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Started By
Message
re: Danny - no longer a threat
Posted on 8/18/15 at 11:51 am to DivotBreath
Posted on 8/18/15 at 11:51 am to DivotBreath
quote:
This thread would have so much more potential if it was Tropical Stormy Daniels
I never thought about this
From now on, this will be referred to as Tropical Stormy Daniels. Thank you my friend. Thank you.
1
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:08 pm to colorchangintiger
quote:
South Carolina gonna get @#!*% up
No NO and NO!
Kid moving to SC this week. Can't deal with this and a hurricane.
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:17 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
quote:
If the intensity forecast holds true, does a stronger storm stand a chance to survive the shear?
Typically, the stronger the storm, the less affected it is by shear unless the shear is also very strong. If it doesn't really get its act together before the shear begins, it's going to have a tough time holding together. However, the NHC is calling for the shear to subside once the ridge builds back into place after temporarily lifting. If the storm can hold together through that and not be interacting with land when the ridge rebuilds, we'll have an intensifying storm to watch barrel roll through the Caribbean.
To add to this a bit, size of the system and the surrounding environment probably play bigger roles, relatively speaking. Shear is going to do it's dirty work regardless but a bigger system can hold up better to the impacts (vortex tilting, dry air advection, updraft disruption, etc).
96L is forecasted to be a small system with a good bit of dry mid-level air out in front of it over the Caribbean.
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:18 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
That, TigerDroppings, is how you put peeeeeeej in his place.
OK mr know it all... When this thing goes out into the Atlantic, I expect to see a retraction..... Now blow it out your arse.. BTW I was here during Gustav... Andrew did more damage than him......
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:19 pm to baytiger
quote:
because it's not in the caribbean yet in 5 days
I don't think some people realize how far out this storm currently is.
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:21 pm to SippyCup
quote:
I don't think some people realize how far out this storm currently is.
:rimshot:
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:24 pm to dukke v
quote:
BTW I was here during Gustav... Andrew did more damage than him......
He's right.
quote:
When this thing goes out into the Atlantic, I expect to see a retraction.....
As of right now it looks like whatever is left of it will go south.
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:51 pm to GEAUXmedic
Headed to Punta Cana on Friday morning. Keep away TD #4
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:53 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
Headed to Punta Cana on Friday morning. Keep away TD #4
How long are you staying?
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:58 pm to GEAUXmedic
11 days
Posted on 8/18/15 at 1:05 pm to GEAUXmedic
Peej doing a good job of playing the percentages on this one as the majority of storms that form this far out do curve toward the Atlantic.
The last few years it seems the Caribbean has had a stable climate and it seems to be the case this year with the lack of rain. Even if water temps are right and shear is light, storms do not grow very well in a stable climate.
The last few years it seems the Caribbean has had a stable climate and it seems to be the case this year with the lack of rain. Even if water temps are right and shear is light, storms do not grow very well in a stable climate.
This post was edited on 8/18/15 at 1:06 pm
Posted on 8/18/15 at 1:07 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
It's gonna slam into Grand Isle on September 5th, per all the models
Well shite I will have emptied and restocked the fridge at least a dozen times by then.
Posted on 8/18/15 at 1:11 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
11 days
Ohh damn.
Posted on 8/18/15 at 1:16 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
11 days
Ohh damn.
It won't be my first rodeo down there. Rode a few out over that past 10 years.
We will see how it develops
Posted on 8/18/15 at 1:19 pm to TDsngumbo
I'll be in Orange Beach Labor Day weekend. On a scale of 1 to 10, how dead am I?
Posted on 8/18/15 at 1:19 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
From now on, this will be referred to as Tropical Stormy Daniels. Thank you my friend. Thank you.
Wonder how NSFW we could make that thread before the admins noticed that extra 'y'&'s' there?
This post was edited on 8/18/15 at 1:20 pm
Posted on 8/18/15 at 1:23 pm to elprez00
quote:
Wonder how NSFW we could make that thread before the admins noticed that extra 'y'&'s' there?
you first. I'm not gettin banned Posted on 8/18/15 at 2:05 pm to TDsngumbo
Am I wrong for wanting a light tropical storm just to cook and party a night or two. No injuries or damage though
Posted on 8/18/15 at 2:08 pm to TDsngumbo
Looks like TD 4 will be upgraded to TS Danny at the next advisory.
18z BEST track:
AL, 04, 2015081818, , BEST, 0, 108N, 370W, 35, 1008, TS
35 = 35kts which is 40mph. TS = Tropical Storm
18z BEST track:
AL, 04, 2015081818, , BEST, 0, 108N, 370W, 35, 1008, TS
35 = 35kts which is 40mph. TS = Tropical Storm
Posted on 8/18/15 at 2:09 pm to TDsngumbo
I'll be in Florida the last weekend in August. El Niño gonna do work and wreck this.
This post was edited on 8/18/15 at 2:12 pm
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