Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down | Page 23 | O-T Lounge
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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:22 am to
Posted by ShamelessPel
Metairie
Member since Apr 2013
13086 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:22 am to
Which one of you experts is _supernovasky elsewhere?
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78095 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:24 am to
supernovasky has been notably absent. He was instrumental to the success of this board's knowledge during last year's flood.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:47 am to
That lack of post make it obvious, but 12z GFS again keeps Irma out of the Gulf.

Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
108264 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:50 am to
What may I expect from Irma on the Atlantic Coast?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146896 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:51 am to
quote:

That lack of post make it obvious, but 12z GFS again keeps Irma out of the Gulf.

out of the Gulf, yes... but not off land again

once again the X is on Rhode Island & Connecticut

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36491 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:51 am to


In today's "As The GFS Turns", slightly stronger high and a little south and west of previous runs. Still running up off the east coast.

About the closest the GFS and Euro have been to each other thus far.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146896 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:52 am to
quote:

What may I expect from Irma on the Atlantic Coast?

I'd be watching with serious interest if I was you... not fear or concern (yet)... just serious interest
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
108264 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:54 am to
I watch them all with interest, even if they aren't hitting my area directly. Always hopeful the worst doesn't happen to anyone.
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 11:55 am
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146896 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:54 am to
quote:

In today's "As The GFS Turns"

Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138457 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:55 am to
quote:

once again the X is on Rhode Island & Connecticut

What kind of winds would they be getting at landfall?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43340 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:55 am to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146896 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:56 am to
quote:

What kind of winds would they be getting at landfall?

970mb low I believe correlates to a Cat 1 or 2 hurricane if memory serves
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
156644 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:57 am to
quote:

Huge shifts east. Good trend.


Not for all of us.

More North more quickly please, Irma.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104675 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:58 am to
quote:

once again the X is on Rhode Island & Connecticut


Houston is bigger than Rhode Island. Could you imagine a whole state getting wiped out?
Posted by Tiger at Law
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
3009 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 12:18 pm to
I had been considering a trip to fort Lauderdale starting on Sept 16...for some reason I haven't been able to pull the trigger on that quite yet
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3197 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

Houston is bigger than Rhode Island. Could you imagine a whole state getting wiped out?


I always wondered how money taxpayers waste on New England states having separate City/County/State governments covering roughly the same footprint.

We're to the point now where we have 100+ years of experience with large states with multiple municipalities (Texas, California), you think we'd be able to save millions of dollars by say, fostering a merger between CT and RI. Companies do it all the time to cut overhead.

Of course, those states aren't going to reduce their own representation in Congress....
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
163904 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 12:38 pm to
quote:



LINK
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 12:38 pm to
We are still at the point of individual model runs not really mattering but the ensembles are getting more useful and there is certainly a trend in the GEFS.

This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 12:39 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49842 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 12:42 pm to
Looks to me like the ensembles are trending southwestward on the eastern coast. Is the Gulf possibly coming back into play?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36491 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 12:47 pm to
The gulf hasn't been out of play and won't be for a while.

The trend is having the GFs ensamble members and the Euro ensamble members starting to cluster closer and closer together and making an Atlantic coast scare or hit appear significantly more likely at this point. Still too much spread to feel comfortable ruling much of anywhere out.
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