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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Lee Forecast to be 150MPH+
Posted on 9/8/23 at 10:52 am to RockChalkTiger
Posted on 9/8/23 at 10:52 am to RockChalkTiger
quote:
Eloise was a bitch too. Rode that one out in PCB. Completely remade Destin/FWB.
Read up on that one not long ago.
Sounds like an 18' storm surge took out 90% of all structures south of 98 between FWB and PC for what was a mid to strong cat3.
Even factoring in the new storm codes, can you imagine the financial impact if that same storm occurred today?
This post was edited on 9/8/23 at 10:55 am
1
Posted on 9/8/23 at 11:05 am to roadGator
love me some spaghetti. 
This post was edited on 9/8/23 at 11:05 am
Posted on 9/8/23 at 11:36 am to RollTide1987
quote:
I sure hope it turns.
zero indication it won’t
Posted on 9/8/23 at 11:42 am to McGruff21
Damn, Lee is one slow-moving hurricane. Thank God it's not going over much inhabited land.
Posted on 9/8/23 at 1:57 pm to theunknownknight
quote:
theunknownknightI’m vacationing in the middle of the Atlantic this week, can someone let me know if I’ll be affected by this thing?
Traffic gonna be a bitch
Posted on 9/8/23 at 2:18 pm to tide06
quote:
financial impact if that same storm occurred today
A lot of those structures were “Old Florida,” pre-building code, on-slab, Mom & Pop hotels and bars. The stuff they built in its place is much more resilient, but it would still be bad. BTW, Harvey Jackson has a great book on “Old Florida”—The Rise and Decline of the Redneck Riviera: LINK
Posted on 9/8/23 at 4:31 pm to yaboidarrell
Is it normal for them to move this slow?
Posted on 9/8/23 at 4:35 pm to yaboidarrell
By next week the cold North Atlantic waters will eat ole Lee up…
Posted on 9/8/23 at 4:37 pm to dukke v
Peej has spoken…
RIPip, New York
RIPip, New York
Posted on 9/8/23 at 4:37 pm to Bayou_Tiger_225
13 mph forward movement aint especially slow.
Posted on 9/8/23 at 4:40 pm to dukke v
I downvoted you out of reflex
Posted on 9/8/23 at 4:42 pm to Duke
quote:
13 mph forward movement aint especially slow.
Nope. It is the vast Atlantic that makes it seem to be moving even slower.
Posted on 9/8/23 at 4:42 pm to Thracken13
Looking increasingly more likely that Maine is going to have some issues with Lee.
Posted on 9/8/23 at 5:05 pm to LegendInMyMind
Until today the cone was narrow. Why has it suddenly broadened, not just doubled in width, but maybe even quadrupled (increasing the uncertainty at the very least)?
Posted on 9/8/23 at 6:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
that really sucks for them too - the Maine Coast is beautiful country - especially Bar Harbor area.
Posted on 9/8/23 at 6:49 pm to real turf fan
quote:
Until today the cone was narrow. Why has it suddenly broadened, not just doubled in width, but maybe even quadrupled (increasing the uncertainty at the very least)?
The cone size has not changed. It is always 2/3 of the typical error in track prediction at that point out in time.
I know it looks like it, but Im telling you thats not how the cone works.
Posted on 9/8/23 at 7:13 pm to Duke
Lee is also getting its arse kicked by SW shear. Pressure way up. Winds more Cat 2-3. Which, yeah, matches what the satellite is showing.
Posted on 9/8/23 at 7:36 pm to Duke
Where’s the latest sketti models? Our resident TD meteorologists are slacking.
Posted on 9/8/23 at 7:44 pm to dukke v
quote:
the cold North Atlantic waters will eat ole Lee up…
Poor Florida…..
Posted on 9/8/23 at 7:46 pm to Duke
quote:
Lee is also getting its arse kicked by SW shear. Pressure way up. Winds more Cat 2-3. Which, yeah, matches what the satellite is showing.
More proof they still have big issues forecasting intensity.
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