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re: Spread dropping like a rock. Thoughts on why?
Posted on 9/11/25 at 4:45 am to Draco Malfoy
Posted on 9/11/25 at 4:45 am to Draco Malfoy
Clempson scored 13… how many you think gators will get?
2
Posted on 9/11/25 at 5:43 am to derp
Nuss will continue to piss his pants
Posted on 9/11/25 at 6:31 am to Penrod
Just "spittin the trufe" as the Amish say.
Posted on 9/11/25 at 7:44 am to Draco Malfoy
Dropping of the line means that more people taking Florida with the points.
Posted on 9/11/25 at 9:27 am to derp
quote:
Clempson scored 13… how many you think gators will get?
Clemson scored 10. 3 of which were basically given to them when LSU fumbled in their own territory.
I think his LSU defense is significantly better than any defense BK has had at LSU. I would be surprised, and disappointed, if Florida scored more than 17...if that.
I just don't think this Florida team is very good. People pissed all over themselves to anoint Florida as a great team following their upset wins, at HOME, over LSU and Ole Miss. But the reality is those were the outliers in the Napier tenure. Not the norm. The norm is what you saw last week vs. USF.
I don't like LSU's offense right now. I like the OC even less. But I really don't like Florida. I thought they were the most overrated SEC team coming into the season.
Posted on 9/11/25 at 9:36 am to Strannix
quote:
Spread dropping like a rock. Thoughts on why?
Its amazing how many people have no idea how gambling works
Or rocks, apparently.
Posted on 9/11/25 at 9:38 am to Alt26
Taking the under seems like the best bet
Posted on 9/11/25 at 9:38 am to Draco Malfoy
I’m hoping for 6.5 by kick. I’ll jump on that
Posted on 9/11/25 at 9:57 am to Draco Malfoy
Vegas like scaring the bettors and making them overthink.
Posted on 9/11/25 at 10:03 am to JimTiger72
quote:
the under
Has already crossed 2 key #s.
The time to buy was Sunday (i got 50.5).
Ill probably buy back on the other side if it hits 45 (47.5 across the board currently).
Posted on 9/11/25 at 10:16 am to JimTiger72
Over/under was way too high
Posted on 9/11/25 at 10:17 am to Honkus
I’d be more worried at 45, but I could see the total not hitting 40
Posted on 9/11/25 at 10:26 am to JimTiger72
Moving the spread is designed to move the money. Not necessarily a prediction of the outcome. The point spread aims to generate close to 50/50 action on both sides, creating a balanced book for sportsbooks. So the change in spread for the game may simply reflect Vegas' attempt to even out the betting on the game.
Posted on 9/11/25 at 10:30 am to Draco Malfoy
9.5 was a pretty big spread IMO
Not to say we cant win this one by 2+ TDs, but a lot of overreacting to UF losing to USF at last second when USF frankly looks like a really good team so far. They absolutely completely dismantled Boise and Boise is never not a very solid G5 team. They did exactly what they had to do to slow down UF enough to pull off the W there with ball on last drive.
It's possible we win this game running away, but I think the only way that happens is we are pretty positive compared to UF in some of these aspects - special teams, turnovers, penalties. If we are both pretty even or UF gets positive on some of those, it should be a very close game or they even pull it out if they get enough of the intangibles right over us.
Not to say we cant win this one by 2+ TDs, but a lot of overreacting to UF losing to USF at last second when USF frankly looks like a really good team so far. They absolutely completely dismantled Boise and Boise is never not a very solid G5 team. They did exactly what they had to do to slow down UF enough to pull off the W there with ball on last drive.
It's possible we win this game running away, but I think the only way that happens is we are pretty positive compared to UF in some of these aspects - special teams, turnovers, penalties. If we are both pretty even or UF gets positive on some of those, it should be a very close game or they even pull it out if they get enough of the intangibles right over us.
Posted on 9/11/25 at 10:35 am to Draco Malfoy
Let it keep dropping. I will take my chances on LSU at home 9/10 times! If you are a smart bettor, know LSU football, know the trends of us playing in death valley at night. You should be estactic that it is dropping.
Posted on 9/11/25 at 11:05 am to Draco Malfoy
Florida’s defense has played well, but it’s been agains LIU and USF.
USF crushed Boise with only 378 yards of total offense so they don’t have some vaunted offense to defend.
I think people are leaning too much onto Florida’s defense when they played Long Island U and USF but LIU did turn around and beat Eastern Michigan last week.
If it’s -7.5, buy the half and take LSU.
USF crushed Boise with only 378 yards of total offense so they don’t have some vaunted offense to defend.
I think people are leaning too much onto Florida’s defense when they played Long Island U and USF but LIU did turn around and beat Eastern Michigan last week.
If it’s -7.5, buy the half and take LSU.
Posted on 9/11/25 at 11:06 am to Draco Malfoy
LSU will cover
Posted on 9/11/25 at 11:12 am to Draco Malfoy
They watched the tape of our offense. Or Sloan left his crayon drawings of our plays in a Starbucks somewhere
Posted on 9/11/25 at 11:53 am to Draco Malfoy
Handicappers saw our film on La Tech game
Posted on 9/11/25 at 12:15 pm to Draco Malfoy
quote:
Thoughts on why?
Because if it's a lower scoring game like some project than it's much easier to cover +9.5 than it is +7.5
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