Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Nate Silver gives Biden a 55% chance to win Georgia. | Page 2 | Political Talk
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re: Nate Silver gives Biden a 55% chance to win Georgia.

Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:07 am to
Posted by Burreaux09
Member since Jan 2020
768 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:07 am to
quote:

60/40 in favor of Biden at least.


Actually, considering what's gonna happen at the polls on Tuesday, biden would still lose.
Posted by ValVenis
Member since Sep 2020
630 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:16 am to
Georgia will turn blue in the next eight years thanks to the influx of blue state migrants but not this year...
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:18 am to
quote:

Georgia will turn blue in the next eight years thanks to the influx of blue state migrants but not this year...

Depends.
Posted by Fireman17
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2010
12299 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:50 am to
Dude is a Wussy crazy at one time he wanted me to add his butt on facebook
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
37004 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:53 am to
quote:

Nate Silver

This guy has gone full retard.

Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
36458 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:55 am to
quote:

There is actually a scenario of Trump winning NY.


0% chance.
Posted by ValVenis
Member since Sep 2020
630 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:59 am to
quote:

Depends.


If they would ax the film industry tax incentives, you'd see a significant drop off in liberal voters. Nearly every other person you encounter in Atlanta now is a film industry worker from the west coast or New York and it's alarming. I know it would hurt the economy but better that than killing by voting more Democrats into office.


Posted by clhawkins19
Greenville, SC
Member since Jan 2020
579 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:29 am to
You guys should check out Red Eagle Politics on YouTube, he clowns Nate silver for half of his streams.
Posted by colbyjackcheese
S'port
Member since Aug 2018
580 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:02 am to
I wouldn't say that. Trump was a referendum from 8 years of Obama for alot of people. I think Trump gets the W regardless.
Posted by Little Trump
Florida
Member since Nov 2017
5817 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:40 am to
Only reason Georgia went blue last time in 1992 is because of Ross Perot splitting republican vote starting the Clinton corruption dominating today’s politics

Ain’t any Perot running now
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 3:43 am
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
172179 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 3:48 am to
The important thing to remember is once someone is wrong once they'll always be wrong for the rest of eternity

That being said Trump pulls Georgia by a narrow margin
Posted by Skeezer
Member since Apr 2017
2296 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:10 am to
If my neighborhood is any indication. I can’t believe how many Biden signs. And I’m in Columbia county. It’s dark dark red here.
Posted by N97883
New Dehli Forsyth GA
Member since Nov 2013
8516 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:19 am to
In 2012 Nate Silver correctly predicted from the polls that Obama would beat Romney and therefore they consider him a God for stating the obvious.

At this point he’s trying to get democrats to go vote in swing states for a lackluster candidate whose sole campaign slogan is orange man bad, China good.
Posted by Walkthedawg
Dawg Pound
Member since Oct 2012
11466 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:48 am to
TDS is a terrible disease, it has wrecked many a career.
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
53471 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:07 am to
quote:

I think the race is much closer than the polls are indicating right now nationwide. But it's still probably 60/40 in favor of Biden at least. That means Trump has a lot of avenues he can win by - but it's an uphill climb.


You say this while at the same time Biden MUST sweep PA,MN,MI,WI to have a shot
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
56139 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 5:16 am to
quote:

The important thing to remember is once someone is wrong once they'll always be wrong for the rest of eternity


Disagree. Voters broke a Democratic stranglehold here in Arkansas back in 2014. First time in exactly 100 years that Republicans had a majority in both houses of the state legislature to go along with a republican governor. Also, all members, six of them, to the U.S. congress are all republicans. Six years later it still remains that way.
Posted by McLemore
Member since Dec 2003
35124 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:00 am to
quote:

still
probably
60/40 in favor of Biden
at least.


How confident are you in your likely MOE on that minimum probable percent chance? Lol.
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
120105 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:48 am to
quote:

This guy should lose his platform after this election.


And given a free cabin on an island in the South Atlantic.
Posted by LSURulzSEC
Lake Charles via Oakdale
Member since Aug 2004
79374 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:49 am to
quote:

This guy should lose his platform after this election.


I really hope that happens...
Posted by jp4lsu
Member since Sep 2016
6524 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 6:53 am to
I think it could be closer than it should. Trump wouldn't be holding a rally there if it wasn't close. But Nate is wrong, 55% for Biden to win? Nope.

I think it is close, but should have Trump at an advantage. If Abrams was almost the Governor, I think it could be close.
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