Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Will the real estate bubble ever burst? | Page 4 | O-T Lounge
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re: Will the real estate bubble ever burst?

Posted on 4/3/21 at 7:41 am to
Posted by Gorilla Ball
Az
Member since Feb 2006
13001 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 7:41 am to
Yes everything usually has some sort of shift - could be rates creeping up, inflation, etc.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16270 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 7:52 am to
quote:

It absolutely has. Check prices on any wood products from Jan 2020 to today, all woods including. OSB,particle board,


Lumber has risen in price 200% but the cost to build has not risen 200%. Lumber represent maybe 20% of the build cost now. Used to be like 15% of the build cost

The cost of labor hasn’t gone up much.
Windows, flooring, doors are about the same As they were a year ago.
Electrical hasn’t gone up much
Plumbing maybe a bit higher but may even be cheaper

Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11788 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 8:01 am to
A common mistake is thinking bubbles have to burst. Bubbles do not have to burst. Prices can start to slow down or even move sideways and underlying values catch up to them.
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
98828 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 8:12 am to
Of course it will. That’s why they call it a bubble
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16270 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 8:23 am to
One thing that is happening which has never happened before quite like this is the migration from urban to sub urban and even rural areas.
Covid created a new work from home reality and it’s become a long term reality.

So there are these bubbles happening in remote areas but buying pressure lessened in the urban areas. Talk to realtors in Manhattan or San Fran vs Bose Montana or Prescott Arizona... two different stories.

This is happening all over the place.
So this bubble might be regional vs country wide.
This post was edited on 4/3/21 at 8:11 pm
Posted by BigDroop
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jun 2008
676 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 8:27 am to
Check the Link in my previous entry, wood pricing increases alone have added approx $24k to every planned aned completed homes value. If you had plannned on building using last year’s prices, you are now 24k further indebted. All finished wood products have skyrocketed including doors and walls. The damn OSB and roofing shingles alone have hurt home builders nationwide.

ETA LINK
This post was edited on 4/3/21 at 8:30 am
Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
45222 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 8:34 am to
No. Housing has been viewed as a right in this country, and barriers removed by the feds. It is one investment that you should always be in.
Posted by gumbo2176
Member since May 2018
19790 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 8:44 am to
quote:

New Orleans baffles me. shotgun doubles are going for well over half a million dollars.


I grew up in the Lower 9th Ward and when I see the Real Estate section of the paper on Saturdays and see some of those old houses in that depressed area selling for $250K and up, it makes me scratch my head and wonder the same.

A house next door to the one I use to live in was bought in 2019, remodeled over the course of a year and put on the market. It sold for something like $375K several months ago after being on the market for a few weeks. This house is located on Dauphine and Flood St. in what is now being called "The Historic Holy Cross District".

However, that name doesn't change the actual location and the fact much of that area is seriously depressed and totally lacking in infrastructure as far as markets, drug stores, medical facilities, etc.
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
28701 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 8:47 am to
By the time Biden gets done fricking everything up it will crash.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
180753 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 8:52 am to
quote:

Windows


90% of windows are oil-based products. The price has started to go up and will continue to do so.

quote:

flooring


Depends on the product but there has been pricing increases

quote:

doors


Again...has seen pricing increases.

quote:

Electrical hasn’t gone up much


Copper has gone up and the prediction is that it will continue to do so as China seems to be buying up all that they can.






I bought a 250' roll of 12/2 Romex for $60 in September. That same roll is around $100 today.

quote:

Plumbing maybe a bit higher but may even be cheaper



Pex and PVC...oil based. Copper...see above.


Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 8:57 am to
quote:

SlidellCajun


Why are you always so wrong about everything? You are either a real life fricking idiot or a really good troll
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
180753 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 8:59 am to
Posted by Gadzooks
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2020
326 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 9:02 am to
quote:

All part of the Left's master plan.
Get everyone to buy overpriced homes, crash the market, force everyone into government housing.


Such crafty f'ers over there on the left. Just one phase of their mass attempts to take complete control.

Posted by LSUtoBOOT
Member since Aug 2012
19651 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 9:09 am to
quote:

That said as it applies to New Orleans, the bubble pops when Katrina 2 happens.


Katrina 2, Electric S&WBoogaloo.
Posted by KickPuncher
Member since Jun 2020
754 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 9:10 am to
My mom neighbor just sold their house for almost $250k but was really going to offer it for about $20k less. But he still went with the high ball number and it sold within days. I told my mom to list her house for $300k to see if someone jumps on it. Maybe even that tree fiddy for the ironic lols.
Posted by sawtooth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2017
3588 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 9:14 am to
When will the government force renters to start to pay back all of the money they have been allowing renters to defer? I see a spike in homelessness very soon.
Posted by madamsquirrel
The big somewhere out there
Member since Jul 2009
55724 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 9:22 am to
I am now seriously considering putting ours on the market just to see what happens since our neighbor sold immediately for a ridiculous price.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78093 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 9:25 am to
So you’re saying that you’re always right about everything?
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
73742 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 9:27 am to
quote:

I told my mom to list her house for $300k to see if someone jumps on it.
Pics of her and the house and I’ll let you know about the likelihood of both.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 4/3/21 at 9:31 am to
quote:

wood pricing increases alone have added approx $24k to every planned aned completed homes value.

And I can confirm this as far as new construction. Adding $24k to a $200k home is a big step. New builders need to decide whether to downsize a few hundred square feet, or just simply absorb the increase.

Not sure how it directly affects the cost of a completed/existing home, other than through comparison shopping allowing the increased value.
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