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re: Transfer Portal > HS Recruiting

Posted on 12/20/23 at 3:29 pm to
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
70566 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 3:29 pm to
You should not rely solely on the transfer portal. It's definitely good to fill holes but it shouldn't be used to completely overhaul your roster.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35378 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

tell me i'm wrong.
You're wrong, because they serve different purposes and ideally a team would maximize both. It's similar to the draft vs. free agency.

But this got me curious: since the NFL draft is good indicator of a college's talent level, and recruiting ratings are quite predictive, especially over multiple years, I wanted to see how many players in the most recent draft transferred at least once in their careers.

In particular, by my count, of the 259 players drafted, 65 transferred at least once in their careers; however, 24 of those were either between divisions, JUCO transfers, within non-FBS division (one from a D2 school to a D2 school), or from Canada (one player).

So 41 players transferred between FBS schools, and of the 259 players drafted, 247 were drafted from an FBS school. So ~16.6% of players drafted from an FBS school transferred between FBS schools (or ~1 out of every 6 players). Interestingly, by round, the first and last rounds had the lowest percentage.

Now I'm sure this number will increase as the portal becomes more popular, but I'm guessing the extra year of eligibility due to COVID, provided a bit of an increase than there otherwise would be. I'm guessing this will peak in the coming years.

I think all in all, shows that the most talented/successful players are by far more likely to come from their original FBS school, not via the transfer portal. And would take nearly a 3-fold increase of transfers drafted to get on par with those who do not transfer.
Posted by beastieboys
South Jordan, UT
Member since Jan 2008
2193 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 11:33 pm to
The transfer portal is for lazy head coaches that don’t want to recruit
Posted by dchog
Pea Ridge
Member since Nov 2012
26888 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 11:34 pm to
For Arkansas, our best players have been from the portal.
Posted by dchog
Pea Ridge
Member since Nov 2012
26888 posts
Posted on 12/20/23 at 11:38 pm to
Drew Sanders from Alabama transferred to Arkansas and became a second team all American.

Cody Schrader from Truman State, transfers to Missouri and led the SEC in rushing.
This post was edited on 12/20/23 at 11:43 pm
Posted by bamameister
Right here, right now
Member since May 2016
17202 posts
Posted on 12/21/23 at 6:10 am to
quote:

Top 5 transfer class last year:

1. Colorado
2. Louisville
3. USC
4. UCLA
5. Auburn


Where's Ole Miss? The Lane Train is the Portal King of the SEC. Kiffin is a heavy portal guy and his NIL is set up for success. Based on a 10-2 record and this year's team not bailing as soon as the season is over, maybe he has it figured out, at least more than most.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79094 posts
Posted on 12/21/23 at 7:19 am to
quote:

Well they quadrupled the number of wins from the previous year. Is that not a positive result?
Not much of an improvement. They won 4 games in 21 and 20. And they only played 6 games in 20. Was a rather shifty season save for the hype.
Posted by dchog
Pea Ridge
Member since Nov 2012
26888 posts
Posted on 12/21/23 at 12:57 pm to
You still have to recruit in the portal.
Posted by JodyPlauche
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2009
9847 posts
Posted on 12/21/23 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

Ask Deion how skipping out on recruiting and only utilizing the transfer portal did for him last year


He won 400% more games?
Posted by bamameister
Right here, right now
Member since May 2016
17202 posts
Posted on 12/21/23 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

He won 400% more games?


Actually, what Neon Deion did was put Buffaloe Butts in the seats. They were the national TV darling on Friday nights. Colorado made a killing.
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
22129 posts
Posted on 12/21/23 at 9:06 pm to
Wrong
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