Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread | Page 21 | O-T Lounge
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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread

Posted on 8/10/14 at 3:31 am to
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82729 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 3:31 am to
If you lose power just burn the fricking house then, couple birds with one stone
Posted by LSUTigers1986
Member since Mar 2014
1336 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 3:31 am to
Looks like Africa pooted
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82729 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 3:32 am to
You seem like an idiot
Posted by LSUTigers1986
Member since Mar 2014
1336 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 3:40 am to
You're one to talk
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21271 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 5:28 am to
quote:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave located just offshore of the coast of west Africa
is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur over
the next several days while it moves to the west at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.


That is one of the more robust waves to come off of Africa this season. Both the Euro and the GFS were kind of trying to spin up something with it a couple of days ago but then backed off. The 00z GFS/GEFS from last night are back to trying to do something with it. There is this one small issue:



If something were to develop, a pretty big "if" at this point IMHO, then the 7 - 10 day range pattern looks like it would tend to drive it towards the Western Caribbean / Gulf. A lot can change in a week but right now it looks like there is just too much SAL out in front and to the north of the system.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 9:19 am to
Upgrade




This post was edited on 8/10/14 at 9:20 am
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30452 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 9:48 am to
Oh lawd it's coming for us
Posted by rrboy
USA
Member since Jan 2005
5513 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 10:07 am to
If it did make it to the gulf- How long would it take to get here?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 10:22 am to
quote:

If it did make it to the gulf- How long would it take to get here?



IMO about 10 days
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216346 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 10:29 am to
quote:

IMO about 10 days


Too far out.. Will drift north and maybe effect Bermuda.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 10:30 am to
quote:

Too far out.. Will drift north and maybe effect Bermuda.



10 days out and you're already giving us a death sentence...
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87598 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Will drift north and maybe effect Bermuda.
affect is the verb...

But thanks. Getting supplies before the run on stores
Posted by MrPackSix
Lakeview/God's Country
Member since Oct 2009
8220 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 10:42 am to
Peej predicts Bermuda

Really means heading straight for mouth of Mississippi River
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216346 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 10:54 am to
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104748 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 3:47 pm to
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 3:50 pm to
Christ have mercy. Just stop already.

It's cool if you wanna troll and make fun of yourself, but quit taking yourself so serious and making statements like you know what you're talking about.
Posted by TigerMyth36
River Ridge
Member since Nov 2005
41237 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 3:52 pm to
Are we all going to die?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49889 posts
Posted on 8/10/14 at 4:47 pm to
Eventually
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21271 posts
Posted on 8/11/14 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

Upgrade


Not surprisingly, NHC has been slowly backing down from that odd 40% 5 day. The timing of the AEW and the suppressed portion of the KW were a bit off allowing that initial burst of convection. However, that window didn't ever appear to be big enough to allow genesis. The wave is still worth monitoring but doesn't appear to have much of a future at this point.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49889 posts
Posted on 8/11/14 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

The wave is still worth monitoring but doesn't appear to have much of a future at this point.

Well how are the area teachers supposed to get a break from work if we don't have a hurricane to knock power out for a week??











































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