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re: 247 prediction: LSU will lose 3 games this year

Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:45 pm to
Posted by 1999
Where I be
Member since Oct 2009
33480 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:45 pm to
with everything we lost, 10-3 is not unrealistic.
Posted by Sir Fury
Member since Jan 2015
5211 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:45 pm to
How many games did they predict we would lose last year?
Posted by Jb1994
Member since Sep 2018
2116 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 3:46 pm to
1. I dont think auburn will be all that great this year. Give me a win there even at Jordan hare.

2. Texas will be improved, but I still don't see them winning in tiger stadium. Win.

3. I'm not buying the a&m hype. I think jimbos pro style offense is antiquated, and I dont see them having a good enough d to offset it like Georgia. Lsu will hand them one of four loses.

That leaves two possible games we could lose assuming we win all the other games we are supposed to, at Florida and home vs bama. The swamp is tough, but I still say pump the brakes on this "Florida is about to takeover the east narrative." Their talent level is still behind lsu, Georgia, and bama because or poor recruiting under shark fricker and Mullen ain't much better. Toss up game. Bama is also a toss up being in death valley and we have an offense now
Posted by Gismo68
Member since May 2020
181 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:05 pm to
No they wont
Posted by SelaTiger
Member since Aug 2016
21523 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:22 pm to
Would you rather they pick us to lose 3 or to go undefeated/lose 1 game? I’m ok with a 3 game loss prediction.
Posted by RichardT
Covington, LA
Member since Mar 2005
1472 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:31 pm to
Semi final games are in the Rose Bowl and the Sugar Bowl. Making plans to be in New Orleans for LSU in the semis and Miami for the championship.

Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
34996 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

My problem is this


Alabama would NEVER be predicted to lose 3 games after a NC season


I get it. But they haven't had a 3 loss regular season in almost a decade (last in 2010). That includes 4 regular seasons that followed a NC season. You can get mad all you want, but they have earned the benefit of the doubt. Saban has only had a 3 loss regular season there ONCE since 2008. To predict they would lose 3 games would be a HUGE deviation from 12 years of history.

LSU returned a TON of production last season from the previous year (6th most of all power conf. teams). That was a big reason they were thought of by some as a potential NC darkhorse. Plus, the schedule was relatively favorable. The thought was that if they could beat Texas (a team that lost a lot from a good, but not great 2018 team), then LSU would be favored to get to the Bama game undefeated. The "tough" games between Texas and Bama were at home (Florida and Auburn). The A&M game was also at home.

Going into this season, LSU is ranked 127th in returning production. That's 4th to last. Now, we know there is talent here. And we know that many of the guys expected to start have significant playing experience. But LSU lost a TON from the 2019 team. Plus, while LSU gets Bama at home (not that it has been all that helpful since Bama has won 4 straight and 5 of the last 6 in Tiger Stadium), trips to Florida, Auburn and A&M will be tough. Particularly since the SEC graciously gave LSU ROAD games at AU and A&M to finish the season.

I thought last year that the schedule set up for a "floor" of 10-2 (Bama and Texas being the question marks). Anything less would have been a big disappointment considering what LSU returned. This season 9-3 is probably a reasonable floor. That's not to say LSU can't and/or won't do better than that. Hell, Orgeron vastly exceeded expectations in both 2018 and 2019. But if you take off the P&G glasses, I don't think it's wholly unreasonable to predict 9-3. But it's not wholly unreasonable to think LSU can't beat that record either.
Posted by NattyTiger19
Sugar Bowl
Member since Jan 2020
924 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:49 pm to
I'm betting due to the future first round receivers that Myles Brennan will be throwing to and the new high octane offense LSU will still have even without Joe Brady, that Myles Brennan will end up being one of the top QBs in the SEC in 2020.

Moreover, no one has a better wide receiver room, a better running back room, a better tight end room, or a better defensive line room than LSU in the SEC.

The linebacking corp with Cox, Clark, Brooks, Baskerville, and with the backups should be stellar.

All-American Derek Stingley will anchor one of the cornerback spots and Elias Ricks and Cordale Flott will fight it out for the other cornerback spot. Jacoby Stevens returns at safety and Todd Harris will be back starting at safety after tearing his ACL last season.

And then Kary Vincent can play either the nickle position or the safety position. Not to mention that Maurice Hampton, Jr got a couple of starts down the stretch at safety last season. So again, LSU will have one of the best defensive backfields in college football, to go along with one of the best front sevens in college football.

Meanwhile, the defensive line is more than four deep at all positions and features some of the best defensive linemen in all of college football.

The big question mark is the OL, but I think Dare Rosenthal will be a stud by the end of the season at left tackle, at left guard, Ed Ingram is a proven player, Chasen Hines played stellar in his freshman season at guard and I'm guessing he'll inevitably become a top center before all is said and done. At right guard, I don't think Ed O is calling Anthony Bradford our best offensive linemen for nothing and Austin Deculus will be back after another very solid year in 2019 at right tackle. As I'm betting the OL will be as good or better than in 2019. As I have a lot of respect for Coach Cregg and his coaching acumen.

Hence, pardon me, but I don't see any weak spots like 24/7 is seeing. We may not look the same, but regardless, LSU will be damn good in 2020.

I'm guessing either 11 & 1 or 12 & 0. I don't see us matching last season's offensive production, but we don't have to match last seasons offensive production to be damn good.
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 4:50 pm to
If LSU played ohio state and Clemson schedule we would be in the playoff 8 out of 10 seasons. Maybe more?
Posted by NattyTiger19
Sugar Bowl
Member since Jan 2020
924 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 5:25 pm to
That utterly absurd article is written by Brandon Marcello one of the biggest Auburn homers on the planet.
Posted by Imember
Houston
Member since May 2019
323 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 5:32 pm to
Same ole thing every year. When is the last time they said something besides 3-4 losses. I don’t remember the high expectations from ‘19 some are mentioning.

Burrow is the only production we lost that is significant. Just happens to be basically everything that matters. CEH was great and I’d expect the 2020 RB group can match that production. If Brennan produces 70%-80% of Burrow (which is still difficult numbers unfortunately) LSU makes another run at the playoffs. Certainly closer to the playoffs than they’ll be to a 3 loss team.

WRs are just as strong if not better with A. Gilbert. D-line loses a great pass rusher to replace (won’t be easy) but deeper with tons of talent. Last two pass rushers showed up as Freshmen and played 3 years. Next Freshman up? Ojulari?

DBs will be just as good, maybe better. I think Flott matches Fulton’s production and Delpit, as great as he was in ‘18, was average in ‘19 because of the injury. Safety position will perform better. LBs are a question but it feels that way each year and someone has stepped up major for several consecutive years now. O-Line will perform similarly to last year.

It’s impossible to replace the QB position but I’m holding out hope for 70-80% from our third year QB. LBs are TBD and everywhere else is either comparable or better than ‘19. That’s not P&G glasses. The talent is there. Coaches have done a hell of a job putting young talent in the field and building depth.

And maybe we’ll “hiccup” implementing the 4-3 like we hiccuped implementing the Spread RPO? Who knows...

Geaux Tigers!
This post was edited on 6/1/20 at 7:51 pm
Posted by ATLTiger
#TreyBiletnikoffs
Member since Sep 2003
46338 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 5:39 pm to
Link?
Posted by Starchild
Member since May 2010
13550 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 6:55 pm to
Don’t care, still da champs
Posted by lsufan_26
Member since Feb 2004
12559 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 7:01 pm to
quote:

We play Bama at home, there idiots.

Oh my...
Posted by Imember
Houston
Member since May 2019
323 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

If LSU played ohio state and Clemson schedule we would be in the playoff 8 out of 10 seasons.

If we just didn’t have to get past Bama each year, we’d be in the playoffs habitually.

I actually believe if we only have a one loss season (with the one loss to a quality opponent) we’ll get in almost every year.
Posted by denvertiger
Golden
Member since Feb 2007
4534 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

I'm not buying the a&m hype.


Agreed. The best thing A&M has going is an easy schedule to start the year. If Mond suddenly explodes with consistency and starts making good decisions under fire, I'd go w/ the Aggies as a 10-win team. But that's a big 'if'
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60944 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

If we just didn’t have to get past Bama each year, we’d be in the playoffs habitually.


We lost 7 straight regular season games to Bama from 2012-18. Only once, 2012 would we have finished with just one loss.
2013, 14 and 16 we already 2 loses going into Bama. 15 we lost the next 2 after Bama and 18 we had 1 loss before and 1 “loss” to A&M after but were no where close to beating Bama either year.

This post was edited on 6/1/20 at 9:00 pm
Posted by Dalosaqy
I can't quite re
Member since Dec 2007
13391 posts
Posted on 6/1/20 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

So why is 247 doing this bs?


Because Auburn, Florida, Bama and yes A&M at home. I say 2-2 vs. that gauntlet.
Posted by MichiganTiger
Where Global Warming is Welcomed!
Member since Dec 2004
7894 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 6:29 am to
quote:

My problem is this Alabama would NEVER be predicted to lose 3 games after a NC season So why is 247 doing this bs?


Come on, you know why! We have yet to prove that we can be a regular winner of the SEC West. Bama has proven themselves to be perennial SEC West champs...even after a national championship season and losing a lot of talent to the NFL. I am a firm believer that we will do the same but these guys still aren’t convinced that Coach O can get it done. That is perfectly fine by me! I feel like the guy is motivated when people lose faith in him. So, go ahead! Don’t believe in him! I’m fine with that because he is going to prove them wrong. He gets to say we comin’ again.

BTW...Geaux Tigahs....and Geaux Bleu! So when our LSU and Michigan going to have a home and home series? It’s hard to believe that these two great programs have never met on the gridiron!
Posted by Load Toad
Haughton, LA
Member since Aug 2008
2513 posts
Posted on 6/2/20 at 7:13 am to
LSU offense stats should be 4k passing yards with 30 TDs and 1200 rushing with 12 TDs. Defense has 2 areas that is uncertain. CB Flott can be a SEC starter. LB corp is new but has great athletic players. mmMaybe, they lose 2 games. LSU doesn't have Georgia this year. LSU will be great spot to beat Bama at home.
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