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Message
Asylum Grant Rates Plummet Under Trump
Posted on 4/9/26 at 8:56 am
Posted on 4/9/26 at 8:56 am
4
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:28 am to lake chuck fan
7% too much.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:36 am to lake chuck fan
There are a few big reasons:
1) The grant rate under Biden was inflated because many cases were dismissed. Means typically only people with very strong cases got to a decision.
2) Biden issued the Circumvention of Lawful Pathways rule in May 2023 which made a large, large majority of people prima facie ineligible for asylum. If you look at the chart that's about when you see the drop in approval rate. A lot of those cases are now coming ripe.
3) DHS had used Asylum Cooperative Agreements to move for termination of many case before getting to the merits. Those have mostly come to a stop in the last month or two however.
4) The Temporary Immigration Judges were brought in specifically to deny, especially in the detained setting. A lot have been denying under Matter of H-A-A-V- which is essentially summary judgment. A lot of these decisions are flawed, but convincing a detained person to appeal and spend another year in detention is difficult.
1) The grant rate under Biden was inflated because many cases were dismissed. Means typically only people with very strong cases got to a decision.
2) Biden issued the Circumvention of Lawful Pathways rule in May 2023 which made a large, large majority of people prima facie ineligible for asylum. If you look at the chart that's about when you see the drop in approval rate. A lot of those cases are now coming ripe.
3) DHS had used Asylum Cooperative Agreements to move for termination of many case before getting to the merits. Those have mostly come to a stop in the last month or two however.
4) The Temporary Immigration Judges were brought in specifically to deny, especially in the detained setting. A lot have been denying under Matter of H-A-A-V- which is essentially summary judgment. A lot of these decisions are flawed, but convincing a detained person to appeal and spend another year in detention is difficult.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:47 am to lake chuck fan
Biden’s people thought they were so smart setting all those asylum hearing dates out to 2026 and 2027.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:53 am to lionward2014
My limited involvement with asylum was a time when this guy was a plaintiff being deposed and said he came here 20 years ago and applied for asylum.
He got a drivers license and SS number and never had a hearing.
He got a drivers license and SS number and never had a hearing.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:03 am to dafif
quote:
My limited involvement with asylum was a time when this guy was a plaintiff being deposed and said he came here 20 years ago and applied for asylum.
He got a drivers license and SS number and never had a hearing.
That does happen. I've had cases where it took over 7 years to get interviews, but also have some that takes less than 6 months. The asylum office was doing LiFo for a long time so had some funky delays.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:11 am to lionward2014
From a Florida standpoint, I think everyone was coming in, applying for asylum with some Miami law firm and just never had hearings. Got all the docs and just worked.
When the court ordered him to disclose his asylum stuff and appear again he left the country.
When the court ordered him to disclose his asylum stuff and appear again he left the country.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:15 am to lake chuck fan
Muh Trump isn't doing ANYTHING on immigration!!!!! REEEEE!!!!
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:17 am to lionward2014
quote:
There are a few big reasons:
1) The grant rate under Biden was inflated because many cases were dismissed. Means typically only people with very strong cases got to a decision.
2) Biden issued the Circumvention of Lawful Pathways rule in May 2023 which made a large, large majority of people prima facie ineligible for asylum. If you look at the chart that's about when you see the drop in approval rate. A lot of those cases are now coming ripe.
3) DHS had used Asylum Cooperative Agreements to move for termination of many case before getting to the merits. Those have mostly come to a stop in the last month or two however.
4) The Temporary Immigration Judges were brought in specifically to deny, especially in the detained setting. A lot have been denying under Matter of H-A-A-V- which is essentially summary judgment. A lot of these decisions are flawed, but convincing a detained person to appeal and spend another year in detention is difficult.
So the rates dropped because biden was letting in anybody he could.
That seems to be mich clearer.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:22 am to BTROleMisser
What annoys me is some of the nonsense with immigration.
A somalian claims asylum or refugee status due to fear of persecution at home......then takes a vacation to somalia to visit relatives....they should not be let back in the country.
They protest ICE??? Immediate deportation.
And of course the ole fail safe marry your brother.
A somalian claims asylum or refugee status due to fear of persecution at home......then takes a vacation to somalia to visit relatives....they should not be let back in the country.
They protest ICE??? Immediate deportation.
And of course the ole fail safe marry your brother.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:23 am to RohanGonzales
quote:
So the rates dropped because biden was letting in anybody he could.
That seems to be mich clearer.
Biden's CBP paroled most people into the US until around 2024 when his polling became atrocious. That is the "open border" policy.
At the same time, his DHS promulgated a rule that said if you didn't enter with CBPOne without a limited exception you were ineligible for asylum. That made most of those people ineligible for asylum.
So on one hand he helped them, on the other he screwed them.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:24 am to lionward2014
quote:
So on one hand he helped them, on the other he screwed them.
The net of that is a frickton of people here that should not be.
The results matter.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:27 am to dafif
quote:
From a Florida standpoint, I think everyone was coming in, applying for asylum with some Miami law firm and just never had hearings. Got all the docs and just worked.
The policy has been for at very long time that after 180 days of a pending asylum you get work authorization and a temporary SSN.
There's a huge underground market of "paralegals" and "notarios" who will tell people they will get them work permits and then file frivolous asylum applications for them.
Trump has started to tighten up on getting those work permits, and lowered the validity from 60 months to 18 months.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:28 am to lionward2014
quote:
lionward2014
You seem to be pretty plugged in on this subject. What is/was your involvement?
No attack or anything intended. Just curious as it's something I'm not super familiar with from a policy perspective.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:29 am to RohanGonzales
quote:
The net of that is a frickton of people here that should not be.
The results matter.
I haven't made an argument one way or the other, just explaining that chart in more detail.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:33 am to Centinel
quote:
You seem to be pretty plugged in on this subject. What is/was your involvement?
No attack or anything intended. Just curious as it's something I'm not super familiar with from a policy perspective.
Been an immigration attorney for almost 10 years.
Not some crazy open borders liberal, but also not a mass deportation guy either. We have a very flawed system that very rarely gets accurately reported on neutrally.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:36 am to lionward2014
quote:
Been an immigration attorney for almost 10 years.
Ah ok, thought maybe it was something along those lines.
quote:
Not some crazy open borders liberal, but also not a mass deportation guy either. We have a very flawed system that very rarely gets accurately reported on neutrally.
Well ya, that was pretty apparent by your factual and even-keeled posts. At least I thought it was apparent, but this is the poliboard after all...
In any case, thanks for the input.
This post was edited on 4/9/26 at 10:37 am
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:38 am to SoFlaGuy
quote:
7% too much
Most of these are South Africans, which burns the Left's arse even more.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:39 am to lionward2014
I dont understand Biden's decision. He defended Obama's immigration policy as a candidate , but increases parole of migrants and ignores that and the border until 2024 when it was too late.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:44 am to lionward2014
quote:
ou didn't enter with CBPOne
An app to traffic humans.
quote:
Not some crazy open borders liberal
Just part of the largest human trafficking apparatus. Good for you.
Are you Catholic by chance?
This post was edited on 4/9/26 at 10:47 am
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