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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:37 pm to MsGarrison
quote:Those clouds pushing out isn't the best of news with regards to instability. But, this happens like 20 times a year in north Alabama, so hopefully people will be smart this afternoon.
Skies are clearing for the moment in bham sun shining
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:37 pm to ptra
Damn....Stay safe over there, folks.....
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:38 pm to MsGarrison
I don’t think I would want the sun to come out in any of these area prior to the storms building
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:41 pm to Titus Pullo
From NWS Huntsville...
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:43 pm to deeprig9
That little storm that went just by Russellville wans't very heavy but had some very interesting and tight strong rotation signatures, it wouldn't surprise me if a small tornado spun up on that one in the last 20 minutes.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:46 pm to ptra
I agree. Temp was 64 now 70 just in a span of 20 mins
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:49 pm to ptra
quote:
I don’t think I would want the sun to come out in any of these area prior to the storms building
Definitely not..
Remember naively thinking on April 27th in Tuscaloosa "oh look the sun is out, they must have been wrong about the severe weather threat" about 4 hours before huddling in a closet with 10 other people.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:50 pm to rds dc
quote:
Latest HRRR soundings are showing CAPE above 2,000 with SRH pushing 500
Yeah, I definitely whiffed on the soundings I looked at. No doubt those numbers support explosive potential.
quote:
That generates EHI values about 6 across areas of N. Bama later on, so the SPC MOD is certainly warranted.
Without a doubt. Typically if the SPC upgrades and I'm not near the same thinking, I'm going to re-evaulate my thinking.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:52 pm to Duke
I don't see this being a huge outbreak, but tornadoes that form could be long tracked and strong.
That being said I feel like they're just throwing 15% tors out like candy.
That being said I feel like they're just throwing 15% tors out like candy.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:55 pm to deeprig9
West of Birmingham is starting to pop up a little. About 30 minutes ago that just appeared as light rain on radar
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:55 pm to GEAUXmedic
I’m sure there is reason to be aware and take precautions but no doubt James Spann will use this event to spread a little fear in order to build his brand.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 12:59 pm to FairhopeTider
quote:
James Spann will use this event to spread a little fear in order to build his brand.
He's been going after trolls all morning on social media.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 1:00 pm to AHM21
quote:
He's been going after trolls all morning on social media
Which tells you all you need to know about him. Should’ve been fired after his smugness led to Snowmageddon.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 1:08 pm to FairhopeTider
Posted on 3/19/18 at 1:12 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
That being said I feel like they're just throwing 15% tors out like candy.
SPC uses an ingredients based approach and advances in modeling have allowed forecasters to focus in on smaller aeeas than in the past to identify risk. This allows them more confidence to issue a 15% (or other levels) since that verifies more often the smaller the area. However, forecasting tornadoes remains extremely difficult with lots of questions still unanswered as to why similar environments don't produce similar results and the "bust" is always a potentially good outcome.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 1:24 pm to ptra
Reed Timmer in Cullman AL.
Posted on 3/19/18 at 1:29 pm to ptra
I lived in N. Alabama 15 years ago. :shudder:
Posted on 3/19/18 at 1:35 pm to rds dc
Jesus. That is way more than enough energy for a Dixie threat.
Also if anyone wants to watch download the "live chasing" app or go to livestormchasing.com.
Also if anyone wants to watch download the "live chasing" app or go to livestormchasing.com.
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