- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Winter Olympics
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...
Posted on 7/1/24 at 2:49 pm to CCT
Posted on 7/1/24 at 2:49 pm to CCT
quote:
Does this gravely matter?
As to the longterm forecast/outlook of Barrel? Not really.
It was really spinning the mesos up over the islands, which is to be expected with a storm like this. It matters if you're under them, Ida and Laura both did damage exacerbated by mesovorts in the eyewall, especially Ida over Houma as it stalled before its turn. Over the open ocean they just make for great satellite porn.
This post was edited on 7/1/24 at 2:50 pm
3
Posted on 7/1/24 at 2:50 pm to LegendInMyMind
Thanks!
Posted on 7/1/24 at 2:52 pm to Mr Roboto
quote:
Where it crosses the Yucatán will be key. Closer to Cozumel/Cancun could mean trouble
The upper level pattern looks to be favorable for a hook northward with strengthening. Will Beryl be strong enough coming off the Yucatan to feel the weakness? A track farther south across the Yucatan will weaken the system enough that it probably slides west in the lower level flow. Lots to watch.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 2:54 pm to CCT
Remember the windows getting sucked out of the bank building in Lake Chuck during Laura? That almost certainly was caused by a mesovort in the eyewall. Mark Studduth (Hurricane Track) actually got decent footage of it happening from one of his remote cams. He has a video that slows down and enhances the clip.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 2:55 pm to rds dc
quote:
The track version
Pray shear weakens it in Caribbean. If it holds strength it looks like it could be trouble for Houston area
Posted on 7/1/24 at 2:55 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
It was really spinning the mesos up over the islands, which is to be expected with a storm like this. It matters if you're under them, Ida and Laura both did damage exacerbated by mesovorts in the eyewall, especially Ida over Houma as it stalled before its turn. Over the open ocean they just make for great satellite porn.
Also, the mesovorts are associated with periods of intensification b/c they work to accelerate pressure falls. Beryl is probably a CAT5 at this point.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 2:57 pm to rds dc
quote:
The upper level pattern looks to be favorable for a hook northward with strengthening. Will Beryl be strong enough coming off the Yucatan to feel the weakness? A track farther south across the Yucatan will weaken the system enough that it probably slides west in the lower level flow. Lots to watch.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:00 pm to LSUfanNkaty
What does this pink line have against LA? It has been predicting a sharp turn to LA on every run
Did they just program in a Lake Charles landfall into their model to be safe?
Did they just program in a Lake Charles landfall into their model to be safe?
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:00 pm to rds dc
High Wind in Jamaica incoming, mon.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:01 pm to rds dc
quote:
Also, the mesovorts are associated with periods of intensification b/c they work to accelerate pressure falls. Beryl is probably a CAT5 at this point.
I've wondered if they're just as likely, or maybe more likely, to spin up with land interaction? The meso damage in Houma from Ida was some of the worst I've seen, and I used to have a loop saved where it was spinning them up almost constantly as it put on the brakes and began to turn. The first satellite images of the damage in Houma looked more like tornado damage than a hurricane.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:03 pm to stout
quote:
Did they just program in a Lake Charles landfall into their model to be safe?
This and pink... pride month is over so I suspect a change
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:12 pm to rds dc
thats a pretty sweet picture
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:22 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Dare I say it seems the HWRF has been the most consisent on Beryl so far
I feel like HWRF has been pretty solid the past few years. It makes sense since it's purpose-built for that sort of thing.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:25 pm to rds dc
Hope it slices up towards Texas and brings the rain.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:32 pm to deltaland
quote:
it looks like it could be trouble for Houston area
No it doesnt
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:33 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:36 pm to CarolinaGamecock99
Classic Wishcaster
Posted on 7/1/24 at 3:37 pm to CarolinaGamecock99
What run is he referencing?
Page 24 of 218
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News