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Started By
Message
Leaked Democrat internal polling
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:30 pm
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:30 pm
Reported by Puck News…
Trump +10.6% - N Carolina
Trump +10.1% - Georgia
Trump +9.7% - Arizona
Trump +8.8% - Nevada
Trump +7.3% - Pennsylvania
Trump +6.9% - Michigan
Trump +4.3% - Nebraska-2
Trump +4.2% - Wisconsin
Trump +2.8% - New Hampshire
Trump +0.6% - Virginia
Trump +0.5% - New Mexico
————————————-
Biden +0.2% - Maine
Biden +0.4% - Minnesota
Biden +1.9% - Colorado
If you weight these state shifts compared to 2020, it appears they’ve all shifted an average of 9.32% which would mean Trump is leading nationally by approximately 4.86%.
Since this polling data leaked yesterday, both the CNN poll and the NYT/Sienna polls have shown Trump to be leading by 6 points. So this if anything might not fully show how big Trump’s lead might be at this time.
We’re looking at a massive Trump win in November unless something major changes.
Assuming polls could swing +/- 4% or so (unlikely, but possible), Trump’s worst case scenario is showing an Electoral College win of 313 - 225.
The likely scenario based on this polling would result in a Trump EC win of 335 - 203.
And best case for Trump would be an EC win of 355 - 183.
Trump +10.6% - N Carolina
Trump +10.1% - Georgia
Trump +9.7% - Arizona
Trump +8.8% - Nevada
Trump +7.3% - Pennsylvania
Trump +6.9% - Michigan
Trump +4.3% - Nebraska-2
Trump +4.2% - Wisconsin
Trump +2.8% - New Hampshire
Trump +0.6% - Virginia
Trump +0.5% - New Mexico
————————————-
Biden +0.2% - Maine
Biden +0.4% - Minnesota
Biden +1.9% - Colorado
If you weight these state shifts compared to 2020, it appears they’ve all shifted an average of 9.32% which would mean Trump is leading nationally by approximately 4.86%.
Since this polling data leaked yesterday, both the CNN poll and the NYT/Sienna polls have shown Trump to be leading by 6 points. So this if anything might not fully show how big Trump’s lead might be at this time.
We’re looking at a massive Trump win in November unless something major changes.
Assuming polls could swing +/- 4% or so (unlikely, but possible), Trump’s worst case scenario is showing an Electoral College win of 313 - 225.
The likely scenario based on this polling would result in a Trump EC win of 335 - 203.
And best case for Trump would be an EC win of 355 - 183.
25
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:31 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
Puck News
Who?
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:32 pm to AUTiger789
Geez, just how lost is Colorado?
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:33 pm to jrodLSUke
quote:
Geez, just how lost is Colorado?
And they say smoking weed doesn't cause brain damage.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:33 pm to AUTiger789
If Trump wins AZ, GA, NV, and NH he wouldn’t even have to win any of the 3 rust belts that are always discussed.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:33 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
Trump +10.6% - N Carolina
Trump +10.1% - Georgia
Trump +9.7% - Arizona
Trump +8.8% - Nevada
Trump +7.3% - Pennsylvania
Trump +6.9% - Michigan
Trump +4.3% - Nebraska-2
Trump +4.2% - Wisconsin
Trump +2.8% - New Hampshire
Trump +0.6% - Virginia
Trump +0.5% - New Mexico
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:34 pm to jrodLSUke
quote:
Geez, just how lost is Colorado?
Alot of blue haired weirdos moved there the last 20 years and this is the results. Texas will suffer the same fate in the next 10-20 years.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:45 pm to AUTiger789
No way.
I don’t buy it. Ploy to boot Biden.
I don’t buy it. Ploy to boot Biden.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:46 pm to AUTiger789
I don't believe most of those.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:48 pm to jrodLSUke
quote:
Geez, just how lost is Colorado?
Massive chunks of liberals from California moved in, and are still moving in. Boulder and Denver have always been more liberal, but Colorado Springs is moving that direction too.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:50 pm to AUTiger789
quote:This is some bullshite Democrats!
Trump +10.6% - N Carolina
Trump +10.1% - Georgia
Trump +9.7% - Arizona
Trump +8.8% - Nevada
Trump +7.3% - Pennsylvania
Trump +6.9% - Michigan
Trump +4.3% - Nebraska-2
Trump +4.2% - Wisconsin
Trump +2.8% - New Hampshire
Trump +0.6% - Virginia
Trump +0.5% - New Mexico
Joe is up in all swing states and some red states! Everyone loves him and thinks he’s the best president ever!
Stick with Joe! He’s gonna win, I promise you!
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:51 pm to AUTiger789
Honestly, I thought Trump would win the 2020 election by a landslide because they were hiding Joe Biden from the American people. He barely even campaign and every time he did, he just sounded completely stupid. The Democratic Party is the party of corruption and they are extremely organized and rich, and they know how to hand a piece of dog shite to the American people and convince them it’s gold. We’ve seen it for the last 3 1/2 years.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:52 pm to AUTiger789
I think it would be higher in Nebraska. Did a bunch of woke Californians move in there?
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:52 pm to AUTiger789
How is Nebraska even on that list?
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:53 pm to jrodLSUke
Colorado going green really ruined that beautiful state.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:54 pm to AUTiger789
_2.8%-New Hampshire!! 
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:57 pm to AUTiger789
quote:
unless something major changes.
Never underestimate your enemy.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:58 pm to AUTiger789
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:59 pm to jrodLSUke
quote:
Geez, just how lost is Colorado?
They’d vote for a burning dumpster over DJT
Posted on 7/3/24 at 2:59 pm to jrodLSUke
quote:
Geez, just how lost is Colorado?
Considering a whole lot of people moved there mostly so they could smoke pot legally- it’s real lost.
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