Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us 77% chance the SC rules tariffs are illegal, possible ruling this Friday | Page 4 | Political Talk
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re: 77% chance the SC rules tariffs are illegal, possible ruling this Friday

Posted on 1/6/26 at 5:50 pm to
Posted by IvoryBillMatt
Member since Mar 2020
10077 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

I was being sarcastic, but you sir, are wrong. You’re actually just guessing in your post. Why would you just assume what he did is illegal? When will you people learn? Lol


I haven't ASSUMED his usurpation of Congress through invoking IEEPA was illegal. I just did some research last year and IEEPA seemed like a stretch. Most commentary I can find confirms that.

Most people on PoliBoard look at legal matters from what they WANT the law to be. I look at it objectively. Trump's tariffs are great. I wish he had sought another avenue to justify them. I hope my opinion is wrong.

Posted by northshorebamaman
Cochise County AZ
Member since Jul 2009
37820 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 5:50 pm to
quote:


I understand that. But if tariffs are so terrible, kind of strange that no one brought it before them in his first term or that Biden didn’t do away with them during his term.
SCOTUS isn’t weighing whether tariffs are “terrible.” That’s not the question before them. They’re ruling on whether the authority invoked to impose these tariffs was lawful.
Posted by IvoryBillMatt
Member since Mar 2020
10077 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 5:58 pm to
quote:

But if tariffs are so terrible, kind of strange that no one brought it before them in his first term or that Biden didn’t do away with them during his term.


It's not the tariffs. It was Trump's bypassing Congress to impose them using a legally suspect authorization.

This isn't personal to Trump. It's standard legal interpretation.

The fact that the tariffs have worked AND the mess that would be caused by having to refund the tariffs MIGHT cause enough justices to come up with a creative way to uphold them. Of course, they're much smarter than me. Maybe they will find a way.
Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
1647 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 5:59 pm to
quote:

They’ll reimpose the tariffs citing a different law that give the president authority to impose tariffs


Bessent has said this on numerous talk shows since the oral arguments.
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
26594 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:01 pm to
No. Only if it bends real Americans over and fricks us all up the assholes like these mother frickers have done our entire lives. We have been skull fricked by our Government our entire lives
Posted by Jugbow
Member since Nov 2025
3592 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:02 pm to
Why do people go off of polymarket? Same site had Biden beating Trump before he dropped out iirc.
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
35393 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:04 pm to
quote:

My comment wasn't even snarky, funny, or provocative.


Well, it certainly got the people going.
Posted by tigersbh
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
12875 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:08 pm to
quote:

The underlying argument is the same for all 3


The underlying argument is not necessarily the reason that they are challenging as in court. They are just against the tariff idea because Trump is doing it.
Posted by IvoryBillMatt
Member since Mar 2020
10077 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

Zero chance they rule against the country.


They won't be ruling against the country. They will be upholding separation of powers. Tariffs are taxes. Taxes are levied by Congress according to the Constitution. The President can impose tariffs unilaterally only under some power that Congress had previously delegated to the President.

My prediction: 5-4 upholding the lower courts decisions rejecting IEEPA as a legal basis for the tariffs. (Hopefully, the President's team has a Plan B.)
Posted by Warboo
Enterprise Alabama
Member since Sep 2018
5863 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

It's not the tariffs. It was Trump's bypassing Congress to impose them using a legally suspect authorization. This isn't personal to Trump. It's standard legal interpretation. The fact that the tariffs have worked AND the mess that would be caused by having to refund the tariffs MIGHT cause enough justices to come up with a creative way to uphold them. Of course, they're much smarter than me. Maybe they will find a way.


Good post. I am pro tariff as far as they are being used 100%. There is a problem to whether the admin can use them the way they are. Could you imagine if the turnip or heels up went rogue and used tariffs to intentionally tank our economy(well they pretty much did starting with Carter)!? The problem is Congress not backing trump by codifying his ability to use tariffs for the benefit of the US.
This post was edited on 1/6/26 at 6:14 pm
Posted by northshorebamaman
Cochise County AZ
Member since Jul 2009
37820 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:13 pm to
quote:



The underlying argument is not necessarily the reason that they are challenging as in court. They are just against the tariff idea because Trump is doing it.
They could spend their off time sticking pins in a Trump voodoo doll and it would still be irrelevant as to whether the authority used was lawful.
Posted by Ten Bears
Florida
Member since Oct 2018
4870 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

Trump’s tariff and trade efforts, while chaotic, have been a massive success by any objective measure.


I guess farmers didn’t get the memo, or alcohol distilleries in Kentucky or the record number of small businesses filing for bankruptcy. Or the people that have been laid off and can’t find jobs.

But other than that they are awesome.
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
18623 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:30 pm to
He has the right to regulate importation. It all falls under IEEPAA - International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Can the result affect taxes? Sure, but is it technically a tax? No
This post was edited on 1/6/26 at 6:36 pm
Posted by AUstar
Member since Dec 2012
19482 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

The problem is Congress not backing trump by codifying his ability to use tariffs for the benefit of the US


And they never will because Trump is the one proposing it. You will always have the 3 or 4 libertarian Repubs reject it, and of course 100% of Democrats. We simply don't have the votes in Congress and likely never will. This is why Congress is absolutely worthless.
Posted by northshorebamaman
Cochise County AZ
Member since Jul 2009
37820 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:37 pm to
quote:

He has the right to regulate importation. It all falls under IEEPAA - International Emergency Economic Powers Act.
Well, that's what we're all waiting to find out. The existence of delegated authority isn’t disputed. The scope of that delegation is.

If the president can unilaterally impose broad tariffs by declaring an emergency, Congress’s Article I power over taxation and trade becomes optional. That’s the constitutional question SCOTUS is deciding.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
136848 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:37 pm to
quote:

Why would one example of the executive acting outside of statutory authority be different than another?
Shade of grey.
Posted by Trevaylin
south texas
Member since Feb 2019
10277 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:37 pm to
SFP wants congress to negotiate tariffs with 178 foreign countries, balancing simple value charges, with socio-economic needs. ie, stop the drugs or 50% tariff.

congress hasn't negotiated a budget with itself in 30 years.

congress set up medicade rules that allowed billions of dollars of Somali theft

congress was able to pas 3 bills last year

congess will not outlaw congress inside trading

congress can't function

congress just f.cks around and SFP wants them to do work?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471149 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

SFP wants congress to negotiate tariffs with 178 foreign countries, balancing simple value charges, with socio-economic needs. ie, stop the drugs or 50% tariff.


What? Where did I say that?

THAT is certainly not what is being discussed by people who understand the issues.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471149 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

Shade of grey.


It's actually quite binary

Either there is the statutory authority, and the Executive can act, or there isn't, and it cannot.
Posted by Trevaylin
south texas
Member since Feb 2019
10277 posts
Posted on 1/6/26 at 6:49 pm to
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