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Message
re: New thread started for Beryl
Posted on 6/16/24 at 1:18 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 6/16/24 at 1:18 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
GFS through 1pm Thursday
0
Posted on 6/16/24 at 1:51 pm to LegendInMyMind
Legend with the GFS showing 1-2 inches, the Euro showing .75-1.25 inches and the QPF showing 3-5 inches for south Louisiana what do you follow as a rule of thumb? QPF?
Posted on 6/16/24 at 1:55 pm to SWLA92
I would say the GFS and Euro are under playing the rain a little here. Very juicy atmosphere. Not saying you know a foot of rain lol. That cell south of Baton Rouge bet you would get 1-2 inches in a short amount of time just today
This post was edited on 6/16/24 at 1:58 pm
Posted on 6/16/24 at 2:03 pm to lsuman25
I was thinking the same thing with them under doing it because yesterday both models were showing multiple inches
Posted on 6/16/24 at 2:08 pm to SWLA92
quote:
Legend with the GFS showing 1-2 inches, the Euro showing .75-1.25 inches and the QPF showing 3-5 inches for south Louisiana what do you follow as a rule of thumb? QPF?
Only one of those is an actual forecast, the QPF which is put out by forecasters at the WPC. I'd favor the actual forecast over models every time.
With these sloppy systems it can be hit or miss and vary greatly across a region. The WPC, with the Excessive Rainfall Outlook, tries to account for those variables.
Posted on 6/16/24 at 6:58 pm to rds dc
Levi put a video up on tropical tidbits
Posted on 6/16/24 at 6:59 pm to Bestbank Tiger
quote:
The reason is we have a La Niña pattern, which reduces wind shear in the Atlantic basin.
But they are still saying the sea temperatures are out of this world hot.
Posted on 6/16/24 at 8:09 pm to SWLA92
The NAM is getting in range now.
Through 1am Thursday
Through 1am Thursday
Posted on 6/16/24 at 8:43 pm to LegendInMyMind
Hopefully that verifies, most of the heavy rain stays off shore.
Posted on 6/16/24 at 9:08 pm to LegendInMyMind
I saw 40+ numbers earlier. Is it safe to say that crazy arse number isn’t in play?
Posted on 6/16/24 at 9:10 pm to LegendInMyMind
Y'all want to send some of that rain up to me?
We, unlike Rummy, really need it.
We, unlike Rummy, really need it.
Posted on 6/16/24 at 10:20 pm to Duke
Baw, I would if I could. That situation just sucks.
Posted on 6/16/24 at 10:25 pm to SWLA92
quote:
both models were showing multiple inches
Pride can't end soon enough
Posted on 6/16/24 at 10:38 pm to LegendInMyMind
86% contained as of tonight. 
Posted on 6/16/24 at 10:51 pm to Duke
That’s great to hear
Fires are so scary
Fires are so scary
Posted on 6/16/24 at 10:55 pm to Duke
quote:
86% contained as of tonight.
That lake needs a MVP trophy. Good stuff!
This post was edited on 6/16/24 at 10:57 pm
Posted on 6/16/24 at 10:59 pm to SWLA92
The 00z NAM bumps the totals up a bit. Keep in mind that this adds another 6 hours to the last run that I posted.
Through 7am Thursday
Through 7am Thursday
Posted on 6/16/24 at 11:43 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Very juicy atmosphere. Not saying you know a foot of rain lol. That cell south of Baton Rouge bet you would get 1-2 inches in a short amount of time just today
Anyone was in Biloxi this afternoon?
It was very squally and the rain kept coming.
I sought shelter at the Hard Rock and gambled my arse off all afternoon.
I could hear the thunder from outside over the loud music and ringing of the slot machines.
I finally gave up at 4:30 and went outside to the garage for my car. It was still very breezy and the rain was coming down. I left in the rain, some sections of 90 had water that collected on the road and made for slow going to head home.
Posted on 6/17/24 at 6:12 am to rds dc
What about Blue Öyster Cult?
Posted on 6/17/24 at 8:12 am to Duke
quote:
We, unlike Rummy, really need it.
Hope y'all are safe and that the fires are out soon.
Also...
I will gladly give you my 6" so you can rest easier.
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