Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Tropical Storm Cindy | Page 23 | O-T Lounge
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy

Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:08 pm to
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78123 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:08 pm to
Good assessment. Most of the neighborhoods off 74/73 are going for $140 sq ft.
Posted by beerJeep
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2016
38040 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:09 pm to
So what's the Amite river supposed to do?

Spring flood, lost our bulkhead. Fixed it. Lost it and our entire back yard in the August flood. Now just chilling with my house hanging over the edge of the river.

Am I gonna wake up in the river this week?
Posted by poops_at_parties
Member since Jan 2016
1545 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

Are these private carriers admitted?

Admitted or not, it's the company's choice to participate in the Write Your Own program. Some have just decided to tell FEMA/NFIP to go screw themselves and be on the hook for the flood claims from the onset. One company in particular will never admit that's why they got out of it but I can guarantee it's why. I know it from the former CEO's mouth.
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14584 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

Development is causing impervious surfaces which creates flooding. Water has to go somewhere.



There are two flood event types:

1) Flash flood. This is where the rain comes down so fast it cannot drain out of the area before it backs up into houses. this usually happens while it is raining or immediately after it rains. This can be effected by building up for subdivisions, or drainage canals/ditches being blocked up, ect.

2) river back water. This is where large amounts of rain over a protracted rain event swell rivers and tributaries, and the rivers and tributaries cannot drain the amount of water fast enough that it back up and causing flooding. This is not effected much by development, as the water takes the elevation of its container flooding everything at an equal "flood elevation" this is what we saw last August
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:21 pm to
Euro moved east.

Posted by poops_at_parties
Member since Jan 2016
1545 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:29 pm to
That would bring the majority of the rainfall over us.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:35 pm to
Former NHC Director, current Weather Channel hurricane specialist

quote:

Dr. Rick Knabb @DrRickKnabb
9m
Tropical storm watch or warning could be issued for portions of U.S. Gulf Coast later today, if so via advisories on TC or potential TC.
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 1:36 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43268 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:35 pm to
Looks like recon is heading towards 93L.
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11951 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:36 pm to
So when should the barometric pressure start dropping so I know when to go fish?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21263 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Euro moved east.


This actually could be a pretty big win for the GFS. The Euro was way south and for days had very little US impacts from this system. It mostly showed rain in deep S. Texas outside of a few random runs had that rain up into C. Texas. It constantly was focusing on the southern portion of the system and keeping it mostly buried deep in the BOC.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:41 pm to
If anyone wants to track recon here is the link:

LINK
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
9022 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

This actually could be a pretty big win for the GFS



This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 1:45 pm
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:44 pm to
Glad it can get a win. Gonna be a big fat L for those of us in swla.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:46 pm to
@JoshEachus
1m
East facing shorelines may experience some surge with tides running 2-4 feet above normal. #Invest93L #LaWX #MsWX

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21263 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:47 pm to
12z Euro is 5 - 9" for areas from Baton Rouge over to Pensacola. GFS is shifted to the E of that with totals generally higher.


Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13934 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:52 pm to
Outermost feeder band of large, currently disorganized 93L has reached Plaquemines Parish.

Posted by maxxrajun70
baton rouge
Member since Oct 2011
3726 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 1:58 pm to
ohh for fricks sake I know my generator is not going to start
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104734 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 2:00 pm to
Any chance it could keep shifting east and miss us, or too late for that?
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4921 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Outermost feeder band of large, currently disorganized 93L has reached Plaquemines Parish.


blue skies and sunshine here in Belle Chasse
Posted by SohCahToa
New Orleans, La
Member since Jan 2011
7786 posts
Posted on 6/19/17 at 2:06 pm to
So hypothetically speaking, if someone you know was leaving Houston to drive to New orleans wednesday around 2pm, how much of a shite show do we feel the weather would be?
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