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Started By
Message
re: Latest Nate Silver model shows Trump by almost 21
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:34 pm to FireGoodell
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:34 pm to FireGoodell
quote:
Good debate performance from Trump next week wraps this thing up
Yeah she is going to be baiting Trump so she can get her "I'm speaking" clip.
She has told many protesters if they don't like her to vote for Trump, looks like they are.
The only thing they will have left is jailing Trump on Sept 18
1
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:35 pm to offshoretrash
quote:
If every voter had to show a government issued ID he'd probably would win by 21.
Then presumably this should be the case in states where it is required right?
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:36 pm to Night Vision
I am going to bet she drops a ton of policies right before the debate.
I'm talking a hour or two, so she can reference them at her leisure but Trump won't have time to review or challenge them. Moderators won't have prepared questions for them.
I would bet that's a major strategy.
She only debates once with no formal challenge to policy.
I'm talking a hour or two, so she can reference them at her leisure but Trump won't have time to review or challenge them. Moderators won't have prepared questions for them.
I would bet that's a major strategy.
She only debates once with no formal challenge to policy.
This post was edited on 9/5/24 at 6:37 pm
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:40 pm to offshoretrash
quote:The graph in the OP shows the probability of winning the electoral vote. It's NOT a vote polling result.
There was no way Trump was behind with all the black, Hispanic and independent support he has.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:41 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
I was told for almost a year or more by a certain group of posters on thos board that you could possibly call a cult that Orange man had zero % chance of winning
Weird
Jeb or someone like Jeb was the ONLY R that could win.
Peppridge Farm remembers.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:45 pm to Night Vision
In 2016 538.com had Clinton with a 73% chance of winning the election the day before the votes were counted.
Sadly they froze it there. Might have been fun to watch the percentages changing as state after state went to Trump.
Having Trump as a favorite at this stage is an immense improvement for him.
Sadly they froze it there. Might have been fun to watch the percentages changing as state after state went to Trump.
Having Trump as a favorite at this stage is an immense improvement for him.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:51 pm to FireGoodell
quote:
She’s toast. Good debate performance from Trump next week wraps this thing up
Is she toast? Or is she toast if Trump beats her in the debate?
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:54 pm to BigPerm30
quote:
RFK and Tulsi are impressive
as is Vance
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:58 pm to Penrod
quote:
if Trump beats her in the debate?
lol. There is absolutely no policy for the democrats to debate...she is there for one reason, and you know it. She is very low IQ, and scared to go out on her own, will not answer questions from media, gets others to throw out her policy flip flops, so that she doesn't have to defend, which will alienate one group or another....There is no way she can come close to holding up to the debate on policy, so all she has is "Donald, I'm speaking (shakes head up and down, repeats) Donald, I'm speaking" in that strong head shaking form....lol
Now, the MSM will be telling us that she was brilliant, presidential, etc....but as the polls are showing, the people are finally on to what most of us knew all along. I wish Trump wouldn't even speak...just give her the floor the entire debate....lol....it would end her campaign.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 6:59 pm to Night Vision
Nate gets a lot of hate but he has been very fair in the TV interviews I’ve seen him do.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 7:15 pm to AubieinNC2009
quote:
funny RCP has Kamala barely winning 273 - 265
That’s because it’s really is that close at the Electoral College level. Kamala may just need one ore two districts to win. Philly and Pitt.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 7:23 pm to Night Vision
I like the way this Nate Silver thinks…as long as he is on the right side of the ledger.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 7:40 pm to Night Vision
Posted on 9/5/24 at 8:43 pm to Night Vision
I want to believe but if I was polled I might seriously f with them. Just to do it. So idk. Maybe these people did as well.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 8:43 pm to Night Vision
quote:
Latest Nate Silver model shows Trump by almost 21
This is probably accurate.
But don't worry redneckhippie, VOR, Jon Ham, Leto II, tarzana, Warrior Court, BuckI and SFP.... Dominion machines and Democrat operatives counting ballots will make sure the predetermined outcome is achieved.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 8:46 pm to LSURussian
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/5/24 at 8:56 pm
Posted on 9/5/24 at 9:05 pm to tiger91
Posted on 9/5/24 at 10:33 pm to FlexDawg
This is why need crystal clear elections and accountability at every level of government.
This could get very ugly.
This could get very ugly.
Posted on 9/5/24 at 10:34 pm to Night Vision
I mean this guy doesn't know much but 21 is a pretty big deal
Maybe the censorship shite she said really bothered some people. Maybe they overestimate the amount of woke people whose biggest concern is "hate speech on Twitter"
Maybe the censorship shite she said really bothered some people. Maybe they overestimate the amount of woke people whose biggest concern is "hate speech on Twitter"
Posted on 9/5/24 at 10:36 pm to FlexDawg
They already tried to imprison him, ruin him financially, and frickin MURDER him. What else can they do?
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