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Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:10 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
It all will come down to turnout. Trump voters are highly energized, Biden voters aren't.
What is the mail in ballot rules in PA? I am sure Biden will pick up the "votes" needed in the back of some Ford Prius or some VW van.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:11 am to StopRobot
quote:
The RCP Average has Biden up 7 in Biden
OK kid, I'm going to explain this to you one last time:
When your numerator is a LIE......
And your denominator is a LIE......
The resulting fraction is ALWAYS a lie.....
A rolling average of INTENTIONALLY MISLEADING POLLS is proof of nothing, idiot.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:11 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
They are very energized to vote trump out.
That's a great strategy, like voting for Section 8 in your neighborhood.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:12 am to StopRobot
quote:
The RCP Average has Biden up 7 in Biden
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:12 am to StopRobot
His approvals have been identical to your Muzzie Messiah Obama for quite some time....try again, alter boy.... 
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:14 am to Jake88
Almost every poll says that TRUMP voters are more motivated and are excited to vote for him. Biden voters don’t really care much for Biden and are voting against TRUMP.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:20 am to Jake88
quote:
Just look at 2004 and 2012. The incumbents saw what Trump is seeing right now. A beneficial move in registrations for their party in key states.
As of now, Philly and its suburbs are showing a greater increase in Democrat registration since 2016. However, everywhere else, most notably Western PA is showing an increase in Republican registration. That includes Alleghney Co. (Pittsburgh). Allegheny is the second largest county in the state. Trump lost the county by 16.5 points in 2016. If he can cut into that even slightly, it could bode very well for him overall.
But, the registration trends could be fool's gold. It could be that a lot of the "new" Republicans were simply former registered Democrats who always (or mostly) voted Republican anyway. They just got tired of "officially" being Democrats so they finally changed their party. In short, the registration changed but the vote didn't.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:21 am to Clemsontigers02
Anything within MOE is good for both sides. Outside MOE, either you step up your ground game or concede.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:22 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
They are very energized to destroy the nation.
FIFY
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:22 am to Quidam65
quote:
either you step up your ground game or concede.
If ground game is that important than Trump should be killing it. Didn't the Biden team just start knocking on doors last week?
Posted on 10/13/20 at 10:46 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
It all will come down to turnout. Trump voters are highly energized, Biden voters aren't.
People were literally waiting 10 hours to vote yesterday. Turnout will be high. Everywhere you look, you are being told to vote.
This post was edited on 10/13/20 at 10:47 am
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:08 am to StopRobot
quote:
Anti Trump voters are energized
Nothing like being energized to vote for shutdowns, losing your jobs, and sending patients to nursing homes. Y'all get energized over the weirdest things.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:10 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
Historically, I agree with you. This is not a typical election though.
I agree, it's the election after the Dim's spied on and framed a president and an election where they have told everyone they're gonna cheat with mail in ballots.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:20 am to Jake88
quote:
Biden up 2.5 is still a good number for Trump. It is within the 3.4 margin of error. In fact, I think it is a great number for Trump because the enthusiasm is on his side by double digits.
But the 2 polls that have Biden leading PA by 2.0-2.5 points have a track record of stripping away the bad methods that the MSM polls use to give Biden 8, 12, 16 point leads.
We need Trump tied or slightly ahead in PA in Trafalgar/PPD.
This post was edited on 10/13/20 at 11:21 am
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:23 am to RidiculousHype
quote:
But the 2 polls that have Biden leading PA by 2.0-2.5 points have a track record of stripping away the bad methods that the MSM polls use to give Biden 8, 12, 16 point leads.
We need Trump tied or slightly ahead in PA in Trafalgar/PPD.
Exactly. It's looking like Trump comes one state short now, which is why it's interesting that he's not campaigning more heavily in the rust belt (although maybe his internals are telling him something different).
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:24 am to Clemsontigers02
My guess is Trump is mostly shoring up the states he thinks he'll win by a few points right now. Then, the last week of election, he barnstorms the upper Rustbelt with 2-3 rallies per day.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:26 am to GeneralLee
quote:
We need Trump tied or slightly ahead in PA in Trafalgar/PPD.
This is 100% correct.
I only trust Trafalgar.
This post was edited on 10/13/20 at 11:28 am
Posted on 10/13/20 at 11:29 am to Clemsontigers02
They have rigged this thing to where they are confident it's a PA Win for Biden.
SAD...3rd World elections = 3rd World consequences
SAD...3rd World elections = 3rd World consequences
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