Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down | Page 22 | O-T Lounge
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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/1/17 at 7:23 am to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21248 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 7:23 am to
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
16866 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 7:40 am to
Wow! Huge shifts east. Good trend.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36491 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 7:57 am to
Not surprised the Euro came north, the op was south of most of the ensambles yesterday afternoon. Now hopefully we'll get a curve off the east coast and harmlessly give England a nice gale in two weeks time.

Nothing wrong with watching a Category 5 fish storm do it's thing.
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30447 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 7:59 am to
I guess Bermuda will be obliterated
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51250 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 8:00 am to
Yesterday:



Today:



I like this trend. Hope it moves further east and spares damage along the east coast.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146896 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 8:08 am to
the 06z GFS... after coming further south & west the last few runs has gone back east and kept it out to see with no landfall

everything overnight seemed to be really good for the Gulf coast... hope the trend continues
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21248 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 8:09 am to
quote:


I like this trend. Hope it moves further east and spares damage along the east coast.



The overnight trends were encouraging but still a lot of uncertainty in how the overall pattern will develop. The main thing to watch over the next few days is how far SW does the storm get before turning back to the north.

Even in the short range, the remnants of Harvey will merge with a trough as it moves NE. The evolution of that process will play a role in the strength and orientation of the high over the top of Irma. Then there is the upper level low of to the NW of Irma that will also play a role. Lots of energy swirling around the N. Atlantic that will play a role in determining what the high to the north of Irma does.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 8:16 am to
Here's a good graphic I found on twitter via @HenryMargusity

Posted by JetFuelTyga
Born in desert,raised in lion's den
Member since Feb 2016
1799 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 8:29 am to
All I can see is disproportionate dick-n-balls in that strong Atlantic ridging
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12995 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 8:31 am to
Damn it! Now I see it too.
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 8:31 am
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51250 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 8:58 am to
Looks strangely sexual, like a triple penetration. Weird feelings.

Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
43440 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:05 am to
I see Irma getting some dick and balls in her future! Congratulations Irma on the sex
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146896 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:06 am to
quote:

Looks strangely sexual, like a triple penetration. Weird feelings.

you know Grammy Irma liked it that way back in the day
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91491 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:08 am to
quote:

Even in the short range, the remnants of Harvey will merge with a trough as it moves NE. The evolution of that process will play a role in the strength and orientation of the high over the top of Irma.


If we're going to rely on Harvey for help, we're fricked.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146896 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:17 am to
off topic... potential Jose has a 50% chance of development over the next 5 days

ETA: 06z GFS didn't develop Jose at all... 00z Euro had Jose develop but die out in the Atlantic before getting to the islands
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 9:20 am
Posted by MottLaneKid
Gonzales
Member since Apr 2012
4543 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 9:44 am to
1kt = 1.15 mph.

10kt = 11.5 mph

100kt = 115 mph
Posted by Telstra
Member since Feb 2017
42 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:00 am to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36491 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:03 am to


The 0z Euro ensemble split.

Breaking it down:

21 of 51 show a recurve and Irma missing land. That's a damn strong 42%.

15 of 51 show Irma hitting Florida. 29%

9 of 51 show Irma hitting the Carolinas. 18%

4 of 51 show Irma in the GOM. 8%

1 of 51 show Irma hitting the NE. 2%
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
101482 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:25 am to
quote:

triple penetration.


Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51250 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:27 am to
Irma needs to make that jog northwest at or before 52W. If it stays on a southwesterly track to 53W before turning north it starts becoming dicey for the east coast. It it goes to 54W, we likely have problems brewing for the GOM and south Florida.

Turn, damn you, Irma! Turn!
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