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Message
re: New thread started for Beryl
Posted on 6/29/24 at 10:11 am to Tvilletiger
Posted on 6/29/24 at 10:11 am to Tvilletiger
quote:
My kid is supposed to be in the keys for the 4th and then comes back the 9th what do you guys think?
Beryl stackkked...Keys frickkked
2
Posted on 6/29/24 at 10:11 am to Tvilletiger
quote:
My kid is supposed to be in the keys for the 4th and then comes back the 9th what do you guys think?
Cuba might set a pick for him. Monday will have more clear picture.
Posted on 6/29/24 at 10:18 am to Stevo
quote:
Cuba might set a pick for him.
Right now they are saying it will be south, so he should see manageable wind and rain. It would be a cool distance to see it from if the track holds.
Getting drunk at Hemingway's house during a 'cane would be a great story for the grandkids.
Posted on 6/29/24 at 10:40 am to Hangit
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:09 am to Pedro
quote:
I remember us puckering quite a bit growing up through the 00’s and only really getting hit by one (Lilly in ‘02). Remember us freaking out thinking we were gonna get wrecked by it then only having a few shingles missing when we got back home.
This just fricked my mind for a minute until I realized that there is a very distinct possibility that you haven't always lived in Wichita.
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:26 am to Classy Doge
quote:
My kid is supposed to be in the keys for the 4th and then comes back the 9th what do you guys think?
i know with it already being probably booked, but anyway to change the trip over to the Bahamas, he can just tell his girlfriend come on pretty mama
but really where he wants to go is......waaay down in Kokomo
he can get there fast and then take it slow
that's where he wants to go....way down in Kokomo
This post was edited on 6/29/24 at 11:33 am
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:27 am to rds dc
frick the HWRF
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:31 am to rds dc
well the GFS is showing a big arse ridge over the southeastern US by the time Beryl gets to the gulf
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:35 am to rds dc
It’s going to be pretty remarkable if this thing turns out to be a major hurricane when it’s coming through the Windward Islands. Almost unprecedented to see that sort of action out there in June/very early July.
This post was edited on 6/29/24 at 11:37 am
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:37 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Climate change is undeniable
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:45 am to Hangit
quote:
Getting drunk at Hemingway's house during a 'cane would be a great story for the grandkids.
Working to save some of Hemingway's polyacrylic cats would be a closer connection to Hemingway. Anybody can get drunk.
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:50 am to Classy Doge
quote:
Beryl stackkked...Keys frickkked
It’s passing south of Cuba and is very small. It might not even rain in the Keys
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:52 am to Bobby OG Johnson
What does M on the cone mean?
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:56 am to Cosmo
quote:
What does M on the cone mean?
Major hurricane = winds over 110 mph
Or
Mexican
This post was edited on 6/29/24 at 11:58 am
Posted on 6/29/24 at 11:58 am to real turf fan
Posted on 6/29/24 at 12:04 pm to CarolinaGamecock99
Posted on 6/29/24 at 12:05 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
It’s going to be pretty remarkable if this thing turns out to be a major hurricane when it’s coming through the Windward Islands. Almost unprecedented to see that sort of action out there in June/very early July.
I wish you hadn't said this. Now I'm going to be obsessively researching June hurricanes, which is an issue because all the usual sites/articles only seem to cover rare US land falls in June. I want to find something that covers all Atlantic June hurricanes (major or not), regardless of US land fall.
Because I believe it is important to understand what an area/time/climate is capable of (however rare it may be) before saying things like, "Climate change is undeniable.", as the poster who replied to you said.
This is a similar approach I try to get through to people who say their areas don't get violent tornadoes in severe/tornado threads. It is important to understand what an area is capable of on the rare occasion that everything lines up perfectly. Having the knee-jerk reaction to immediately blame it all on climate change is just lazy.
Posted on 6/29/24 at 12:10 pm to DVinBR
quote:
well the GFS is showing a big arse ridge over the southeastern US by the time Beryl gets to the gulf
That is the next thing to watch as we move towards any Gulf scenario. The models show the ridge axis sliding eastward and a weak trough dropping in over the Southern Plains as Beryl moves over the Yucatan, but that is out beyond Day 7. Timing and strength of those features will matter a lot, but the ridge probably keeps the eastern Gulf clear unless there is a big change in the models.
Posted on 6/29/24 at 12:19 pm to rds dc
quote:
That is the next thing to watch as we move towards any Gulf scenario
After that wil the Northern Gulf we open for Chris?
Posted on 6/29/24 at 12:39 pm to doubleb
quote:
After that wil the Northern Gulf we open for Chris?
94L might get tagged Chris as it slides across the Southern BOC and into Mexico.
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