Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Update: Situation in Iran thread | Page 117 | Political Talk
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re: Update: Situation in Iran thread

Posted on 2/1/26 at 11:20 am to
Posted by BigTigerJoe
Member since Aug 2022
12176 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 11:20 am to
Posted by VolInBavaria
Chattanooga, TN
Member since Dec 2015
4318 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 11:25 am to
Posted by Houag80
Member since Jul 2019
18948 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 11:25 am to
He's playing the Massie role.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
101482 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 11:47 am to
quote:

US has clearly decided to reinforce the Middle East more before strikes I am of the opinion mass scale strikes will still go ahead, although it looks like it could be pushed back as far as 2 weeks.





I guess we have to move our entire fricking military and half the U.S. citizens to the Middle East before we strike.

It’s a bluff. Trump isn’t going to do anything.
Posted by Reagan80
Earth
Member since Feb 2023
2217 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 11:52 am to
If Ayatollah says something nice about him, he will turn around. He looks indecisive now.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
53557 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

No, he’s pussing out. He is not all interested in the Iran protestors, he wants a nuclear deal, He is fine with leaving the mullahs in control.

Pussing out would be the opposite of this. You are claiming that Trump’s actions are achieving Trump’s goals. How is that “pussing out”? If Trump wanted the Mullahs out and backed away from that, THEN he’d be pussing out, but that is not your claim.
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
7539 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 2:50 pm to
According to TousiTV an Iranian air-force colonel has publicly defected. Other military officials as well are following suit. Some appeared publicly and made the announcements.





Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
44562 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 3:42 pm to
Posted by Bronco11
Member since Jul 2022
675 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 3:59 pm to
That's been pulled back. Apparently pre planned event.
Posted by BigTigerJoe
Member since Aug 2022
12176 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 4:30 pm to
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
44562 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

That's been pulled back. Apparently pre planned event.


I don’t care it was still a good time to use the gif.
Posted by VolInBavaria
Chattanooga, TN
Member since Dec 2015
4318 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 6:17 pm to
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quote:

“Midnight Hammer was a very specific mission,” Lt. Gen. Jason Armagost, the Deputy Commander of Air Force Global Strike Command (AFGSC), told reporters at the Mitchell Institute Airpower Forum on Thursday. “It was like a play in a game. It wasn’t the game writ large.” Iran responded to Midnight Hammer, U.S. strikes last June against its nuclear sites, by launching a small ballistic missile strike against a single base in the region, in an attempt to still look strong to domestic audiences but to also deescalate tensions with the United States. If the United States were to undertake a major air campaign against Iran, Maloney and others say, Tehran would respond with as much firepower as it could muster, deploying its arsenal of short and medium-range ballistic missiles against U.S. and Israeli positions across the Middle East. Iran would also likely mobilize its proxy forces, directing Shia militia groups to launch attacks in the region. Israel has battered Hezbollah in Lebanon and defeated Hamas in Gaza, but Tehran could encourage Yemen-based Houthis to target tankers and launch drone and missile strikes against civilian and military infrastructure in the region, and Iraqi militias and extremists groups in Syria could also mount attacks against U.S. Forces. - The Wall Street Journal
Posted by BayouBengal51
Forest Hill, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
7539 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 7:06 pm to
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quote:

Any deal with the Islamic regime would amount to President Trump throwing a lifeline to the Khamenei regime. My assessment is that this is not where things are heading.

The regime will not dismantle its nuclear program. It will not abandon its terror proxies. It will not give up its ballistic missile arsenal. President Trump has been explicit about his redlines, and Tehran did not just cross them, it blew past them. The regime showed him exactly who it is and how it operates.

The scale and tempo of U.S. military movement over the past week/s point to an approaching operation. I do not know the exact timing, but the trajectory is clear. This is moving toward a showdown.

The real question is why the delay?

President Trump understands that negotiating with the Khamenei regime is futile, so the delay is not about diplomacy. It is about preparation. The U.S. has significant exposure across the region. There are at least 18 U.S. bases that require protection, while only 7 THAAD systems are currently available. That imbalance matters. It strongly suggests additional air defense deployments are imminent.

There is also the regional dimension. Yemen, Iraq, and Hezbollah could all enter the fight, dramatically complicating the operational picture. That scenario demands tighter coordination and additional planning. Finally, there is the element of surprise. The U.S. is clearly trying to shape the battlefield before the first move is made. In short, everyone involved understands the talks will produce nothing. The delay is about force posture, risk reduction, and setting the conditions for decisive action with maximum surprise.

It’s happening, just a slight delay.
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
32007 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 7:10 pm to
quote:

He looks indecisive now.


It’s a tough call that is going yo be second guessed when Iranian society goes into chaos. Theire will be a period of chaos no matter what happens here.

I don’t envy making this decision.
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
2725 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

Russia knows that it would be a futile exercise and would only get it's own troops killed

Yup, I'm sure they can recall what happened to their people in Syria the last time they messed with Trump.
Posted by PorkSammich
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
17284 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 7:23 pm to
quote:

It’s a tough call that is going yo be second guessed when Iranian society goes into chaos


Agreed but you can’t say this then do nothing:


Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
95854 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 7:27 pm to
Why not?

Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
2725 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

waiting for the Allies to get off their arse and invade Europe during WW2.

WOW
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38309 posts
Posted on 2/1/26 at 7:48 pm to
Trump is a fricking moron for posting that. He’s responsible for thousands of dead Iranians who thought he was coming to their rescue, not letting weeks go by after it’s all died down.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
44562 posts
Posted on 2/2/26 at 7:51 am to
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Well the protesters are f**kef. Witkoff is a gullible cuck who will fall for Iran’s lies just like he has fallen for Putin’s lies.
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