Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Ping Pong Balls Watch Updated 4/7 | Page 2 | Pelicans
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re: Ping Pong Balls Watch Updated 4/7

Posted on 2/7/25 at 8:48 pm to
Posted by purplepylon
NOLA & Laffy
Member since Nov 2005
8338 posts
Posted on 2/7/25 at 8:48 pm to
Brooklyn about to win as well. Give our schedule, as long as we don't do something stupid like win games against the top Western Conf teams then we should easily be in the bottom 4
Posted by Split2874
Mandeville
Member since Jul 2012
3378 posts
Posted on 2/7/25 at 9:57 pm to
Keep zion on minutes restrictions and Willie coaching we should be able to do it
Posted by Macintosh
Lane State University
Member since Sep 2011
56309 posts
Posted on 2/7/25 at 10:21 pm to
a good ping pong ball day
Posted by slutiger5
Parroquias de Florida
Member since May 2007
12034 posts
Posted on 2/7/25 at 11:28 pm to
If there isn’t a new gm, there’s no change. Cp3 is my vote right now. Give him gm\coaching\playing options.
Posted by SaintTigerPel
LaPlace
Member since Dec 2017
1531 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 12:28 am to
So the worst team hasn’t gotten the 1st pick once in the last 5 years? That’s crazy.
Posted by 3PieceSpicy
Metairie
Member since Jan 2021
7913 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 1:26 am to
Man. Y’all aren’t going to like the Jazz-Suns highlights

That was some Pels level losing at the end there by the Jazz
Posted by Silverfoxx
Member since Mar 2016
1153 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 2:56 am to
What do you think Flagg ceiling is?
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
11317 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 3:16 am to
quote:

What do you think Flagg ceiling is?


Tatum
Posted by BengalShark
Member since Jul 2017
4317 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 4:14 am to
quote:

Ping Pong Balls Watch


Dem Pings
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
32131 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 4:30 am to
Lotto from 2019 until now

2019
1st - 7th worst
2nd - 8th worst
3rd - 1st worst
4th - 11th worst

2020
1st - 3rd worst
2nd - 1st worst
3rd - 8th worst
4th - 9th worst

2021
1st - 2nd worst
2nd - 1st worst
3rd - 5th worst
4th - 7th worst

2022
1st - 2nd worst
2nd - 4th worst
3rd - 1st worst
4th - 7th worst

2023
1st - 3rd worst
2nd - 4th worst
3rd - 5th worst
4th - 2nd worst

2024
1st - 10th worst
2nd - 2nd worst
3rd - 9th worst
4th - 5th worst

2nd or 3rd worst landed #1 4/6 times
Posted by Stamps74
Member since Nov 2017
1451 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 4:41 am to
The NBA banned player-coaches in the 1984–85 season
Posted by Dinky Mulberry
Member since Aug 2021
2322 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 10:04 am to
quote:

So the worst team hasn’t gotten the 1st pick once in the last 5 years? That’s crazy.


Odds are currently 14% for the worst team to get the 1st pick...if they don't change the numbers & stay at 14% for the next few years...it will be 5 years before the worst team should logically expect to have the 1st pick.

By "logically expect"...I mean they should have at least a 50% chance of getting the #1 pick...which would be after 5 years. Just the math.

By the end of year 5...their odds to get that 1st pick at least once, will finally reach 50% or more...exact # would be 53%. Not exactly a "guarantee" you get that #1 pick after 5 years of having the worst record.
This post was edited on 2/8/25 at 10:23 am
Posted by slutiger5
Parroquias de Florida
Member since May 2007
12034 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 11:01 am to
quote:

The NBA banned player-coaches in the 1984–85 season


Who was the last?
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
25475 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 11:04 am to
quote:

Odds are currently 14% for the worst team to get the 1st pick...if they don't change the numbers & stay at 14% for the next few years...it will be 5 years before the worst team should logically expect to have the 1st pick.

By "logically expect"...I mean they should have at least a 50% chance of getting the #1 pick...which would be after 5 years. Just the math.

By the end of year 5...their odds to get that 1st pick at least once, will finally reach 50% or more...exact # would be 53%. Not exactly a "guarantee" you get that #1 pick after 5 years of having the worst record.


each year happens in a vacuum bruh. its 14% regardless. Thats some roulette wheel faulty reasoning right there.
Posted by Pelicans15
Bossier
Member since Mar 2019
938 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 11:15 am to
Statistics is crazy
Posted by Dinky Mulberry
Member since Aug 2021
2322 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 12:41 pm to
quote:

each year happens in a vacuum bruh. its 14% regardless. Thats some roulette wheel faulty reasoning right there.


Absolutely correct on the "vacuum/14% stuff"...but I was just discussing the odds on how often... some team that finished last and had that 14% chance to grab the #1 choice each year...should manage to get that #1 pick. Works out to about a 50/50 shot... over every 5 years...that's just basic probabilities. Fairly simple stuff.

So, finish last every year...you should, on average, manage to get the #1 pick once every 5 years...and if you get #1 more than that...you've beaten the odds. Any worse than once every 5 years...you've been unlucky. Not sure what the roulette wheel analogy has to do with this...but, whatever.
This post was edited on 2/8/25 at 12:43 pm
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
103415 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 12:54 pm to
Something to keep in mind is that, due to the flattened odds, that 5 years also works out for roughly the rest of the top 4.
Posted by Dinky Mulberry
Member since Aug 2021
2322 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 1:14 pm to
quote:


Something to keep in mind is that, due to the flattened odds, that 5 years also works out for roughly the rest of the top 4.


Good point...and worth remembering for anybody that is hoping for us to get Flagg...if we finish 3rd from bottom we have EXACT same 14% as the Wizards (who will finish last)

And, as I'm sure you know, the 4th worse record would only drop us 12.5% shot at getting Flagg.

I'd luv to somehow finish with 3rd worse records...and take our chances with those odds...and if whichever team lands the #1 pick doesn't happen to REALLY like (or need) Flagg...I'd take our (hopefully) top 3 or 4 pick...throw in some other solid "stuff"...to swap for that #1 pick.

Should be obvious by now...I REALLY like Flagg.
Posted by Split2874
Mandeville
Member since Jul 2012
3378 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 1:14 pm to
Obviously we know the best place we could pick from in the draft, what is the worst spot we could fall to? (If the lottery was today)
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
103415 posts
Posted on 2/8/25 at 1:17 pm to
As of today? 6th.
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