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re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...

Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:15 pm to
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61659 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:15 pm to
Yep I was expecting worse.
That water doesn’t look all that bad either.
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:15 pm to
Damn. I went to Grand Isle, went through Chackbay and Kraemer to go there, not long after Ida and that is bringing back those memories. The utter destruction. It's horrible. I hope the people of Cirracou can recover quickly.
Posted by Large Farva
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
8709 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:19 pm to
I expected that island to be completely leveled.

The damage caused was still very bad but I didn’t expect to see buildings standing.
This post was edited on 7/1/24 at 6:21 pm
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:22 pm to
They have a lot of concrete buildings, probably for this reason.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61659 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:24 pm to
Probably also didn’t get massive surge. Almost no building can withstand an angry surge when it starts pounding away.
Posted by RBTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2011
9084 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:26 pm to
Poor Chris we barely knew ya!

Wasted name little system developed just off MX Coast and just a few hours it makes landfall and dissipates

Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4529 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

They have a lot of concrete buildings, probably for this reason.


Looks like some very sturdy metal roofs as well. If the roof holds, you got a good chance of making it through.
This post was edited on 7/1/24 at 6:33 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43269 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:36 pm to
We might have a Cat 5 now
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40471 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:40 pm to
They drive thru kraemer to Dulac was wild after ida
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11654 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:40 pm to
When is high tide? the water seems to be up much closer to buildings than it would usually be. Whoever had the controls on the drone did a masterful job of selecting a speed that showed a whole lot.
There are the buildings that have little damage, there are the ones that lost their roofs but not the framing timbers. What we don't see are the buildings that couldn't take the wind because they were ripped apart and are scattered heaven knows where.
From the drone footage we saw people out walking, but not frantic digging. Let's hope that's a good sign.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21274 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:41 pm to
quote:

I will say with the 18Z GFS if it had a stronger storm with where it comes off the Yucatan would probably cause some problems especially for Texas


18z GEFS

Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1277 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:47 pm to
If I’m reading that right, we’d be seeing (hopefully) a weak system/remnant low if it made it that far north?
Posted by JasonDBlaha
Woodlands, Texas
Member since Apr 2023
3950 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:49 pm to
It’s going straight to the Yucatán. It’s not hitting the gulf coast
This post was edited on 7/1/24 at 6:50 pm
Posted by Beaver Bandit
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2015
906 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:55 pm to
quote:

They have a lot of concrete buildings, probably for this reason.
They have rock solid building codes for sure compared to those other islands where it looks like a bomb went off after a hurricane. That must be the back side of the island I'd expect a little damage from surge with a storm that strong.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43269 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:56 pm to
8:00 PM AST Mon Jul 1
Location: 13.4°N 64.0°W
Moving: WNW at 21 mph
Min pressure: 938 mb
Max sustained: 155 mph

Almost a 5
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24743 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 6:59 pm to
Would have been a 5 if they measured earlier
Posted by TrigSwig
Member since May 2024
331 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:00 pm to
Overnight models are showing a turn North compared to earlier models. Houston is definitely in play. We need to keep an eye on this tricky one.
Posted by TrigSwig
Member since May 2024
331 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:04 pm to
Thank you for posting that. Yep, everyone from Louisiana to Texas needs to be watching.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
101552 posts
Posted on 7/1/24 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

In the days ahead, it will move into an area with even higher ocean heat content south of Hispaniola. He ignores the shear


It will be interesting to see how well such a strong storm with plenty of hot SSTs can fight off the shear.

Does the shear win or the storm?
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