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Started By
Message
Long term interest rates rising
Posted on 9/18/25 at 10:50 am
Posted on 9/18/25 at 10:50 am
As predicted with rate cut.
4
Posted on 9/18/25 at 11:21 am to RollTide4Ever
More like what Too Late said
Posted on 9/18/25 at 5:35 pm to RollTide4Ever
The dollar's been dropping all year even as interest rates have been higher in the US.
Of course they're rising, the writing's been on the wall.
Of course they're rising, the writing's been on the wall.
Posted on 9/18/25 at 10:28 pm to RollTide4Ever
Of course. Rate cut is more likely to lead to increased inflation (not runaway inflation like we experience five years ago, but anytime you lower rates there is a risk of inflation rising). That coupled with the massive government debt are going to keep the 10-year at its current rate the remainder of the year. So, assuming by long term rates you mean mortgage rates, they are not going down until at least the first quarter of 2026, if not later. If I had to guess I would say it will be the third quarter of 2026 before we see any meaningful drop in 30 year mortgage rates at the earliest..
This post was edited on 9/18/25 at 10:31 pm
Posted on 9/19/25 at 5:46 am to go ta hell ole miss
Not without qe.
Posted on 9/19/25 at 7:09 am to RollTide4Ever
You mean the fed isnt cutting mortgage rates directly?
Posted on 9/20/25 at 10:47 am to go ta hell ole miss
Not sure if you are aware, but mortgage rates have been creeping down lately. They hit the low for the year last week. Granted, the spread for the year hasn't changed significantly, fluctuating by .25% or so.
It feels like guessing to predict how much they will change over the next few quarters. Both inflation and the labor market look to be on the volatile side. It is hard to be confident with any rate predictions at this time.
It feels like guessing to predict how much they will change over the next few quarters. Both inflation and the labor market look to be on the volatile side. It is hard to be confident with any rate predictions at this time.
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