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Started By
Message
re: Washington State, where this thing started in US
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:43 am to Argonaut
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:43 am to Argonaut
quote:
Maybe, but we aren't there right now, and that's the point he made.
You will argue for the measures taken based on future vs current deaths....
But will justify the economic ramifications based on the current vs projected status of the economy.
You can’t have it both ways so you are either disingenuous or clueless.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:48 am to dsides
quote:
You will argue for the measures taken based on future vs current deaths....
But will justify the economic ramifications based on the current vs projected status of the economy.
I have data that shows what happens when nothing is done to slow the spread of coronavirus.
You have nothing that shows we'll experience a complete and global economic shut down if Americans stay home for a few weeks.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:50 am to Argonaut
quote:
Ok. If 5 billion people get coronavirus
More deflection.
If my aunt had balls she'd be my uncle.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:52 am to Dale51
quote:
More deflection.
Speculation was just fine for you previously:
quote:
won't get the China Virus.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:54 am to Argonaut
quote:
They should've come here and asked the experts, I suppose.
They are some experts on here FYI.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 10:56 am to Argonaut
quote:
I have data that shows what happens when nothing is done to slow the spread of coronavirus
You have projections, not actual data that can be 100% relied on as it relates to the impact the virus will have in the US.
Important distinction.
You do understand that correct?
So what are the key data points we should focus on to determine how long we remain in mandatory quarantine/shelter in place?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 11:01 am to dsides
quote:
You have projections, not actual data that can be 100% relied on as it relates to the impact the virus will have in the US.
Read this again.
quote:
I have data that shows what happens when nothing is done to slow the spread of coronavirus
I didn't say anything about 100% reliability for impact in the US. That's all you.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 11:04 am to RollTide1987
quote:
Less than 50,000 cases in a country of 60 million people. The way the media is reacting to the Italian numbers you'd think half the population was infected.
How many tests has Italy administered?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 11:06 am to Argonaut
quote:
I didn't say anything about 100% reliability for impact in the US. That's all you.
Fair enough but I assume you are in the US and would acknowledge that our economy drives the world economy for the most part.
You didn’t answer my question, since you are a data expert, what data points should we focus on to determine how long we remain in mandatory quarantine/shelter in place?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 11:10 am to dsides
quote:
Fair enough but I assume you are in the US and would acknowledge that our economy drives the world economy for the most part.
I would agree with that. The only point I made was that the poster I replied to was overreacting for effect. We aren't going to have a global economic shut down in the same way coronavirus isn't going to kill most of the population.
quote:
You didn’t answer my question, since you are a data expert, what data points should we focus on to determine how long we remain in mandatory quarantine/shelter in place?
All of them, if we're going to be good analysts.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 11:11 am to Big4SALTbro
quote:
Washington nursing home caused this entire panic and jacked up the death rate.
35 died there, there are now 10x that many deaths nationwide (and accelerating)
Posted on 3/21/20 at 11:19 am to houndstooth
quote:
35 died there, there are now 10x that many deaths nationwide (and accelerating
Increasing not accelerating. Important distinction.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 12:15 pm to Argonaut
quote:
All of them, if we're going to be good analysts
Correct. Including economic data. Economists projected over 2.0 million jobless claims this week, 8 times normal. I’d assume that will continue to increase. Studies have shown unemployment accounts for 1 in 5 suicides. That increase alone could surpass the deaths associated with the virus not taking into consideration other factors like depression, anxiety, malnutrition, substance abuse, etc.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 1:19 pm to the808bass
quote:
Link?
Pnuemonia usually does not cause permanent lung damage. But it can. Plus we don't know whether C19 pneumonia is more damaging than the non-C19 variety.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 1:25 pm to Argonaut
quote:
We aren't going to have a global economic shut down
In Q2 of 2008, our GDP contracted by ~2%.
Early estimates have Q2 2020 US GDP contracting by 20%.
You’re arguing syntax at this point.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 1:26 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 1:26 pm to houndstooth
35 there 6 in New Orleans at least. Are deaths at 350? Last I saw was 150
Posted on 3/21/20 at 1:28 pm to RPC4LSU
quote:
Yes, it was full of old people with pre=existing conditions.
As of yesterday, there were cases in three different nursing homes in Arkansas.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 1:32 pm to wmr
This is like Norovirus but more deadly for nursing homes. Just awful.
Hopefully we don’t repeat the Life Care Kirkland debacle.
Hopefully we don’t repeat the Life Care Kirkland debacle.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 4:54 pm to the808bass
I can't link common knowledge, brosef.
You want to go on record with the proclamation that, according to you, nobody who ever recovered from pneumonia ever had any residual impairment of lung capacity of a permanent nature? AND that, since this is so, NOBODY who ever had or will have C19 induced pneumonia will ever have permanent lung damage?
You're building a shaky platform there.

You want to go on record with the proclamation that, according to you, nobody who ever recovered from pneumonia ever had any residual impairment of lung capacity of a permanent nature? AND that, since this is so, NOBODY who ever had or will have C19 induced pneumonia will ever have permanent lung damage?
You're building a shaky platform there.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 4:59 pm
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