Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Interesting FL election link, can see votes cast today in Pinellas County | Page 14 | Election 2016
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re: Interesting FL election link, can see votes cast today in Pinellas County

Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:54 am to
Posted by Cajunese
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
7165 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:54 am to
quote:

I did the math and both Pinellas and Broward county are on track to be ~10% higher turnout than in 2012. So even though Broward county is projected to be higher than 2012 turnout, I don't think that necessarily means that Crooked takes FL.


If the Cubans and Haitians show up in South Florida and the people in the panhandle show up bigly to vote, expect this state to come down to the wire.

And with that being said, Obama only won by 74k votes.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79141 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:55 am to
So not much different this year as far as ratios compared to 2012.
Posted by Cajunese
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
7165 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:56 am to
quote:

Is there evidence for that? I know Cubans are generally republican, but didn't they support Obama overall? I recall the talk being that the republican Cubans were older and remembered Castro while the young generation didn't care nearly as much. As far as Haitians, the Clinton Foundation supposedly screwed with their relief donations, bit does that translate to votes for Trump?


Obama lifting the Cuban embargo will get them out to vote. And the Clinton Foundation basically shellacking Haiti with their fraud will get Haitians out to the polls as well.
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:57 am to
quote:

So not much different this year as far as ratios compared to 2012.


I believe Trump does better with I's than Romney did
Posted by Dandy Lion
Member since Feb 2010
51401 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:58 am to
Posted by teampick
Member since Jan 2015
2400 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:03 pm to
I don't see anything in what has been posted that indicates a big surge in white voters. The Republicans have about 19,000 votes to go to match their 2012 levels in Pinellas County with about 6 hours to go.
Posted by SirWinston
Kid Rock sucks
Member since Jul 2014
103603 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:09 pm to
Trump has gone sideways in Hillsborough from my last update about 45 minutes ago

He got 3.6k

Hillary got 3.8k

Prolly still gained when you factor in 1.9 indies but still - need to keep moving forward
Posted by SirWinston
Kid Rock sucks
Member since Jul 2014
103603 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:10 pm to
With that said, Trump just gained 500 votes in Broward over the last 15 minutes.

Hillary got 2.7k and Trumpy got 3.2k in the same timeframe

This is all bullshite - Trump has FL comfortably IMO

Remember he's already a net gain of 100k votes coming into today, he's going to net gain at least 100k more votes in Pinellas/Hillsboro and he's going to net gain up in the Panhandle and No Fla bigly. I think he beats Romney north of Miami along the Jewish coast as well.
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 12:11 pm
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:10 pm to
Im getting nervous
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13960 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:11 pm to
Agreed, I think when it's all said and done that Trump wins Florida by 300-400k votes.
Posted by Dayman
Member since Sep 2015
734 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:13 pm to
Do we have links to any important counties in other battleground states?
Posted by teampick
Member since Jan 2015
2400 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:13 pm to
For what its worth, I'm told that there is a sizable never Trump vote in Pinellas County bordering on 20% to 25%. We'll know soon.
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:14 pm to
Who told you that?
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:15 pm to
What the hell are you talking about?
You honestly believe 20% GOP is going to vote for Hillary in Pinellas?
Posted by Bunta
Member since Oct 2007
12689 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:15 pm to
The other voice inside his head.
Posted by SirWinston
Kid Rock sucks
Member since Jul 2014
103603 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

For what its worth, I'm told that there is a sizable never Trump vote in Pinellas County bordering on 20% to 25%. We'll know soon.




There isn't even a 10% "NeverTrump" vote in the most cucked area of Salt Lake City
Posted by CQQ
Member since Feb 2006
17048 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:17 pm to
Not to be that guy but can someone give me cliffs? Is it looking positive or negative thus far?
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:17 pm to
Slightly positive.

Nothing is sure yet
Posted by TouchdownAlabama
Sweet Home Alabama
Member since Nov 2015
2242 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:18 pm to
I have a multiple Florida friends with Cuban heritage that are more libertarian/conservative. They have all privately told me they were voting for Trump, but did not want to go around flaunting it, because tensions are so frickin high this election. There are a lot of militant Hillary supporters that heckle. Especially my female friends from Florida that are Hispanic that voted for Trump.
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
7554 posts
Posted on 11/8/16 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

Not to be that guy but can someone give me cliffs? Is it looking positive or negative thus far?


It's close. We can infer that Trump is outperforming Romney in key areas but Hillary may be outperforming Obama where she needs to.

Go with slightly positive if you want to MAGA.
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