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Started By
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re: Super Bowl player prop bets
Posted on 2/8/25 at 12:03 pm to JerryTheKingBawler
Posted on 2/8/25 at 12:03 pm to JerryTheKingBawler
quote:
Halftime show: Drake with the steel chair +1000
No cap?
1
Posted on 2/8/25 at 12:04 pm to htcthc321
quote:
Mahomes Anytime TD
This isn’t happening
Posted on 2/8/25 at 12:18 pm to Hiphopanonymous
I feel a 3rd quarter safety
Posted on 2/8/25 at 1:23 pm to High C
On god
Posted on 2/9/25 at 10:23 am to JerryTheKingBawler
just did these on Underdog.
Kareem Hunt over 10.5 rushing attempts
Pacheco over 4.5 yards receiving yards
Karlaftis over 0.5 QB sacks
Zach Baun over 5.5 solo tackles
Kareem Hunt over 10.5 rushing attempts
Pacheco over 4.5 yards receiving yards
Karlaftis over 0.5 QB sacks
Zach Baun over 5.5 solo tackles
Posted on 2/9/25 at 12:12 pm to Hiphopanonymous
For the Super Bowl coin toss, it’s been “heads” 28 times and “tails” 30 times. This could suggest that tails is a slightly more likely result. Perhaps due to the refs placing the coin heads side up before the flick more often than not.
For the 7 prior Super Bowls in the Superdome, it has been tails 4 times and heads 3 times, again suggesting tails may be a slight favorite.
The head referee will be Ron Torbert. He has been the head referee of one Super Bowl before (56), and in that one the coin landed heads, although he handed the coin to someone else to flip. It wasn’t clear if he handed the coin to them heads side up or if the flipper made sure it was heads side up.
I’m betting tails.
For the 7 prior Super Bowls in the Superdome, it has been tails 4 times and heads 3 times, again suggesting tails may be a slight favorite.
The head referee will be Ron Torbert. He has been the head referee of one Super Bowl before (56), and in that one the coin landed heads, although he handed the coin to someone else to flip. It wasn’t clear if he handed the coin to them heads side up or if the flipper made sure it was heads side up.
I’m betting tails.
Posted on 2/9/25 at 12:18 pm to Jon Ham
That’s a lot of research and thought for a coin toss when you already know the true probability.
Posted on 2/9/25 at 12:30 pm to High C
My theory about it landing tails slightly more often due to the coin likely being heads up more often than not before the flick is wrong…
There is no rule in the NFL stating that the coin must start heads up. But you have to think most of the time that’s how it’s placed. Therefore, it should land heads slightly more often than tails. The fact that tails has a slight lead from past super bowls can easily be attributed to the small sample size.
I’m changing to heads.
quote:
A coin is slightly more likely to land on the same side it started on before the flip. This phenomenon has been studied in physics and probability experiments.
Why?
1. Physics of the Flip: When a coin is flipped, it rotates around its axis, but the motion isn’t perfectly random. Small asymmetries in the flick—such as the angle, force, and initial positioning—can influence the outcome.
2. Dominance of Initial Conditions: Studies have shown that the side facing up before the flip has a slightly higher probability (about 51% instead of 50%) of landing face up again.
3. Wobble Effect: If the coin wobbles in the air or doesn’t complete a full number of rotations, it may preserve some of its original orientation.
Experimental Evidence
A 2007 study by Stanford mathematician Persi Diaconis found that a coin has a bias of about 51% toward landing on the side it started on. While this effect is small, it suggests that a coin flip is not a perfectly fair 50/50 event.
However, in casual flipping, external factors like surface bounce and air resistance usually make the difference negligible. If the coin is spun instead of flipped, or if it’s caught and flipped onto the back of a hand, the bias may not hold.
There is no rule in the NFL stating that the coin must start heads up. But you have to think most of the time that’s how it’s placed. Therefore, it should land heads slightly more often than tails. The fact that tails has a slight lead from past super bowls can easily be attributed to the small sample size.
I’m changing to heads.
Posted on 2/9/25 at 12:35 pm to High C
I like Worthy and Smith to each have 25+ yds per H in receptions which pays +250
I tried to parlay it, but Caesars wouldn’t allow it
Might bet each separately same amount. If one hits, it pays well. The Dome is a homecoming for Smith and Worthy has been Mahomes 3rd down go to on crossing/pick routes
I tried to parlay it, but Caesars wouldn’t allow it
Might bet each separately same amount. If one hits, it pays well. The Dome is a homecoming for Smith and Worthy has been Mahomes 3rd down go to on crossing/pick routes
Posted on 2/9/25 at 1:31 pm to Hiphopanonymous
goeddert anytime td +300 1st td +1500
bet them last night
bet them last night
Posted on 2/9/25 at 1:51 pm to stlslick
DK bet and get:
+900
Goedert anytime TD
Worthy anytime TD
+900
Goedert anytime TD
Worthy anytime TD
Posted on 2/9/25 at 1:54 pm to Mr Roboto
quote:are you going to be a dick or are you going to let me know who wins? I have a sportsbetting account that could use an infusion
Nothing. The game is rigged
Posted on 2/9/25 at 5:23 pm to stlslick
added Brown TD eagles anytime and wharton 1/2 sack+ +200
Hurts has taken a lot of sacks recently. If it wasnt for the snow, Rams beat them on the square.
Hurts has taken a lot of sacks recently. If it wasnt for the snow, Rams beat them on the square.
Posted on 2/9/25 at 5:24 pm to Hiphopanonymous
kenneth gainwell anytime TD +1200
Posted on 2/9/25 at 5:24 pm to High C
Pacheco totals are low. he always shows in a super bowl. took all overs
Posted on 2/9/25 at 5:34 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:
are you going to be a dick or are you going to let me know who wins? I have a sportsbetting account that could use an infusion
Lots of people will be posting about outcomes they knew would come to fruition beforehand, but none of them will have put any money on it
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