Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company | Page 357 | Money Talk
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re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company

Posted on 2/11/26 at 2:40 pm to
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26443 posts
Posted on 2/11/26 at 2:40 pm to
I’m anticipating some incredible revenue beats with a big raise to guidance. If they don’t do another stock offering, this thing will shoot up like crazy in the morning. Thinking $110-$115 is in the realm of possibility this week.

Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27288 posts
Posted on 2/11/26 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

Thinking $110-$115 is in the realm of possibility this week.


I notice they have been playing it close to the vest recently. No dollar figure on the Israel deal, for example. Also, no details on MO, AL, or IN facilities. I hope that indicates that they are planning a shock and awe during earnings...
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
19671 posts
Posted on 2/11/26 at 4:12 pm to
Is there any psychology to having the call prior to open rather than after? Seems like after market always gets hammered down prior to the bell.
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27288 posts
Posted on 2/11/26 at 4:27 pm to
I think the psychology may be that they are in Denmark and it would be REALLY late if they had it after the market closes...
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
3812 posts
Posted on 2/11/26 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

y IT_Dawg


Did you hedge at all?
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
3812 posts
Posted on 2/11/26 at 7:19 pm to
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
19671 posts
Posted on 2/11/26 at 9:06 pm to
I put a straddle on it just to see what happens…because I’m pretty sure whatever happens it’s not going to stay flat. Not a lot of money though.

So I’m hoping for a shitload of volatility.
Posted by astonvilla
New Jersey
Member since Dec 2005
3486 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 5:52 am to
lets do this folks.
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27288 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:05 am to
What just happened?
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26443 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:11 am to
Earnings released. Crushed ARR goal and Raised guidance, also said they would upgrade their capacity guidance from 2.5GW to 3 by EoY. Missed on net loss, but did announce 24% adjusted EBITA which is positive for first time ever.

Alabama and Missouri data centers announced.

Should be up huge, people don’t understand the $2B spent in Q4 was for data centers. Still have $3.7B in cash too. Guessing it will go green at open unless they announce something stupid on the con call at 8est

I’m buying these dips. This is a company that is absolutely poised for growth and will crush it. We will all look back in 3 years and laugh at days like today
This post was edited on 2/12/26 at 6:31 am
Posted by Wwarmouth
Member since Dec 2025
433 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:18 am to
? They missed revenue in Q4 by quite a bit. Up Yoy for Q4 but they estimated 242 and it came in at 227
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27288 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:20 am to
Gotcha. I'm already in meetings, so I haven't had a chance to look in depth.

With that kind of drop, I was looking for a dilution announcement.

Looks like people are expecting huge growth with no capex...
Posted by NaturalBeam
Member since Sep 2007
14879 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:23 am to
Half the comments on Twitter think it’s great, half think it’s terrible
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26443 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:28 am to
Like I said, guessing this will go green at open. Just too much good news in this release for the future
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26443 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:31 am to
quote:

They missed revenue in Q4 by quite a bit. Up Yoy for Q4 but they estimated 242 and it came in at 227


Sorry, to be more clear, they crushed ARR goals and raised their guidance for 2026
Posted by reds on reds on reds
Member since Sep 2013
4929 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:32 am to
A lot of people just see revenue miss and that’s it.
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
8876 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:37 am to
quote:

We delivered the first tranche of capacity to Microsoft on time
in November 2025, and are well on track to deliver the remain-
ing capacity on schedule.

We delivered both contracted tranches to Meta on time
and are now fully in the servicing stage.


Looks like both large contracts have zero risk of breach from Nebius’ side. Execution on promises made.

quote:

We have already secured more than 2 GW of contracted power, putting us well ahead of the target we set in November of more than 2.5 GW by the end of 2026. As a result, we now expect to have more than 3 GW of contracted power by year end.
This post was edited on 2/12/26 at 6:39 am
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26443 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:39 am to
Right, but as they digest all the news in the release and listen to the con call, they will get excited.

Who cares if you missed on Revenue for a quarter when you’ve already secured $125B in ARR by the end of year and guidance on $7-9B by end of 2026. That’s insane
This post was edited on 2/12/26 at 6:41 am
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26443 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:41 am to
Here we go. Figured it would wait for open to go up but now $3.5 in the green
Posted by Wwarmouth
Member since Dec 2025
433 posts
Posted on 2/12/26 at 6:45 am to
Back green pre market...good sign
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