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re: Update: War in Iran thread
Posted on 2/26/26 at 8:04 pm to ItTakesAThief
Posted on 2/26/26 at 8:04 pm to ItTakesAThief
Considering the US hasn’t attacked yet, I’d bet on hell breaking loose a few hours after markets close on Friday at 4pm ET (which will be 12:30am Iranian time). So expect an attack around 6-7pm ET.
1
Posted on 2/26/26 at 8:18 pm to VooDude
Posted on 2/26/26 at 8:34 pm to Bronco11
The Ford has arrived.
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The USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier has now moved into the waters near the coast of Israel.
Posted on 2/26/26 at 8:37 pm to Decatur
quote:
My argument is we’re in this position right now due to Trump’s decisions. We had a working inspection regime before he trashed the agreement.
And you’re actually ignorant enough to believe that.
Posted on 2/26/26 at 9:32 pm to BayouBengal51
quote:
The Ford has arrived.
Did they fix the crappers or at least strap some porta johns to the edge of the flight deck?
Posted on 2/26/26 at 9:34 pm to WeeWee
Slightly off the edge so when you go, it goes straight into the Med.
Posted on 2/26/26 at 9:34 pm to WeeWee
Everyone is shitting off the side. We’re not stopping a war because of a clogged toilet
Posted on 2/26/26 at 10:02 pm to BOHICAMAN
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Five days ago the United States lost a $220 million drone over the Strait of Hormuz. And nobody told you.
On February 22, an MQ-4C Triton, registration 169660, transmitted emergency code 7700 at 32,900 feet over the strait and vanished from Flightradar24. Gone. No wreckage announcement. No CENTCOM statement. No Pentagon briefing. The most advanced maritime surveillance drone in the American arsenal disappeared over the most contested waterway on earth during the largest military buildup since 2003, and the silence is deafening.
This is the same location, the exact same coordinates over the strait, where Iran shot down an RQ-4A Global Hawk in June 2019 using a Khordad-3 surface-to-air missile. That incident nearly triggered a war. Trump approved strikes, then recalled them with planes already in the air. Seven years later, another high-altitude surveillance drone vanishes in the same spot, and the Pentagon says nothing.
Defence Security Asia and Defence-UA report Iranian electronic warfare is suspected. Not a missile. Electronic warfare. If confirmed, this means Iran did not destroy the Triton. Iran hijacked it. Seized its control link, overwhelmed its GPS navigation, and either crashed it into the Gulf or worse, landed it intact the way Iran captured the RQ-170 Sentinel in 2011 by spoofing its GPS and guiding it down like a lost bird.
Now connect this to what China has been delivering.
X accounts with intelligence community sourcing report China has transferred advanced electronic warfare systems to Iran capable of jamming carrier-based F-35s. EADaily reports the US “blames Russia and China” for the loss. If Iranian EW systems, built with Chinese technology, can seize control of an MQ-4C Triton flying at 33,000 feet, those same systems can disrupt the communications and targeting links that the entire strike architecture depends on.
The F-22s suppress radar. The B-2s carry bunker busters. The carriers launch strike packages. All of it relies on data links, GPS targeting, and command signals traveling through electromagnetic spectrum that Iran, with Chinese hardware, just demonstrated it can dominate over the strait.
You do not spend $67 billion on stealth and then lose your surveillance drone to electronic warfare five days before a potential strike. That is not a setback. That is a capability demonstration by the other side, proving they can blind you over the waterway you need to control.
The Pentagon’s silence is the loudest signal. When you lose a $220 million asset to a technical malfunction, you say so immediately because the alternative narrative is worse. When you say nothing for five days, it is because confirming what happened reveals a vulnerability you cannot afford to acknowledge while 500 aircraft and two carriers sail into the same electromagnetic environment.
Iran just showed you it can turn the lights off over Hormuz. And Washington is pretending nobody noticed.???????????????? open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
quote:
Extraordinary claim. Zero official confirmation.
An emergency squawk (7700) does not automatically mean shoot-down or hijack. It can indicate:
• Engine/system malfunction
• Lost link event
• Navigation fault
• Weather deviation
• Routine training anomaly
Flightradar disappearance ? classified loss confirmation. Military ISR flights often drop from public tracking feeds by design.
If an MQ-4C Triton was hijacked intact, you wouldn’t see five days of silence — you’d see satellite imagery, debris field analysis, or at minimum regional signals chatter leaking instantly.
Electronic warfare dominance is a serious topic.
But asserting GPS spoofing + Chinese EW + carrier blindness requires:
• SIGINT evidence
• Wreckage confirmation
• Official NOTAMs or maritime hazard advisories
• Imagery intelligence
Right now we have speculation layered on speculation.
Strategic competition? Yes.
EW threats? Absolutely real.
Confirmed $220M asset seizure? Not proven.
Until CENTCOM, Navy, or credible imagery confirms loss, this remains an unverified narrative — not a demonstrated capability.
In high-tension environments, silence can mean classification — not catastrophe.
Let’s separate electromagnetic theory from verified incident reporting.
Posted on 2/26/26 at 10:08 pm to hawgfaninc
quote:
11 C-17 Globemaster cargo planes
This is the second or third flight of these.
What's on the planes?
Posted on 2/27/26 at 12:20 am to WeeWee
No, they found the people trying to flush entire rolls of TP, and anything else they could find down the poop chute!!!
Posted on 2/27/26 at 4:20 am to hawgfaninc
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JUST IN!
Ambassador Mike Huckabee emailed staff urging those wishing to leave Israel to depart "today," warning of likely high demand for flights from Ben Gurion Airport and stressing a rapid exit, according a copy reviewed by the NYT
This post was edited on 2/27/26 at 4:25 am
Posted on 2/27/26 at 4:24 am to BayouBengal51
Canada is asking all citizens to leave Iran as soon as possible.
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If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 2/27/26 at 4:43 am
Posted on 2/27/26 at 4:44 am to BayouBengal51
China is now urging all citizens in Iran to leave as well.
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Posted on 2/27/26 at 5:00 am to BayouBengal51
quote:
China is now urging all citizens in Iran to leave as well.
Yay, billions more of our tax dollars going down the drain in the middle east
Posted on 2/27/26 at 5:03 am to BayouBengal51
Any westerner still in Iran has an IQ level that we really don't need returned.
Posted on 2/27/26 at 5:17 am to jeffsdad
Posted on 2/27/26 at 5:18 am to VolInBavaria
Posted on 2/27/26 at 5:21 am to VolInBavaria
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If tweet fails to load, click here. Good lord. Would we really have THIS much of a buildup just to swing our proverbial dicks around?
This post was edited on 2/27/26 at 5:32 am
Posted on 2/27/26 at 5:22 am to VolInBavaria
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The U.S. State Department has authorized the departure of non-emergency government personnel and family members of government personnel from the American Embassy in Israel due to safety risks, likely related to tensions with Iran, stating that “Persons may wish to consider leaving Israel while commercial flights are available.”
This post was edited on 2/27/26 at 5:23 am
Posted on 2/27/26 at 5:33 am to VolInBavaria
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