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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 5/23/18 at 7:50 am to Ba Ba Boooey
quote:
I hope it’s wiped off the map so that joke disappears
What's wrong with punta cana????
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:00 am to rds dc
Special Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed May 23 2018
Corrected header
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A broad surface low centered near the coast of northeastern Belize
continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers
extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba and into
the Florida Straits. Little development is expected during the
next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds and proximity to
the Yucatan Peninsula. However, environmental conditions are then
forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical
or tropical depression could form this weekend over the eastern or
central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the Cayman Islands
during the next few days, and over much of Florida and the
northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information on the
heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather
office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 800 PM EDT.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Forecaster Blake
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed May 23 2018
Corrected header
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A broad surface low centered near the coast of northeastern Belize
continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers
extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba and into
the Florida Straits. Little development is expected during the
next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds and proximity to
the Yucatan Peninsula. However, environmental conditions are then
forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical
or tropical depression could form this weekend over the eastern or
central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the Cayman Islands
during the next few days, and over much of Florida and the
northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information on the
heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather
office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 800 PM EDT.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Forecaster Blake
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:03 am to CMATTE
I'll be in the mix as well. Family going to OB Sat-Sat. Looks like we'll be looking for indoors stuff to do.
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:04 am to rds dc
Can this thing still go into Florida or is it going to wash SELA away?
This post was edited on 5/23/18 at 8:08 am
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:04 am to Jim Rockford
tropical tidbits has this going east when I just ran the model
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:05 am to rds dc
Also according to NWS NO/BR they should get some better model runs by this time tomorrow:
quote:
A long wave trough over the open eastpac will dig today causing
the subtropical jet to buckle offshore of the Baha Pen. This will
also kick the large upper low over the innermountain west to the
NE. As the subtropical jet buckles southward over the eastpac, it
will buckle northward downstream over northern Mexico and southern
Texas by late today. This will be the first chance to get a good
sampling of these jet winds and get something concrete to injest
in the model solutions. This could occur as early as 00zThursday
or (7pm)today if we get a good set of RAOB out of northern Mexico.
So the evening model runs should tend to come into better
agreement. If not, we will need to wait on the 12zThursday run
when the subtropical jet has moved into southern Arizona, New
Mexico and Texas.
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:05 am to Legion of Doom
quote:
Missing one -Truck nuts
Nah those baws check knuckles at Sonic.
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:06 am to kballa6
quote:
I'll be in the mix as well. Family going to OB Sat-Sat. Looks like we'll be looking for indoors stuff to do
Yep, we'll be there too. Should have just went to Branson instead.
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:08 am to Swagga
quote:
Should I board my pitbull this weekend?
You should just go ahead and put it out of its misery now.
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:13 am to Maytheporkbewithyou
quote:
Yep, we'll be there too.
same
quote:
Should have just went to Branson instead.
Never go full retard
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:23 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
Can this thing still go into Florida
I’m sure it will since we are headed to Disney World Saturday
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:27 am to JonTheTigerFan
quote:
Disney World
Trashy
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:30 am to Houma Sapien
quote:
Houma
quote:
Trashy
Checks out
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:41 am to JonTheTigerFan
Suppose to go to a Crawfish boil this Saturday, how we looking?
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:55 am to Impotent Waffle
I would not be shocked if this thing goes East to FLA and the rain stays over there.
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:57 am to iron banks
All good in Navarre Beach right now.
Posted on 5/23/18 at 8:59 am to iron banks
This thing really sucks. I might have to cancel my weekend plans because it was all outdoors basically. I was heading toward Florida.
It can end up closer to Florida or Louisiana. Still too early to know for sure. Depends on where it comes out in the Gulf. Also depends on where it forms if anything ever does form into a tropical system. Looking more and more likely. They upgraded the chance and if you look at the images seems to have a little energy to it although it's not very organized at all. Forecast says conditions get more favorable over next few days.
I'm more worried how this thing gets steered when it gets closer to land. It could stall so someone is going to get ridiculous amounts of rain if it ends up doing that.
It can end up closer to Florida or Louisiana. Still too early to know for sure. Depends on where it comes out in the Gulf. Also depends on where it forms if anything ever does form into a tropical system. Looking more and more likely. They upgraded the chance and if you look at the images seems to have a little energy to it although it's not very organized at all. Forecast says conditions get more favorable over next few days.
I'm more worried how this thing gets steered when it gets closer to land. It could stall so someone is going to get ridiculous amounts of rain if it ends up doing that.
Posted on 5/23/18 at 9:28 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
00Z Euro directly to SELA.
Posted on 5/23/18 at 9:36 am to X123F45
GFS has this thing moving near Miami and basically just going straight up near Florida. Euro has it near Panhandle of Florida at about 96 hours then moving west sitting underneath SE LA at 120 hours. At 144 it's almost near Miss, Gulfport then moves NW in N LA at 168 hours. That's a lot of rain for us if it makes this path. Pretty huge margin of error in the models. Hopefully it gets more accurate next 24 hours.
Not really sure what the GFS is seeing to make it shift that far east where it's e of Florida then moves up east coast. It could definitely slam into Florida but that run is weird.
Not really sure what the GFS is seeing to make it shift that far east where it's e of Florida then moves up east coast. It could definitely slam into Florida but that run is weird.
This post was edited on 5/23/18 at 9:43 am
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