Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Who has the crystal ball on mortgage rates? | Money Talk
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Who has the crystal ball on mortgage rates?

Posted on 1/16/26 at 8:00 pm
Posted by GeauxTime9
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2010
6963 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 8:00 pm
What’s the anticipation for the next 30-60 days? Under contract on a new build curious to see what rate we’ll get.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
77988 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 8:26 pm to
Who cares if the rates are 3 percent or 8. The best time to buy a house is 20 years ago. The second best time is now.
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
12274 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 9:00 pm to
They are trending downward.
Posted by GeauxTime9
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2010
6963 posts
Posted on 1/17/26 at 6:18 am to
quote:

Who cares if the rates are 3 percent or 8. The best time to buy a house is 20 years ago.


Unfortunately I don’t have a Time Machine. Was looking for a little insight on how they were projecting for the near future.
Posted by TigerMan327
Elsewhere
Member since Feb 2011
6102 posts
Posted on 1/17/26 at 6:39 am to
Next fed meeting is in two weeks. Betting odds say low chance of another cut.

We just had 3 consecutive interest rate cuts. Count your lucky stars and close the deal
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
11177 posts
Posted on 1/17/26 at 7:02 am to
As of Thursday rates were at the lowest point in almost 3 years.

If you can afford it and are going to stay in home for a longtime go ahead and pull trigger you can always refinance if rates plunge further. I wouldn’t be in a rush as housing market is slowly correcting it’s not going to be a ‘crash’ but just a slow downward slide over many many months. It’s a buyers market most places now and only going to continue to move favorably towards buyer as time goes on.
Posted by bubba102105
Member since Aug 2017
525 posts
Posted on 1/17/26 at 7:45 am to
I was just offered a 4.99% refi rate through VA IRRL program. Currently at 5.5. BIL purchasing a home end of month and has 5.8 locked in. Idk why such a huge gap
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
94631 posts
Posted on 1/17/26 at 9:00 am to
quote:

I was just offered a 4.99% refi rate through VA IRRL program. Currently at 5.5. BIL purchasing a home end of month and has 5.8 locked in. Idk why such a huge gap


There are certain posters on this site (one above you) who will claim this is not possible

Yeah i know they are very dumb. Thats a solid offer

Rates will continue to go lower and Govy loans will be mid 4s
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10679 posts
Posted on 1/17/26 at 9:18 am to
6.00 seems like a tough nut to crack… no matter what the fed does… Fed sets the short term rate, not 10 year- which is what mortgage rates are based on. Obviously influences, but wouldn’t expect a direct correlation even if we got another .25 cut. Which isn’t even expected. Pause is. I would expect rates to hover around 6-6.5 for a bit. Which is a pretty good rate historically. But that’s just like my opinion man…

Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10679 posts
Posted on 1/17/26 at 9:20 am to
quote:

I was just offered a 4.99% refi rate through VA IRRL program. Currently at 5.5. BIL purchasing a home end of month and has 5.8 locked in. Idk why such a huge gap


Points/fees/incentives… not exactly a booming market. People have to be aggressive.
Posted by Tiger4life306
Member since Apr 2016
694 posts
Posted on 1/17/26 at 9:35 am to
Whatever you’re getting quoted for now on your permanent mortgage, it’s probably going to be that or within .15% of that. Wouldn’t expect it to change much in your timeframe.

.25-.50% would be a huge win imo and best chance of that happening would have to be very close to that 60 day mark
This post was edited on 1/17/26 at 9:38 am
Posted by Suntiger
STG or BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
35807 posts
Posted on 1/17/26 at 9:36 am to
quote:

even if we got another .25 cut. Which isn’t even expected. Pause is. I would expect rates to hover around 6-6.5 for a bit. Which is a pretty good rate historically.


My first home was financed at 6.25% and I thought that was a great rate at the time. Covid rate cuts where you could finance at 2.5-3.5% were really a one time thing and people shouldn’t expect sub 5% rate IMO. That’s historically a very low rate.
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