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re: Latest Nate Silver model shows Trump by almost 21
Posted on 9/6/24 at 8:54 am to Fat Bastard
Posted on 9/6/24 at 8:54 am to Fat Bastard
quote:
quote:
Fun Bunch on 3/16/24 at 5:15 pm
frick you. As long as MAGA exists we are at war. When MAGA goes away, when trump and everyone related to him dues horrible, screeching deaths, and there heirs die too, we can have peace. Until then, frick off and frick you. ...

Posted on 9/6/24 at 10:52 am to jrodLSUke
No it’s not it’s smoke and mirrors bullshite. They don’t even include Rasmussen anymore even though it’s by far the most accurate and consistent plus they show their work unlike the msm and uniparty polls
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:29 am to Night Vision
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:32 am to Sweep Da Leg
RCP uses Rasmussen, 538 doesn’t.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:35 am to Night Vision
Trump and the house and senate races are down by 4 TDs heading into the 4th quarter
Trump is getting his arse kicked!!
Trump is getting his arse kicked!!
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:36 am to rds dc
Please let this be true and work out his way.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:54 am to TDTOM
quote:
Please let this be true and work out his way.
If Trump skunks her in the debate and with any jail sentence going out the window before the Election Day, this race will be effectively over barring another assassination attempt.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 12:46 pm to FLTech
quote:
Trump and the house and senate races are down by 4 TDs heading into the 4th quarter Trump is getting his arse kicked!!
FLTech I know you are a huge Trump supporter, and I am as well. What worries me more than anything is the cheating that will take place. I know Trump will have the actual votes but it’s the fake ones that bother me!!
Posted on 9/8/24 at 7:03 pm to shoelessjoe
I am worried about Cheating, Illegals voting, etc.
I feel so confident though that Lara Trump, Alina, etc are watching this closely. There's going to be cheating but I am confident that they will hopefully stop the bleeding with all of the cheating.
One thing that I am very concerned about is there are a lot of lifelong democrats coming over to MAGA and they will vote for Trump, but still vote for Democrats on the down ballots because that's how their brains have been programmed to do.
I feel so confident though that Lara Trump, Alina, etc are watching this closely. There's going to be cheating but I am confident that they will hopefully stop the bleeding with all of the cheating.
One thing that I am very concerned about is there are a lot of lifelong democrats coming over to MAGA and they will vote for Trump, but still vote for Democrats on the down ballots because that's how their brains have been programmed to do.
This post was edited on 9/8/24 at 7:13 pm
Posted on 9/8/24 at 7:09 pm to Night Vision
How come nobody wants to talk about the swing state cheat?
People are afraid to discuss this.....but not Trump! Hopefully the RNC is totally prepared to combat this BS!
People are afraid to discuss this.....but not Trump! Hopefully the RNC is totally prepared to combat this BS!
Posted on 9/8/24 at 7:12 pm to Night Vision
yet the odds in Vegas doesn't change. I'm mega but nothing makes any sense.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 7:13 pm to AubieinNC2009
quote:
The only thing they will have left is jailing Trump on Sept 18
Posted on 9/8/24 at 7:56 pm to Rebel
Posted on 9/8/24 at 8:56 pm to AubieinNC2009
quote:
funny RCP has Kamala barely winning 273 - 265
The state polls are lagging the national polls. Stay tuned.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:17 pm to Night Vision
They're going to pump out that Trump either lost the debate or something along the lines that he "won the wrong way"
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:55 pm to AubieinNC2009
quote:
funny RCP has Kamala barely winning 273 - 265
RCP isn’t a model. It’s simply and average of polls. The stuff Silver and other people do is put out forecast models that weight and unskew polls. They’re not anything close to the same thing.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 9:59 pm to OMLandshark
quote:
Trump skunks her in the debate and with any jail sentence going out the window before the Election Day, this race will be effectively over barring another assassination attempt.
Another failed assassination attempt would only help Trump even more.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:28 pm to rds dc
Wait. I'm a Trump guy, but these numbers look made up.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 10:32 pm to TDTOM
This post reminds me of election night 2016. I'm an old dude, and I was IMing another even older dude until like 2 am, saying "this magnificent bastard is gonna do it". We couldn't sleep. I'd like to do that again.
Posted on 9/8/24 at 11:20 pm to shoelessjoe
quote:of all the 538 models I’m pretty sure the only pollster that was right in 2016 was Trafalgar Group
Is Nate Silver the one that was wrong in 2016?
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