Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Latest Nate Silver model shows Trump by almost 21 | Page 4 | Political Talk
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re: Latest Nate Silver model shows Trump by almost 21

Posted on 9/6/24 at 8:54 am to
Posted by Gifman
Member since Jan 2021
18359 posts
Posted on 9/6/24 at 8:54 am to
quote:

quote:
Fun Bunch on 3/16/24 at 5:15 pm

frick you. As long as MAGA exists we are at war. When MAGA goes away, when trump and everyone related to him dues horrible, screeching deaths, and there heirs die too, we can have peace. Until then, frick off and frick you. ...


Posted by Sweep Da Leg
Member since Sep 2013
2618 posts
Posted on 9/6/24 at 10:52 am to
No it’s not it’s smoke and mirrors bullshite. They don’t even include Rasmussen anymore even though it’s by far the most accurate and consistent plus they show their work unlike the msm and uniparty polls
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21248 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:29 am to
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
142527 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:32 am to
RCP uses Rasmussen, 538 doesn’t.

Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
26713 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:35 am to
Trump and the house and senate races are down by 4 TDs heading into the 4th quarter

Trump is getting his arse kicked!!
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25489 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:36 am to
Please let this be true and work out his way.
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
119977 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:54 am to
quote:

Please let this be true and work out his way.


If Trump skunks her in the debate and with any jail sentence going out the window before the Election Day, this race will be effectively over barring another assassination attempt.
Posted by shoelessjoe
Member since Jul 2006
11299 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Trump and the house and senate races are down by 4 TDs heading into the 4th quarter Trump is getting his arse kicked!!

FLTech I know you are a huge Trump supporter, and I am as well. What worries me more than anything is the cheating that will take place. I know Trump will have the actual votes but it’s the fake ones that bother me!!
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
26713 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 7:03 pm to
I am worried about Cheating, Illegals voting, etc.

I feel so confident though that Lara Trump, Alina, etc are watching this closely. There's going to be cheating but I am confident that they will hopefully stop the bleeding with all of the cheating.

One thing that I am very concerned about is there are a lot of lifelong democrats coming over to MAGA and they will vote for Trump, but still vote for Democrats on the down ballots because that's how their brains have been programmed to do.
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 7:13 pm
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
24065 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 7:09 pm to
How come nobody wants to talk about the swing state cheat?

People are afraid to discuss this.....but not Trump! Hopefully the RNC is totally prepared to combat this BS!
Posted by joseywales1
Member since Apr 2021
103 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 7:12 pm to
yet the odds in Vegas doesn't change. I'm mega but nothing makes any sense.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
142527 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 7:13 pm to
quote:

The only thing they will have left is jailing Trump on Sept 18


Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
26713 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 7:56 pm to
Posted by tigersbh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
12882 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:56 pm to
quote:

funny RCP has Kamala barely winning 273 - 265


The state polls are lagging the national polls. Stay tuned.
Posted by BlueFalcon
Aberdeen Scotland
Member since Dec 2011
3644 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:17 pm to
They're going to pump out that Trump either lost the debate or something along the lines that he "won the wrong way"
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
176442 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:55 pm to
quote:

funny RCP has Kamala barely winning 273 - 265

RCP isn’t a model. It’s simply and average of polls. The stuff Silver and other people do is put out forecast models that weight and unskew polls. They’re not anything close to the same thing.
Posted by DesScorp
Alabama
Member since Sep 2017
9903 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:59 pm to
quote:

Trump skunks her in the debate and with any jail sentence going out the window before the Election Day, this race will be effectively over barring another assassination attempt.


Another failed assassination attempt would only help Trump even more.
Posted by TigerCoon
Member since Nov 2005
22468 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:28 pm to
Wait. I'm a Trump guy, but these numbers look made up.
Posted by TigerCoon
Member since Nov 2005
22468 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:32 pm to
This post reminds me of election night 2016. I'm an old dude, and I was IMing another even older dude until like 2 am, saying "this magnificent bastard is gonna do it". We couldn't sleep. I'd like to do that again.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
25190 posts
Posted on 9/8/24 at 11:20 pm to
quote:

Is Nate Silver the one that was wrong in 2016?
of all the 538 models I’m pretty sure the only pollster that was right in 2016 was Trafalgar Group
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