Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Officials say Louisiana's growth trajectory similar to Italy | Page 4 | O-T Lounge
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re: Officials say Louisiana's growth trajectory similar to Italy

Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:04 pm to
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13102 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:04 pm to
quote:

The point still stands that South Korea is an awful comparison since the US wasn't employing wide scale testing and trying to track down every possible contact of those testing positive weeks ago like South Korea reportedly did.


Cool, someone who has actually studied this instead of non-stop arguing on the internet.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
85763 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

However, nothing at all suggests any reason to look at South Korea aside from perhaps how to handle something like this better in the future and Italy is the only example with a significantly longer trajectory than us.


nothing suggests that we will have Italy's mortality or hospitalization rate either
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87623 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

I think that's a problem that’s going to go away… They have studied it. They know very much. In fact, we’re very close to a vaccine.”

“The 15 (cases in the US) within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero.”

“We're going very substantially down, not up.”
Again, the point of this isn’t to stop the spread but to slow the spread. You can’t stop it. There’s no vaccine. People will eventually be exposed. The point is to make sure the infrastructure can handle the cases along with any other problems healthcare typically deals with.
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9294 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:06 pm to
quote:


Basically the only stat that is real and is good enough to act on is the death toll.


I think number of people being hospitalized for it is much better.

In NY, for example, Cuomo is giving hospitalization stats in his daily update:

Yesterday, 17-18% of 10,000+ positive tests were in hospitals.

Today, it was around 13-14% of 15,000+ positive tests were in hospitals.

Haven't seen these stats published from many other states.


Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87623 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:08 pm to
Wait. New York has 15k+ cases?
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9294 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:13 pm to
quote:

Wait. New York has 15k+ cases?


Yes. Seems to be jumping around 25% per day.

However, I do think that NY is probably succeeding in getting a lot more people tested. They made testing free right away but still you need doctor's recommendation for the test.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
77549 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

Wait. New York has 15k+ cases?


And they have scaled back their testing it seems. Only testing if it will change outcome.

Seems most are grasping that the test is just revealing it is a lot more widespread than the initial thought.
Posted by rotrain
Member since Feb 2013
390 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:35 pm to
Because s korea was prepared with a plan and technology to test, isolate, and repeat at scale by focusing on those who were exposed or could have been exposed.

We dont have a plan or the volume of tests nor the technology to do what they did. Italy it is.
Posted by CharlesLSU
Member since Jan 2007
33505 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:51 pm to
And the earth is going to explode......we get it.

Apocalypse

Back to the NCG replay
Posted by TIGRLEE
Northeast Louisiana
Member since Nov 2009
31493 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:53 pm to
Northeast La says what up y’all!

Keep your germs, white rubber boots, gold chains, yat rat accents away.


TIA
Posted by WaydownSouth
Stratton Oakmont
Member since Nov 2018
10840 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

The product of an unhealthy and uneducated population. Downvotes are because I’m right but you fat fricks don’t want to admit it. Get your beer and light your cigarettes you walking pile of diabetes



My man!!
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
170519 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

Ramped up testing doesnt mean spread and growth. It just means we are finding more that’s already out there.


This

It should be common sense that more positive tests are forthcoming as testing becomes more available and accessible and increases especially in asymptomatic people, but everyone will freak.
This post was edited on 3/22/20 at 7:59 pm
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:02 pm to
quote:

Did you even watch the press conference?


No. I’m responding to the OP.
Posted by Number 9 Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2020
681 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:05 pm to
quote:


No. I’m responding to the OP.


JBE explained it well.
We are on the same trajectory as Spain, Italy and SK. In the next week the hopes are that due to the measures we are taking, we hope to follow SK’s path and not Spain’s or Italy’s.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
107856 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:07 pm to
LA is fricking it up for Texas. Texas would be fine if LA wasn't right next to us. Especially everyone east of lake Charles and South of I 10.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:09 pm to
quote:

JBE explained it well.
We are on the same trajectory as Spain, Italy and SK. In the next week the hopes are that due to the measures we are taking, we hope to follow SK’s path and not Spain’s or Italy’s.


That’s fine. It wasn’t explained in the OP.
Posted by Number 9 Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2020
681 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:10 pm to
quote:


That’s fine. It wasn’t explained in the OP.


No it wasn’t.
He didn’t even say who said that.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40161 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:33 pm to
Probably not but that isn’t because I’m fat. Weak upper body woman but 65”, 135# so shut up.
Posted by White Bear
Deer-Thirty
Member since Jul 2014
17447 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:36 pm to
If this shite woulda hit during deer season they’d a brought it up here, too.
Posted by tigereye58
Member since Jan 2007
2853 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:38 pm to
They are also a country of 63 million people and we are a state of 4.5 million. Our numbers will be drastically less than what Italy is seeing. They also live on top of each other more like New York or some parts of New Orleans but more like New York City. We don’t compare in risk of transmitting it or population. New York is much more comparable.
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