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Trump's bluff last night revealed three important things about Iran
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:34 am
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:34 am
With the top 2-3 tiers of Iranian leadership gone to meet their virgins, biggest problem in negotiating a wind down, would be who to negotiate with.
1. The quality of the Iran command / control network is much better understood by examining the Iran compliance with the cease fire. There will be areas of full compliance [good] and areas of poor compliance [bad]. This info is critical to planning support/retaliation responses over the next several weeks.
2. Having live Iranians identified makes negotiating so much easier to accomplish and provides lots of data about their personnel characteristics, contacts, where abouts, tribes, influence etc. And if negotiations fail we know who to eliminate next.
3. Iran has demonstrated it's not a complete death cult that cannot be negotiated with. Iran influential people do have limits on how far they want to be bombed back to the Stone Age. Knowing that is very useful.
In summary, Mossad and Cia have a wealth of new information to follow up on that was not available with Iranian leadership hiding in under ground tunnels. I suspect they will be working 24 hours per day working on next steps.
Oil dropping 20% last night, resupply military stuff, a bit of rest are all great things for the western combatants . Iran on the other hand will have no secrets, repairs, supplies, or communications. Iranian leadership will have 5 cameras watching them take a dump.
1. The quality of the Iran command / control network is much better understood by examining the Iran compliance with the cease fire. There will be areas of full compliance [good] and areas of poor compliance [bad]. This info is critical to planning support/retaliation responses over the next several weeks.
2. Having live Iranians identified makes negotiating so much easier to accomplish and provides lots of data about their personnel characteristics, contacts, where abouts, tribes, influence etc. And if negotiations fail we know who to eliminate next.
3. Iran has demonstrated it's not a complete death cult that cannot be negotiated with. Iran influential people do have limits on how far they want to be bombed back to the Stone Age. Knowing that is very useful.
In summary, Mossad and Cia have a wealth of new information to follow up on that was not available with Iranian leadership hiding in under ground tunnels. I suspect they will be working 24 hours per day working on next steps.
Oil dropping 20% last night, resupply military stuff, a bit of rest are all great things for the western combatants . Iran on the other hand will have no secrets, repairs, supplies, or communications. Iranian leadership will have 5 cameras watching them take a dump.
7
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:35 am to Trevaylin
quote:
3. Iran has demonstrated it's not a complete death cult that cannot be negotiated with.
It was always propaganda to suggest they were.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:36 am to rmnldr
quote:
It was always propaganda to suggest they were.
The regime is still in place, so that bridge wasn't even crossed.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:36 am to Trevaylin
quote:
Trump's bluff last night revealed three important things about Iran
1. They're FOS
2. They're FOS
3. They're FOS
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:39 am to Trevaylin
quote:
Iran has demonstrated it's not a complete death cult that cannot be negotiated with.
They never have been. They’ve always had proxies handle their affairs,
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:42 am to Trevaylin
So basically what your saying is that this Administration has no plans on a permanent peace deal and they are just planning in breaking another ‘deal’ in order to blow Iranian leaders and their armies up again.
At what point do think this enemy will wise up and realize the US cannot be trusted?
At what point do think this enemy will wise up and realize the US cannot be trusted?
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:43 am to Trevaylin
Don't think it was a bluff.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:45 am to Trevaylin
quote:
This info is critical to planning support/retaliation responses over the next several weeks.
I don't know how to tell you this but they are the ones retaliating
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:49 am to Augustus516
quote:
So basically what your saying is that this Administration has no plans on a permanent peace deal and they are just planning in breaking another ‘deal’ in order to blow Iranian leaders and their armies up again.
There never can be a permanent peace deal because the next time a leftist POS president gets in office, they’ll probably give them their uranium back and send nuclear scientists there to help them rebuild their nuclear program. I’m somewhat joking but it would t surprise me if they did. Saying that, a peace deal will only be for as long as Trump is in office and they know that. The global establishment will let it go back to status quo as soon as Trump is out.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:49 am to rmnldr
35000 demonstrators executed in January is death cult reality
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:50 am to SlowFlowPro
Tier 1,2 and most of 3 is blown up, who the new guy?
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:51 am to Trevaylin
Yep. Iranians are good people.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:51 am to wryder1
quote:
There never can be a permanent peace deal because the next time a leftist POS president gets in office, they’ll probably give them their uranium back and send nuclear scientists there to help them rebuild their nuclear program
quote:
I’m somewhat joking
I should hope so
quote:
peace deal will only be for as long as Trump is in office and they know that
Yeah...the dude that started a pre-emptive war against them is their only hope for peace.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:52 am to Powerman
kinda said that with the good/bad assessment opportunity
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:54 am to Burt Reynolds
90 % could be rational. The rest are more like democrates
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:55 am to rmnldr
quote:
It was always propaganda to suggest they were.
Exactly right. Maybe the Iranian Army grows 400,000 sets of balls and confronts the IRGC. If not, is this the ultimate good cop bad cop routine?
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:57 am to Powerman
two years from now the Gulf Cooperation Council may be more than a wealth club, becoming much more a military defense club
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:58 am to rmnldr
quote:
3. Iran has demonstrated it's not a complete death cult that cannot be negotiated with.
Despite what their religion says, most of them want to live and will make deals to make sure they do.
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:59 am to SlowFlowPro
You’re not exactly wrong but the more established hardliners aren’t around. The problem with that is after generations of creating additional hardliners they may not have great experience but maybe more driven
Posted on 4/8/26 at 9:00 am to Trevaylin
quote:
35000 demonstrators executed in January is death cult reality
How many regimes in history have violently crushed dissent yet we don’t call them irrational death cults?
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