Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us I think Trump may win the popular vote | Page 2 | Political Talk
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re: I think Trump may win the popular vote

Posted on 10/13/24 at 8:37 pm to
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
53874 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 8:37 pm to
quote:

Trump is out performing every single demographic

He’s not. This is just a blatant lie that ignores what all the data is telling us. White women have shifted even more toward Kamala.
quote:

It seems 70-30 if you are paying attention.

It only seems that way to you because you are living in a right wing echo chamber.

I’m not pretending to know, but my guess is that Trump wins the electoral college narrowly and loses the popular vote by 1%. But I hope you are right.
Posted by Floyd Dawg
Silver Creek, GA
Member since Jul 2018
5071 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 10:19 pm to
None. Changing their laws rested on a Constitutional amendment passing requiring that states allocate their EVs to the winner of the NPV.
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
6827 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 11:31 pm to
The only chance Trump has to win the popular vote is to run up the vote in Texas. In 2020 only 60% of registered voters voted. That was the 6th worst voter turnout out of the 50 states and DC. It might also mean the minorities didn’t vote in Texas in 2020. With the Cruz and Allred tightening it may be a really big turnout in 2024

To many people hate Trump in blue States and that will run up the numbers in Harris’s favor.
Posted by El Segundo Guy
1-866-DHS-2-ICE
Member since Aug 2014
11526 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 11:35 pm to
90% chance I abstain from voting for either Presidential candidate.

But I'm flying a Trump 2024 Take America Back flag just to piss off/troll any whacko UPS/USPS/Fed Ex driver (or anyone else that might happen to come by) that might take offense to it.
This post was edited on 10/13/24 at 11:37 pm
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
29860 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 11:38 pm to
quote:

That would mean he wins Colorado's EV even if he doesn't win the state.
is that confirmed law now? Since when?

Edit - that is not law yet. Their 'pact' doesn't take place until they have enough states join the agreement that will get them to 270. They have 15 states and 196 votes so far.

They won't side with the NPV yet.
This post was edited on 10/13/24 at 11:44 pm
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
9492 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 11:40 pm to
I agree with you. The left’s melt will be epic.
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
31309 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 11:55 pm to
Trump will NOT win the popular vote.
Posted by Riverside
Member since Jul 2022
9492 posts
Posted on 10/13/24 at 11:59 pm to
We have room for you on the Trump train. We’ll put you in Tulsi and RFK’s section.
Posted by Dandy Lion
Member since Feb 2010
51403 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 12:15 am to
quote:

loses the popular vote by 1%

Vote at large, or legal voters?
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
6827 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 12:35 am to
Abortion bills will bring out a lot of voters that would have stayed at home and they will probably vote for Harris.

I see vote No on Amendment 3(Abortion Bill) on almost every street, but most of these don’t have Trump signs. I see vote Yes on Amendment 3 and only a few have Harris signs. There’s one house that has vote Yes and a Trump sign. Harris will probably get a higher percentage in Missouri this year compared to Biden in 20 because of Amendment 3 being on the ballot, but Trump still wins big.

I’ve seen more Harris yard signs this year than I did Biden in 20.

Amendment 3 will pass 55% to 45% or higher depending on KC and STL turnout

Trump will probably win 55% of the vote and Hawley 53%
This post was edited on 10/14/24 at 12:42 am
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