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Started By
Message
re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted on 8/24/14 at 9:37 pm to MSCoastTigerGirl
Posted on 8/24/14 at 9:37 pm to MSCoastTigerGirl
quote:
Where is that?
That's North America, Europe and Asia all covered by Superstorms in "the Day After Tomorrow"
1
Posted on 8/24/14 at 9:44 pm to IT_Dawg
I really don't want a hurricane coming at us.
Prayers sent for the places that those are headed to, though.
Prayers sent for the places that those are headed to, though.
Posted on 8/24/14 at 9:50 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
Can someone explain the steering flow?
That image shows a pretty wicked low moving across the northern plains kicking of svr wx in Minnesota this evening. A vort max rotating through the base of the trough off the EC. That will help pull the trough out and let high pressure build in. That is also helping increase divergence aloft to the NE of Cristobal, notice the the area of convection in the sat loop. And last but not least, the mid-level vort associated with Cristobal slowly sinking south. If Cristobal was farther north, it would get caught up by the trough and be accelerating out to sea.
Posted on 8/24/14 at 10:01 pm to rds dc
quote:
If Cristobal was farther north, it would get caught up by the trough and be accelerating out to sea.
So wait, I'm confused. One minute the talk is that it's not a threat to the GOM. Next minute it might not go out to sea. What does your last statement mean? Is it going to meander tgere for a while then get kicked westward by the building high?
Posted on 8/24/14 at 10:10 pm to TDsngumbo
Its not a threat. Models handling just fine. Supposed to drift north through Tuesday then finally begin to accelerate to the NE out to sea as another trough comes down.
Posted on 8/24/14 at 10:11 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
So wait, I'm confused. One minute the talk is that it's not a threat to the GOM. Next minute it might not go out to sea. What does your last statement mean? Is it going to meander tgere for a while then get kicked westward by the building high?
No, this trough was never really supposed to pick the system up. Some models had that happening but most trended away from that solution. The general consensus now is that the system will move slowly north being steered by a high pressure to its east. The low across the northern plains will eventually help accelerate the system out to sea.
Posted on 8/24/14 at 10:12 pm to rds dc
Thanks!
Posted on 8/24/14 at 10:13 pm to rds dc
English!!!!
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:10 am to rds dc
Question: Why don't EastPac hurricanes recurve like they do in the Atlantic? Seems like the West Coast should be getting slammed on the regular.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 8:37 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
Question: Why don't EastPac hurricanes recurve like they do in the Atlantic? Seems like the West Coast should be getting slammed on the regular.
Cool waters off Cali and systems generally track off to the west. Some storms do recurve or go straight north into Mexico but systems typically die before reaching Cali.
On a unrelated note, the Gulf might be a place to watch this week. The storms firing off of Louisiana today could eventually do something.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 9:10 am to rds dc
OMG...ONOZ....ITS GOIN RAIN
quote:
Disturbance 22 has been identified in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico near 28.5N, 84W and is moving to the SSW at 3 mph. The disturbance is associated with a frontal trough and is currently only producing limited showers and thunderstorms. As the front dissipates over the next day or two, the disturbance is expected to move southwestward and then turn westward, reaching the western Gulf of Mexico by Thursday and moving inland around Friday. The disturbance could potentially produce enhanced showers and thunderstorms with some gusty winds along its path through the Gulf of Mexico this week. The disturbance has a very slight chance (near 5 percent) of developing into a tropical depression or weak tropical storm in the Gulf this week.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 9:12 am to tgrbaitn08
Invest 97L - another one to watch. Looks like it has the potential (at least right now) to enter the Gulf.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 9:14 am to rds dc
quote:
On a unrelated note, the Gulf might be a place to watch this week. The storms firing off of Louisiana today could eventually do something.
Interesting....
Posted on 8/25/14 at 9:28 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Invest 97L - another one to watch. Looks like it has the potential (at least right now) to enter the Gulf.
GFS takes this one into the gulf as a wave. (Still early but noted.)
This post was edited on 8/25/14 at 9:29 am
Posted on 8/25/14 at 9:55 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
GEAUXmedic
What are your thoughts on the wave in the Gulf that has the potential to develop then head into Texas?
Posted on 8/25/14 at 10:06 am to rds dc
quote:
Clotheslined!
Wow, that's a really interesting loop. You can see the top just get sheared right off it.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 10:29 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
What are your thoughts on the wave in the Gulf that has the potential to develop then head into Texas?
TBH I haven't paid much attention to any of this in a day or two.. have to get caught up but I'm sure RDS's opinion is more educated than mine anyways.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 11:15 am to GEAUXmedic
Here's the latest ASCAT pass on whatever the hell is sitting over the gulf coast.. (look at the top east of louisiana)
This post was edited on 8/25/14 at 11:16 am
Posted on 8/25/14 at 11:24 am to GEAUXmedic
Paging RDS
Posted on 8/25/14 at 11:28 am to 4LSU2
quote:
I'd love to see Rex or Tuba only he able to post on the OB for a month or so.
Now you have done it...
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