Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Are AI stocks the next "dot com bubble" ? | Page 2 | Money Talk
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re: Are AI stocks the next "dot com bubble" ?

Posted on 9/26/25 at 4:10 pm to
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23766 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

Which stocks are people referring to when they say AI stocks? I genuinely don’t know.

This'll probably do it:

This post was edited on 9/26/25 at 4:11 pm
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35792 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 4:13 pm to
Thank yo for sharing that.

The first page are companies that mostly make a shite load of money so i don’t think I could compare those to the dot come bubble. There are definitely some page two and three names that might be suspicious.

Did the quantum stocks just claim AI adjacency because that seems like a stretch. Quantum is a solution (maybe?) without a problem so I’d definitely be weary there.

It feels like cyber kind of gets lumped in with AI and that was a mega theme before AI so I don’t really get that. The valuations are definitely steep though.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35792 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 4:23 pm to
One theme I’m noticing is a lot of companies attaching themselves to AI and catching a bid. They’re absolutely in a bubble. Most of those companies are relatively small potatoes though.

The Mag 7/mega caps are mostly monster growth machines that print money. They’re carving up small to medium sized businesses every day. That’s very real and nothing like the dot com bubble.
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
8868 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 4:28 pm to
Companies investing in AI are profitable. Many of the companies receiving the CAPEX are making real revenue from that CAPEX.

But so far AI itself isn’t driving any substantial revenue as a technological innovation. Will it change everything? Probably.

But so did the internet.

Price matters. Thats all I can encourage everyone to keep in mind who is heavily tied to the AI trade.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35792 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

But so far AI itself isn’t driving any substantial revenue as a technological innovation. Will it change everything? Probably.
The one thing that rhymes when comparing the advent of the internet and AI is that they are both incredibly deflationary.

My point is I’m not sure there will be a huge revenue boom unless it’s funded by a huge increase in the money supply. I’m banking on the massive tech companies improving their margins and offering services that allow a few other companies to ascend to their stature while “average” companies close down at an accelerating rate.
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
8868 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 5:44 pm to
I actually think eventually AI will be a very normal part of most people’s lives over time.

A local restaurant here has a great AI agent they use instead of taking anyone’s time to maintain the phones. That’s margin.

quote:

huge increase in the money supply

Congress will make sure the printer is turned on at all times so nothing to worry about there.

Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
44496 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 5:46 pm to
Looking at the list from 12/99

You have 2 AT&Ts, an AT&T spinoff (Lucent); an AT&T future acquisition and spinoff (Time Warner)
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
4751 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 5:52 pm to
Seems like an apples to oranges comparison. Worldcom/AT&T/Time Warner aren’t really even dot.com casualties.

AI bubble would be more closely compared to the chip sector. Many will enter, but only one can exit.

INTC, NVDA, AMD come to mind…2 of 3 have basically been dead money for decades. I’m sure there were other burnouts nobody even remembers.

I remember PALM, Sharp, BlackBerry, and even Microsoft face planted in the handheld market…as the result of a product from a company that narrowly escaped bankruptcy.
Posted by Jmcc64
alabama
Member since Apr 2021
1951 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 5:59 pm to
Will the same companies that benefit from civilian use, also benefit from DoD use of AI?
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
895 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 6:15 pm to
In my opinion, we are in the early stages of AI. Yes, they’ll be winners and losers. However, I’m seeing how it’s going to help companies save time/money and it’s only going to get better.

There is a reason they are paying these AI superstars 100 million.

Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
4751 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 7:32 pm to
quote:

Will the same companies that benefit from civilian use, also benefit from DoD use of AI?


Who knows.

But, one thing I am certain about, the whole “post scarcity society” concept those companies are expressing is ludicrous.

AI may be able to provide it, but one company will own it, and it will not share it for the benefit of mankind.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16260 posts
Posted on 9/26/25 at 7:36 pm to
It certainly has that feeling
Posted by MekaWarriors
Member since Aug 2025
214 posts
Posted on 9/27/25 at 10:20 am to
quote:

Lay 'em on me.


Will Do! Not all of them are entirely on AI. Some are on general emergent technology, but they are still relevant. I will also list in order of the ones I felt were most informative:

1) Unit X: How the Pentagon and Silicon Valley are Tranforming the Future of War

2) Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

3) Brave New Worlds: How AI Will Revolutionize Education

4) Empire of AI: Dreams and Nightmares in Sam Altman's OpenAI

5) Wired for War: The Robotics Revolution and Conflict in the 21st Century
(This one is dated, however relevant)

6) Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War

(This last one was also dated and I did not find it very relevant.)



I have bought this one listed below, however have not read it yet. I am finishing a couple of economic history books (in case you want that recommendation I also listed it below.)

To Read: Artificial Intelligence and its Impact on Society

Economic History books:

1) A Monetary and Fiscal History of the Unted States, 1961-2021
(Outstanding book)

2) After the Music Stopped: The Financial Crisis, the Response, and the Work Ahead
This post was edited on 9/27/25 at 10:23 am
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23766 posts
Posted on 9/27/25 at 9:08 pm to
Posted by Neauxla
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2008
34168 posts
Posted on 9/28/25 at 9:53 am to
Anyone still holding AMD? I’m thinking of selling mine to replace with NBIS
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
35346 posts
Posted on 9/28/25 at 5:33 pm to
quote:

Anyone still holding AMD? I’m thinking of selling mine to replace with NBIS


You really think NBIS has more legs?
Posted by Neauxla
New Orleans
Member since Feb 2008
34168 posts
Posted on 9/28/25 at 6:30 pm to
quote:

You really think NBIS has more legs?
In IT and BB8 I trust
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23766 posts
Posted on 9/28/25 at 8:38 pm to
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23766 posts
Posted on 9/28/25 at 8:39 pm to
quote:

You really think NBIS has more legs?
It just rolled over or started crawling. Not even walking yet.
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
20512 posts
Posted on 9/29/25 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

I actually think eventually AI will be a very normal part of most people’s lives over time.

A local restaurant here has a great AI agent they use instead of taking anyone’s time to maintain the phones. That’s margin.



I think this is the key. In the next five years, "everyday AI" is going to explode. Like another poster said, the regular guy thinks Grok and ChatGPT are AI, and are completely oblivious to what is going on in automation in just about every industry.

I liken the time we are in to 1993. In 1993, I had to go to a specialized computer shop to get a PC, order a modem, etc. By 1995, you could buy Packard Bells and Compaqs at Wal Mart. By 1997, Gateway was a household name.

None of those companies exist today, but were part of the PC revolution. AI will be similar as it becomes more mainstream.
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