Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us When LSU is Sweating a "Regional Bubble" late May | Tiger Rant
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When LSU is Sweating a "Regional Bubble" late May

Posted on 4/8/26 at 5:23 pm
Posted by RBTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2011
9148 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 5:23 pm
they can be reminded of all the PATHETIC Loses to lesser teams

McNeese 7 - 6; Northeastern 13 - 10 ; Bethune Cookman 10 - 7
+ 2 to Sacramento State

22 - 12 could be 27 - 7

The remainder of MID WEEK games are :
NW La
UNO
SE La
Tulane

Is it asking too much to go 4 - 0 in those games? Nothing guaranteed as we have seen!

18 more SEC Games
@ Ole Miss
Texas A&M @ The BOX
@ Mississippi State
So.Carolina @ The BOX
@UGA
Florida @ The BOX

10 - 8?? 9- 9? 11 - 7? 12- 6?

35; 36 ; 37 Wins for the Regular Season??

Maybe Flip the Switch Win a Couple in HOOVER / SEC Tourney



Early thought 40 Regular season Wins was a given after Sweeping Jacksonville FL.....
Starting W/L 8 - 0 ....But then the funk began with McNeese
This post was edited on 4/8/26 at 5:25 pm
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
79338 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 5:26 pm to
Yeah Moore going down hasn’t helped. it would be nice to save an arm or 2 for the midweeks

Posted by Not Cooper
Member since Jun 2015
5037 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 5:41 pm to
Midweeks matter zero. Get to 14 wins in SEC play and you’re in without a sweat. 13 has been a lock lately. A 9-9 finish would easily have us in a regional and on no one’s “bubble”
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
54854 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 5:46 pm to
quote:

they can be reminded of all the PATHETIC Loses to lesser teams


quote:

PATHETIC Loses


Posted by GeauxPanthers2
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Dec 2024
2015 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

Midweeks matter zero. Get to 14 wins in SEC play and you’re in without a sweat.

There are examples in the last 10 years of teams being left out with 14 SEC wins. And those teams had similar RPI's to LSU's this year and similar overall records.

So yeah, I disagree. And part of the reason our RPI is so shitty is these midweek losses.
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
13508 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 5:55 pm to
The midweek games aren’t a big deal. Losing to Sac State on a weekend is a bad look.
Posted by OpenlyGayDave
Denver
Member since May 2021
576 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 6:06 pm to
That’s not true. They matter when you lose 3 to 4 of them with an already bad schedule. Losing 2 out of 3 to Sac of shite State doesn’t help.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
46410 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 6:38 pm to
quote:

There are examples in the last 10 years of teams being left out with 14 SEC wins.


In 2016, Kentucky and Alabama were 15-15 (both 32 regular-season wins) and did not make it

In 2017, Mizzou (36 regular) and Ole Miss(32 regular) were both 14-16 and missed. South Carolina missed at 13-17 (35 regular)

In 2018, a 13-win team (A&M) made it, but they had 40 regular-season wins. 13-win Kentucky, 32 regular-season wins, did not make it

In 2019, every team with 13 wins or higher made it

no 2020

2021 was an odd year. 13-win (38 regular) LSU and 12-win (32 regular) Alabama made it, but 13-win (31 regular) Georgia and 12-win (29 Regular) Kentucky did not

In 2022, everyone with 14 or more wins made it. The only 13-win team (South Carolina) had an overall losing record and did not make it.

In 2023 If you won 14 games, you went. After 14 wins, the next highest was 11 wins, so there were no 13-win teams

In 2024, every 13-win-or-higher team went, but every one of them won 33 or more games.

In 2025 every 13-win or higher team went, 31 wins got a 13-win team in.
Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
16594 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 6:39 pm to
Just finish 15-15, .500 - that’s the pace we’re on right now.

Has a 15 win SEC team ever been left out?
Posted by Not Cooper
Member since Jun 2015
5037 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

So yeah, I disagree. And part of the reason our RPI is so shitty is these midweek losses.

You are welcome to disagree. You’re also wrong.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82675 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:23 pm to
No, you are wrong. The reason they have to get to 14 instead of 13, is because of how bad theyve been midweek.

They matter none if you take care of business in the sec and win 19 or 20, almost any other number is going to make it matter one way or the other
This post was edited on 4/8/26 at 7:24 pm
Posted by Not Cooper
Member since Jun 2015
5037 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

The reason they have to get to 14 instead of 13, is because of how bad theyve been midweek.

Did I say 13 is a lock? I said 14. And then I said 9-9 (worst record the guy proposed) would be 15 wins.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82675 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:53 pm to
Point being the midweek games marginally matter when you lose more than 1-2 because it can sink your metrics enough to go from bubble in to bubble out, or from host to 2 seed, or top 8 to top 16
Posted by redfish99
B.R.
Member since Aug 2007
19251 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:09 pm to
Mootpert they ain’t going nowhere
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
22545 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 11:07 pm to
It's interesting that a lot of the other ranking systems, including the DSR which the committee also uses, have us ranked much higher than the RPI.
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
54646 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 11:17 pm to
quote:

Point being the midweek games marginally matter


They might marginally matter but if it’s even a question you didn’t win enough SEC games anyway
Posted by RBTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2011
9148 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 11:28 pm to
Thanks for that solid post mdomingue

Still think LSU makes a Regional...hopeful for 16-14 ; 17 -13...which would make em 37 -19 or 36 -20...
15 - 15 is 35 - 21 if they go 4 - 0 O-O-C

Just these Mid Week loses can throw a kink in things.
This post was edited on 4/8/26 at 11:30 pm
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82675 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 11:36 pm to
quote:

It's interesting that a lot of the other ranking systems, including the DSR which the committee also uses, have us ranked much higher than the RPI.

Yeah the way alot of those systems work will credit tougher schedules and margin of victories, which are in the power conference teams favor. Im not surprised, and it will help lsu if we are on the bubble. Hopefully they pay attention to them
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
46410 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 7:25 am to
quote:

Just these Mid Week loses can throw a kink in things.



It goes back to this. A single midweek loss is irrelevant, but a lot of them are not. We need to win the rest, IMO, to feel comfortable with 14 SEC wins
Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
46680 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 8:25 am to
quote:

NW La UNO SE La Tulane

Is it asking too much to go 4 - 0 in those games?


1-3 might be tough
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