Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Breaking: Trump opens up 7 point lead | Page 2 | Political Talk
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re: Breaking: Trump opens up 7 point lead

Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:23 pm to
Posted by KingOfTheWorld
South of heaven, west of hell
Member since Oct 2018
7478 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:23 pm to
I had never been on Tik Tok but recently began checking it out when a friend started sending me conservative videos from it. The number of people - especially women - on there praising Vance after the debate and vowing to vote for Trump is amazing.
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
90012 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

in a sane country, he'd be up by 20.


or 30.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79041 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:25 pm to
But he was down 3 yesterday. Rasmussen has it Trump +2 in their real poll.
Posted by joseywales1
Member since Apr 2021
103 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:26 pm to
I keep seeing these polls but the odds in Vegas don't move. Wake up
every day thinking maybe something will make sense. Just keeps getting harder to find out what's the truth and what isn't.

Thru with my small rant! What it's worth I'm voting Trump
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
26516 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:26 pm to
Not yet!!!

The VP Post Debate Numbers are still about a week away from showing up in the polls.

I have now heard this from three different sources
Posted by prouddawg
Member since Sep 2024
8322 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

in a sane country, he'd be up by 20.


If the media just did their job in an unbiased fashion he’d be close to that
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84041 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

I keep seeing these polls but the odds in Vegas don't move.


You know how partisans give gobs of money to campaigns to spend on advertising? Well, there's something else they do now. They bet gobs of money to manipulate political betting markets.
Posted by captainFid
Never apologize to barbarism
Member since Dec 2014
9746 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

in a sane country, he'd be up by 20.

And 20 would give Trump +45 state win... and you know what that means

ETA - I believe this +7 is an outlier... nothing new has come out today but swings happen. Don't be surprised if it goes back down.
This post was edited on 10/4/24 at 7:16 pm
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79041 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:31 pm to
They have moved noticeably towards Trump. A week ago or so he was down by 5. Now down by 0.8

RCP
Posted by Barneyrb
NELA
Member since May 2016
7060 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

I really think that JD Vance performance in the debate helped tremendously with people on the fence


I think JD is probably the best candidate of the 4 running.
Posted by LSUROXS
Texas
Member since Sep 2006
8556 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:33 pm to
In a sane country Joe Biden would be in jail
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
36243 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

We need more parties

Going to have to ditch single member/plurality house districts to make that happen.
Posted by captainFid
Never apologize to barbarism
Member since Dec 2014
9746 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

Rasumessen’s daily polls have been a bit all over the place. He was down 3 yesterday.

For the past several weeks Mark Mitchell @ Rasmussen has shown Trump +2 w/ Kamala having already hit her peak.
Posted by Gaspergou202
Metairie, LA
Member since Jun 2016
14316 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:39 pm to
Time for another assassination attempt!
Posted by Bonkers119
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2015
11830 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

In a sane country, democrats wouldn’t be allowed to run at all.


we love authoritarianism and dictatorships don't we my fellow MAGA brethren.

And yall call democrats marxists and commies lol
Posted by LB84
Member since May 2016
4427 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

If Trump pounds this Hurricane response by Kamala into swing state voters heads I’m not sure how he can lose.


I don't see how North Carolina and Georgia could go blue like 2020.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
32795 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 2:49 pm to
Who is Eric Daughtery?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146894 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

For the past several weeks Mark Mitchell @ Rasmussen has shown Trump +2 w/ Kamala having already hit her peak.

Yes.. the Rasmussan weekly poll... which is a much better indication of where the race is than the daily poll... has been steady at Trump +2 for about 3 weeks or a month now

The daily polls are low sample size & prone to wild swings

More data, more better as smarter people than me have said
This post was edited on 10/4/24 at 3:16 pm
Posted by joseywales1
Member since Apr 2021
103 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 3:14 pm to
you haven't followed the betting markets because they haven't moved.
Seems like they should've of.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
95982 posts
Posted on 10/4/24 at 3:17 pm to
Thats why hes moved up to even on Polymarketv
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