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re: Update: War in Iran thread
Posted on 2/26/26 at 11:35 am to Stat M Repairman
Posted on 2/26/26 at 11:35 am to Stat M Repairman
2
Posted on 2/26/26 at 11:36 am to VolInBavaria
Posted on 2/26/26 at 11:44 am to Victor R Franko
quote:
Sorry for being so long winded, but with no tanks rolling in, or boots on the ground, the Iranian people will have to carry the load after we kick the hornets nest.
It worked for Ghaddafi's Libya though in hindsight it doesn't seem to have been a good trade between a muzzled Ghaddafi for a bunch of jihadists. Iran seems to have had enough of that.
Posted on 2/26/26 at 11:45 am to VolInBavaria
quote:
We expect Iran to wage war on multiple fronts if subjected to a military strike US
Posted on 2/26/26 at 11:50 am to VolInBavaria
That's an impressive amount of cook-off explosions.
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Posted on 2/26/26 at 11:56 am to G&P
quote:
U.S. demands presented to Iran in Geneva:
- Destroy all three nuclear sites: Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan
- Transfer all enriched uranium to the U.S.
- No sunset clauses, meaning restrictions would be permanent
- 0 enrichment, though the Tehran reactor could remain
- Limited upfront sanctions relief, with more only if Iran complies
Might as well add all the Ayatollahs lining up and sucking Trump's cock, because that's just as likely to happen.
Posted on 2/26/26 at 11:57 am to Victor R Franko
Not taking it that way and you aren’t wrong about most of that.
But the world is wildly different now and Iran regime change is not the end goal.
But the world is wildly different now and Iran regime change is not the end goal.
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:05 pm to METAL
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:06 pm to VolInBavaria
Here is what we've moved into the region:
As of February 26, 2026, the United States has mobilized its largest military force in the Middle East since the 2003 invasion of Iraq. This buildup involves significant assets from every major branch, primarily concentrated in the Persian Gulf, Arabian Sea, and surrounding airbases.
U.S. Navy
The Navy has deployed approximately 20 ships to the region, representing roughly 40% of all operationally ready U.S. vessels.
Carrier Strike Groups: Two aircraft carriers are now in theater:
USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72): Currently in the Arabian Sea with its strike group, including the destroyers USS Spruance, USS Frank E. Petersen Jr., and USS Michael Murphy.
USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78): Recently ordered from the Caribbean and seen transiting the Strait of Gibraltar toward the Mediterranean as of late February.
Surface Combatants:
Destroyers: At least nine guided-missile destroyers (including USS Mitscher, USS McFaul, and USS Pinckney) armed with Tomahawk cruise missiles.
Littoral Combat Ships: Three ships—USS Santa Barbara, USS Tulsa, and USS Canberra—are operating directly within the Persian Gulf for near-shore operations.
Submarines: While exact numbers are classified, at least four nuclear-powered submarines are reported in the vicinity.
U.S. Air Force
A massive "airbridge" has moved hundreds of aircraft to regional bases in Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Israel.
Fighter/Attack Jets: Over 120 land-based aircraft are currently in the region, including F-22 Raptors, F-35 Lightning IIs, F-15E Strike Eagles, and F-16s.
Strategic Assets:
F-22 Deployment: For the first time, 12 F-22s were deployed to Ovda Airbase in Israel as of February 24.
Support Aircraft: More than 100 fuel tankers and 200 cargo planes (C-17s and C-5 Galaxies) have been tracked funneling equipment and munitions into the theater.
Surveillance: E-3 Sentry AWACS and MQ-4 Triton drones are conducting near-constant patrols over the Strait of Hormuz.
Other Branches & Support
U.S. Army: Has reinforced regional Patriot and THAAD missile defense systems to protect bases in Qatar, Bahrain, and the UAE from potential ballistic missile threats.
Logistics: Over 150 strategic airlift flights have delivered thousands of tons of cargo, ranging from advanced munitions to ground support equipment, to sustain a potential long-term campaign.
As of February 26, 2026, the United States has mobilized its largest military force in the Middle East since the 2003 invasion of Iraq. This buildup involves significant assets from every major branch, primarily concentrated in the Persian Gulf, Arabian Sea, and surrounding airbases.
U.S. Navy
The Navy has deployed approximately 20 ships to the region, representing roughly 40% of all operationally ready U.S. vessels.
Carrier Strike Groups: Two aircraft carriers are now in theater:
USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72): Currently in the Arabian Sea with its strike group, including the destroyers USS Spruance, USS Frank E. Petersen Jr., and USS Michael Murphy.
USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78): Recently ordered from the Caribbean and seen transiting the Strait of Gibraltar toward the Mediterranean as of late February.
Surface Combatants:
Destroyers: At least nine guided-missile destroyers (including USS Mitscher, USS McFaul, and USS Pinckney) armed with Tomahawk cruise missiles.
Littoral Combat Ships: Three ships—USS Santa Barbara, USS Tulsa, and USS Canberra—are operating directly within the Persian Gulf for near-shore operations.
Submarines: While exact numbers are classified, at least four nuclear-powered submarines are reported in the vicinity.
U.S. Air Force
A massive "airbridge" has moved hundreds of aircraft to regional bases in Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Israel.
Fighter/Attack Jets: Over 120 land-based aircraft are currently in the region, including F-22 Raptors, F-35 Lightning IIs, F-15E Strike Eagles, and F-16s.
Strategic Assets:
F-22 Deployment: For the first time, 12 F-22s were deployed to Ovda Airbase in Israel as of February 24.
Support Aircraft: More than 100 fuel tankers and 200 cargo planes (C-17s and C-5 Galaxies) have been tracked funneling equipment and munitions into the theater.
Surveillance: E-3 Sentry AWACS and MQ-4 Triton drones are conducting near-constant patrols over the Strait of Hormuz.
Other Branches & Support
U.S. Army: Has reinforced regional Patriot and THAAD missile defense systems to protect bases in Qatar, Bahrain, and the UAE from potential ballistic missile threats.
Logistics: Over 150 strategic airlift flights have delivered thousands of tons of cargo, ranging from advanced munitions to ground support equipment, to sustain a potential long-term campaign.
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:23 pm to Lizardman2
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:32 pm to METAL
quote:
But the world is wildly different now and Iran regime change is not the end goal.
I’d say that’s exactly what the end goal is
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:35 pm to GumboPot
quote:
Iran is the bait. Taiwan is the prize.
I may be wrong, but I'm not sure the US will commit to all-out war with China over Taiwan. I am pretty sure that China will go to war with the US over Taiwan. Same principle as Russia and Ukraine; you encroach too far into a superpower's domain and they will treat it as an invasion.
This post was edited on 2/26/26 at 12:36 pm
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:42 pm to GumboPot
Can’t bet on Polymarket in the US
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:47 pm to METAL
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:47 pm to VolInBavaria
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:48 pm to VolInBavaria
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:49 pm to wdhalgren
We absolutely would go to war with China over Taiwan
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:50 pm to BOHICAMAN
quote:
I’d say that’s exactly what the end goal is
Yeah that might not be what someone wants, but it’s sure as hell what Israel is pushing for.
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:54 pm to Auburn1968
quote:
It worked for Ghaddafi's Libya though in hindsight it doesn't seem to have been a good trade between a muzzled Ghaddafi for a bunch of jihadists. Iran seems to have had enough of that.
Ghaddafi got taken out because he was trying to setup a pan African/arab/muslim currency outside the current banking structure.
Posted on 2/26/26 at 12:59 pm to GumboPot
quote:
The fact that Iran refuses to accept ballistic missiles as part of the negotiations is reason enough to strike them. Iran tested an intercontinental ballistic missile last month that in theory is capable of hitting parts of the US including the major population centers on both coasts. That means that they pose a threat to the USA itself now. Even if it’s just a conventional warhead it is still a threat to us.
That risk while not zero is practically zero.
A nonzero risk for a country whose unofficial motto is Death to America possessing weapons that can reach American cities is too high of a risk.
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