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Started By
Message
WSJ: CIA didn't think Ven. oppo was strong enough to run country
Posted on 1/6/26 at 9:21 am
Posted on 1/6/26 at 9:21 am
WSJ this morning:
Cliff notes: No one wants another Iraq.
WSJ
quote:
A recent classified U.S. intelligence assessment determined top members of Nicolás Maduro’s regime—including Vice President Delcy Rodríguez—would be best positioned to lead a temporary government in Caracas and maintain near-term stability if the autocrat lost power, people familiar with the matter said.
The analysis by the Central Intelligence Agency was briefed to President Trump and shared with a small circle of senior administration officials, according to two of the people. It was a factor in Trump’s decision to back Maduro’s vice president instead of opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize winner María Corina Machado, some of the people said....
The intelligence report, the people said, cited Rodríguez and two other top Venezuelan regime figures as possible interim rulers who could keep order. The people familiar with the assessment didn’t identify the other two officials, but besides Rodríguez, the two most influential power brokers are Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello and Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino.
The two hard-liners, who command Venezuela’s police and military, could undo any efforts at a transition, according to former U.S. and Venezuelan officials. Both face U.S. criminal charges similar to those filed against Maduro and are unlikely to cooperate with Washington.
The report concluded that Edmundo González, widely seen as the actual winner of the 2024 election against Maduro, and Machado would struggle to gain legitimacy as leaders while facing resistance from pro-regime security services, drug-trafficking networks and political opponents.
Latin America analysts have previously cautioned, including during Trump’s first term, that Maduro’s ouster without a capable replacement would likely empower armed military factions, rival politicians and criminal groups within Venezuela as they fought for control, leading to a security crisis in the country.
David Smilde, a professor at Tulane University who focuses on Venezuela, said it was “magical realism” to expect that Machado or another opposition leader could sweep into power. The better course after ousting Maduro, he said, was to compel Rodríguez to initiate a transition of power, but the problem is that it doesn’t appear that “anyone in the U.S. is actively engaging in negotiations.”
Cliff notes: No one wants another Iraq.
WSJ
13
Posted on 1/6/26 at 9:25 am to prplhze2000
Defund the CIA.
Posted on 1/6/26 at 9:29 am to prplhze2000
Posted on 1/6/26 at 9:32 am to prplhze2000
The plan is probably to dangle some carrots.
Posted on 1/6/26 at 9:43 am to prplhze2000
Needs to move slowly and dismantle from inside to reduce cartel reactions while actually moving against the cartel themselves
Posted on 1/6/26 at 9:52 am to JimEverett
Carrot and stick
Posted on 1/6/26 at 9:55 am to mauser
And they have seen what the stick will do.
Posted on 1/6/26 at 10:02 am to prplhze2000
Posted on 1/6/26 at 10:02 am to prplhze2000
frick the CIA.
When are we snatching these two up?
quote:
the two most influential power brokers are Interior Minister Diosdado Cabello and Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino.
The two hard-liners, who command Venezuela’s police and military, could undo any efforts at a transition, according to former U.S. and Venezuelan officials. Both face U.S. criminal charges similar to those filed against Maduro and are unlikely to cooperate with Washington.
When are we snatching these two up?
Posted on 1/6/26 at 10:11 am to prplhze2000
quote:
The better course after ousting Maduro, he said, was to compel Rodríguez to initiate a transition of power, but the problem is that it doesn’t appear that “anyone in the U.S. is actively engaging in negotiations.”
Which is why she is the only one in Maduro’s circle that doesn’t have a bounty on her head. They’ve been talking to her.
Posted on 1/6/26 at 10:16 am to prplhze2000
quote:
A recent classified U.S. intelligence assessment
quote:
The analysis by the Central Intelligence Agency was briefed to President Trump and shared with a small circle of senior administration officials
Shouldn't be too hard to figured out who leaked the CLASSIFIED assessment and press charges then.
I don't give a shite about this report, but I am really, really sick and tired of the leaks within government to the press.
Posted on 1/6/26 at 10:26 am to LSUbest
quote:
Defund the CIA.
And get national security advice from Tiger Droppings.
Posted on 1/6/26 at 10:27 am to TigerFanatic99
Might be a friendly leak.
Probably at least 50 people saw that memo if not 200 or more between CIA, President and his staff, Rubio and his people, Hegseth and DOD staff, getting the idea?
Probably at least 50 people saw that memo if not 200 or more between CIA, President and his staff, Rubio and his people, Hegseth and DOD staff, getting the idea?
Posted on 1/6/26 at 10:30 am to prplhze2000
quote:
DOD
What’s this
Posted on 1/6/26 at 10:33 am to prplhze2000
It wouldn't matter how Trump handled this, the Marxist/Globalist would question and poke holes.
Posted on 1/6/26 at 10:34 am to prplhze2000
Or maybe, just maybe......its a press release by the CIA handed to the the WSJ to fkup the transition and the Trump admin???????
Why in the world, in any universe would we want to get rid of a tyrannical dictator......and leave his people in place? Wouldnt that prevent any transition?
Why in the world, in any universe would we want to get rid of a tyrannical dictator......and leave his people in place? Wouldnt that prevent any transition?
Posted on 1/6/26 at 11:07 am to prplhze2000
So replace the old boss with the new boss who is no different?
Why would Trump listen to the CIA? Their track record in South America isn’t stellar
Why would Trump listen to the CIA? Their track record in South America isn’t stellar
Posted on 1/6/26 at 2:56 pm to aTmTexas Dillo
They can't be allowed to continue running our foreign affairs and killing our soldiers. They are off the chain and rabid.
Posted on 1/6/26 at 3:06 pm to LSUbest
quote:
Defund the CIA.
you do realize that their intelligence assessment is against regime change, right? this is the type of intel that saves us from a messy entanglement.
And the Maduro Op wouldn’t have been possible without the CIA. I know the agency has a terrible track record, but you have to recognize its value when used properly.
Posted on 1/6/26 at 3:09 pm to geauxEdO
quote:
you do realize that their intelligence assessment is against regime change, right? this is the type of intel that saves us from a messy entanglement.
The CIA put this regime in power. They have a conflict of interest in this evaluation.
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