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re: Historical polar motion... has fully ended
Posted on 1/3/26 at 11:36 pm to NC_Tigah
Posted on 1/3/26 at 11:36 pm to NC_Tigah
You are of course expertly summarizing the classical geophyiscs rebuttal to "State 2." However, the classical rebuttal relies on the assumption that Earth’s internal state is static, whereas the latest data suggests it is dynamic and accelerating.
The primary "alarming" data point involves the IERS Bulletin A plots. Recent observations show a "tightening" of the Chandler Wobble which could be the mantle's density blobs (LLVPs) pulling the crust out of its stable orbit because the magnetic field can no longer dampen the rotational torque.
The NGS replacement of the NAD 83 and NAVD 88 datums officially revealed that the old "stable" coordinate system for North America was misaligned with the Earth's center by over 2 meters. It could be that the reason we need to shift our entire coordinate system by up to 4 meters in 2026 is that the physical ground is no longer where the satellites say it should be.
Jiang confirmed that the Sun's northern polar field is at its weakest level in over 50 years and is expected to decline sharply until March 2026 which might affect the Birkeland current. If the Sun's magnetic "grip" on the Earth's core weakens simultaneously with the Earth's own field failure, the "State 2" transition becomes inevitable.
There's no question that these assertions haven't gained significant public traction yet but that may largely be because the data isn't yet conclusive. Until the data is conclusive, there's no reason to say one way or the other
The primary "alarming" data point involves the IERS Bulletin A plots. Recent observations show a "tightening" of the Chandler Wobble which could be the mantle's density blobs (LLVPs) pulling the crust out of its stable orbit because the magnetic field can no longer dampen the rotational torque.
The NGS replacement of the NAD 83 and NAVD 88 datums officially revealed that the old "stable" coordinate system for North America was misaligned with the Earth's center by over 2 meters. It could be that the reason we need to shift our entire coordinate system by up to 4 meters in 2026 is that the physical ground is no longer where the satellites say it should be.
Jiang confirmed that the Sun's northern polar field is at its weakest level in over 50 years and is expected to decline sharply until March 2026 which might affect the Birkeland current. If the Sun's magnetic "grip" on the Earth's core weakens simultaneously with the Earth's own field failure, the "State 2" transition becomes inevitable.
There's no question that these assertions haven't gained significant public traction yet but that may largely be because the data isn't yet conclusive. Until the data is conclusive, there's no reason to say one way or the other
1
Posted on 1/4/26 at 12:03 am to somethingdifferent
Very few.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 12:20 am to m2pro
quote:so I need to move on top of a mountain by July?
Our poles will shift to 104 degrees, on axis. Greenland will become the new "it" for 100-400 years, before this resets again, and poles are stabilized.
I’ll try and run it by the wife tomorrow and see how fast we can move. Thanks for the heads up
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:47 am to somethingdifferent
quote:Nothing about outercore turbulence and magnetic polar shift assumes a "static internal state." That is more or less the entire point. On the other hand, Dzhanibekov Oscillations require a static internal state.
classical rebuttal relies on the assumption that Earth’s internal state is static
quote:Perhaps someone should acquaint Jiang with the Laws of Gravity?
Jiang confirmed that the Sun's northern polar field is at its weakest level in over 50 years and is expected to decline sharply until March 2026 which might affect the Birkeland current. If the Sun's magnetic "grip" on the Earth's core weakens simultaneously with the Earth's own field failure, the "State 2" transition becomes inevitable.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 5:01 am to m2pro
quote:
So, basically, we're looking a range of occurrence of between the year 2325-3325.
quote:
Incorrect. Some models are imminent. Some suggest 10-20 years. Some suggest imminent to 300-400 years.
2025 + 300 =2,325 last time I checked
He isn’t “incorrect” - the numbers match
In the 70s, science told my parents that the oceans would be boiling by now based on their “modeling”
We then were told that planes would fall out of the sky 1/1/2000 based on models and predictions
The world was ending in 2012 when the Mayan Calendar rolled over and I have yet to see a serpent god gliding over to consume my children
Pretty sure we were recently told that we would all be fighting over gasoline like fricking Mad Max by a date a few years ago or some shite.
Also, didn’t CERN rip a hole in space time and release demons that only used their unprecedented opportunity to make us all collectively disagree on when and where Nelson Mandela died?
Let’s not even talk about the “models” used for the Covid debacle lol
What about the solar storms they tell us will kick off the apocalypse every few years and then everyone can still talk about them online?
What about the “possible” spaceship that was supposed to arrive recently or some shite?
The point is that they do not know. Educated guesses are fine and dandy but “science” has a pretty bad batting average over the entire span of its short existence when it comes to stuff like this.
Furthermore there’s nothing we can do on the off chance that any of this shite even happens.
By the way, there are models that suggest nothing is happening and that nothing will happen.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 5:31 am to m2pro
ChatGPT:
This post uses real polar motion data but draws conclusions that go far beyond what the data supports. Polar motion naturally includes Chandler wobble, seasonal effects, and short-term variability, which often produce loops, cusps, and sharp turns when signals briefly line up. A directional change or short burst of faster motion over days or weeks is not unusual and has appeared many times in the historical record. The charts look dramatic largely because of scaling and presentation, not because the Earth’s rotation system has entered a new physical regime.
The main flaw is extrapolating about one month of data into claims of runaway, exponential drift and failed core-mantle coupling. Earth rotation is strongly damped and continuously influenced by the atmosphere, oceans, and hydrology, so short-term accelerations do not compound freely. If something fundamental had broken, we would already see clear changes in length of day, nutation, and formal alerts from global monitoring bodies. None of that is happening, so this should be read as speculative interpretation, not evidence of an unfolding geophysical crisis.
This post uses real polar motion data but draws conclusions that go far beyond what the data supports. Polar motion naturally includes Chandler wobble, seasonal effects, and short-term variability, which often produce loops, cusps, and sharp turns when signals briefly line up. A directional change or short burst of faster motion over days or weeks is not unusual and has appeared many times in the historical record. The charts look dramatic largely because of scaling and presentation, not because the Earth’s rotation system has entered a new physical regime.
The main flaw is extrapolating about one month of data into claims of runaway, exponential drift and failed core-mantle coupling. Earth rotation is strongly damped and continuously influenced by the atmosphere, oceans, and hydrology, so short-term accelerations do not compound freely. If something fundamental had broken, we would already see clear changes in length of day, nutation, and formal alerts from global monitoring bodies. None of that is happening, so this should be read as speculative interpretation, not evidence of an unfolding geophysical crisis.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 8:05 am to scrooster
quote:I remember when the airports had to re-number the runways to match the actual compass headings.
For any map readers who have ever relied on topo maps and had to put a compass on a map ... it's a dramatic thing to suddenly see and realize.
Places you flew into regularly took a while to get used to calling it the new number...
Posted on 1/4/26 at 9:53 am to MasterDigger
quote:
I remember when the airports had to re-number the runways to match the actual compass headings.
Places you flew into regularly took a while to get used to calling it the new number...
I have never thought of that, until now. That's an incredible observation.
Posted on 1/8/26 at 1:00 am to m2pro
quote:
Greenland is ideal for the new equator.
Maybe Trump right on this Greenland after all.
Trump gon’ JG Wentworth on their arse.
It’s our Greenland and we need it now!
Posted on 1/8/26 at 1:33 am to m2pro
This is not talking about the magnetic poles. This is talking about the physical poles moving to where the north and south poles would be along the equator lines. The core of the earth would violently spin until settling into a new pole. Most of the earth's population will be gone. Both polar ice caps will melt, new ice caps would be created and land masses would be separated by massive earthquakes.
Posted on 1/8/26 at 1:44 am to MikkUGA
However there is zero scientific evidence this has ever happened or will ever happen. They literally list the percent chance of it happening at 0%.
Posted on 1/8/26 at 8:12 am to m2pro
January is everything. What are we seeing so far?
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