House of Biden catch the wrecking ball.
They never had any real power; manipulation, corruption, compression, sure, but weight, not so much. The strings on that marionette will be completely severed as it’s chucked under the Greyhound. Sure, it will be glorious and they’ve earned every cruelty coming to them, but unless we can shear off the puppeteers glove in the process it’s an exercise in futility.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:12 am to dallastiger55
quote:
Yet nobody on here thinks he can win Pennsylvania
Looks like a coin flip to me.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:17 am to Jwho77
quote:
Have you factored in the +400K gain for R's in registered voters since 2020?
Any word on whether the Amish are voting early or waiting? They have a longstanding tradition of staying out of politics but when their elders reversed course and said they're voting this year that means they're all voting this year. That's what? 150-200k new voters?
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:19 am to Homesick Tiger
They have less time to manipulate votes. Duh
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:39 am to Hogbit
quote:
They have less time to manipulate votes.
Duh, we don't use Dominion machines here in Arkansas.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:43 am to Homesick Tiger
I'm still worried that a lot of the early R votes are usual election day voters and we won't have quite the ED turnout edge as in the past. Still, would rather the fiirewall not be in place obviously.
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