- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Winter Olympics
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: ABC Poll: Trump approval 36%, 49% back impeachment
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:18 am to Y.A. Tittle
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:18 am to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
For which particular high crime or misdemeanor?
They will say Cohen...which turns out isn't a crime at all. SAD!
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:19 am to Bunyan
quote:
They will say Cohen...which turns out isn't a crime at all. SAD!
49% of the country couldn't tell you who Cohen is.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:19 am to Northwestern tiger
Impeach for what? Kicking everybody's asses??
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:21 am to Northwestern tiger
quote:
1003 "adults"
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:29 am to Northwestern tiger
quote:
METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Aug. 26-29, 2018, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.6 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 33-25-37 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.
LINK
Design effect?

Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:29 am to Northwestern tiger
Democrats really want a President Mike Pence
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:31 am to Northwestern tiger
quote:
60 % disapprove
So 60% actually approve then?
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:34 am to GumboPot
quote:
Partisan divisions are 33-25-37 percent
33+25+37 = 95
So we are short 5% off the top and also under-sampled the Republicans by approximately 6-8%
I am fairly skeptical of the results
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:36 am to laxtonto
Seems like you make a polls say anything you want when you include the "design effect".
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:37 am to Northwestern tiger
I'm still not convinced any polling agency has tapped into Trump's America.
After the election, MIT (I think) put out an article talking about how the pollsters and media got it so wrong. They plotted Hillary supporters and Trump supporter's social media presence as dots on a graph (very little overlap), then they overlayed the media's social media presence on top of that. Guess where just about all of them landed? Right over Hillary voters and none of the Trump voters.
The bottom line of this article was that the media and pollsters didn't necessarily misread the Trump voters, they had no actual idea who they were or where they where.
How can you possibly give an accurate snapshot of America's political pulse when you don't know half of America? I really think this is still happening today. We've seen zero course correction or effort by the media to reach Trump's America, and it's looking like they are falling into the same trap again.
After the election, MIT (I think) put out an article talking about how the pollsters and media got it so wrong. They plotted Hillary supporters and Trump supporter's social media presence as dots on a graph (very little overlap), then they overlayed the media's social media presence on top of that. Guess where just about all of them landed? Right over Hillary voters and none of the Trump voters.
The bottom line of this article was that the media and pollsters didn't necessarily misread the Trump voters, they had no actual idea who they were or where they where.
How can you possibly give an accurate snapshot of America's political pulse when you don't know half of America? I really think this is still happening today. We've seen zero course correction or effort by the media to reach Trump's America, and it's looking like they are falling into the same trap again.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:38 am to GumboPot
This poll seems like an outlier just like Rasmussen
It’s really around 43 or 44%
It’s really around 43 or 44%
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:39 am to ibldprplgld
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/27/23 at 3:12 am
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:41 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
This poll seems like an outlier just like Rasmussen
You can call Rasmussen an outlier however there polling methodology was the same under the Obama administration as it currently is under the Trump administration.
Was Rasmussen an outlier during the Obama administration?
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:43 am to DelU249
quote:
You’re assuming they want to
They don’t. It was satisfying to hear trump clearly express what many of us have been saying. These polls are fake and the intent is to supress your vote.
Exactly. They want to sway public opinion a certain way, not present of snap shot of it.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:43 am to DelU249
quote:
These polls are fake and the intent is to supress your vote.
Oh, the "design effect".
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:43 am to Northwestern tiger
quote:
So ABC News dug through states’ voting history, demographic shifts and head-to-head polling to develop these electoral ratings. ABC News’ puts Clinton at 274 electoral votes and Trump at 188, when including both solid and leaning states, which would give Clinton enough states right now in the solid and lean blue columns to hand her the White House. Seventy-six electoral votes are in toss-up states.
ABC polls are worthless
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:45 am to Walkthedawg
ABC had Georgia as a tossup. 
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:46 am to FLTech
quote:
Impeach for what?
For embarrassing all of the Hillary supporters who bragged two weeks before the 2016 election that Hillary was going to win in a landslide.
Posted on 8/31/18 at 9:48 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Rasmussen? If it can even be considered an outlier, its, maybe a 2pt outlier.
36% is some 10+ pts off. This is meant to drag the RcP average down. This happened during the 16 election as well.
36% is some 10+ pts off. This is meant to drag the RcP average down. This happened during the 16 election as well.
Popular
Back to top


1











