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re: Official: Kari Lake Victory Update Thread
Posted on 11/8/24 at 10:11 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Posted on 11/8/24 at 10:11 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
At the current pace, which will definitely change, this is where the race would end. Lake is currently down by around 32,000
Maricopa
Gallego 177,800
Lake 172,200 (-5,600)
Pima
Gallego 72,600
Lake 48,400 (-24,200)
Cochise
Gallego 12,000
Lake 20,000 (+8,000)
Yavapai
Gallego 14,000
Lake 25,000 (+11,000)
Yuma
Gallego 10,000
Lake 14,500 (+4,500)
Mohave
Gallego 2,700
Lake 7,300 (+4,600)
The rest of the counties all have less than 10,000 votes left to count. Apache, which has been a Gallego county has around 7,500 votes left and the others have even fewer.
Obviously I'm just rounding here but at the current rates that would mean the race would end with Gallego up by 33,000.
So she really needs drops where she outperforms her current %, especially in those blue counties.
Maricopa 47.2%
Pima 37.5%
Yavapai 64%
Cochise 62%
Yuma 59%
Maricopa
Gallego 177,800
Lake 172,200 (-5,600)
Pima
Gallego 72,600
Lake 48,400 (-24,200)
Cochise
Gallego 12,000
Lake 20,000 (+8,000)
Yavapai
Gallego 14,000
Lake 25,000 (+11,000)
Yuma
Gallego 10,000
Lake 14,500 (+4,500)
Mohave
Gallego 2,700
Lake 7,300 (+4,600)
The rest of the counties all have less than 10,000 votes left to count. Apache, which has been a Gallego county has around 7,500 votes left and the others have even fewer.
Obviously I'm just rounding here but at the current rates that would mean the race would end with Gallego up by 33,000.
So she really needs drops where she outperforms her current %, especially in those blue counties.
Maricopa 47.2%
Pima 37.5%
Yavapai 64%
Cochise 62%
Yuma 59%
2
Posted on 11/8/24 at 10:17 pm to TigerIron
I remember doing this exact same shite for Arizona presidential in 2020. Watching every ballot drop. "Ohhh Trump got 59%, he only needed 51%! This is great. He's on his way. It's going to happen. Fox will be humiliated."
Y'all have fun.
Y'all have fun.
Posted on 11/8/24 at 10:53 pm to JoeHackett
Here's a link that shows the remaining ballots to be counted in each county.
This is probably a little old by a few hours now but still good info.
I'm linking directly to the point in the video where they show the numbers for each county. The whole video is worth watching though.
This is probably a little old by a few hours now but still good info.
I'm linking directly to the point in the video where they show the numbers for each county. The whole video is worth watching though.
Posted on 11/8/24 at 11:01 pm to lsursb
quote:
Garret Archer
Dude is a soy bitch who likes the taste of shite covered cock.
Wouldn't surprise me if he and the Recorder have played each others recorder if you know what I mean.
The datarepublican bawette is where its at for updates without the soy.
Posted on 11/8/24 at 11:07 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Yeah, I'm not getting invested in this like I did in 2020. I'm expecting her to lose and will be pleasantly shocked if she wins.
Either way, we have 53 Senate seats and Trump won.
Either way, we have 53 Senate seats and Trump won.
Posted on 11/8/24 at 11:13 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:
are those red counties going to hold their votes back until the end and then dump them like Dems did in 2020 to put them over the top? I keep hearing the reddest counties are left but no updates on those
Cochise County is sandbagging 35k ballots, 8k of which need signature verification.
Lake is leading by 20% on the 25k already counted. That is roughly a 5-7k gain for her.
Cochise County doesn't frick around. The child frickers in Phoenix tried to send their Election Chair to prison for sandbagging in 2022.
Yavapai is solid red and will trickle in a few thousand more surplus for Lake.
The biggest numbers will come from Maricopa. They count from closest to farthest and all the rednecks out in the West Valley and all the wealthy in North Scottsdale/Fountain Hills/Cave Creek will break harder for Lake.
She still has a shot. But it will be super close.
Posted on 11/8/24 at 11:15 pm to John Barron
Why did she cut her locks?
Posted on 11/8/24 at 11:46 pm to Vincenzo Pantangelli
quote:
Why did she cut her locks?
That's just a photoshop image of her with long hair.
I don't know that she ever had long hair. At least no time recently
Posted on 11/8/24 at 11:47 pm to JoeHackett
quote:
Maricopa 47.2%
This will change substantially when the votes being counted are from the suburbs and Phoenix proper dries up. If what Charlie Kirk reports is accurate, that that's the sequence - start with PHX and move out to the suburbs - she should win and it won't take to the last vote. The suburbs we're talking about just reelected Andy Biggs, Eli Crane for the House and made Abe Hamadeh an easy winner.
Posted on 11/8/24 at 11:49 pm to hawgfaninc
you win some and you are definitely about to lose some.
Posted on 11/9/24 at 12:02 am to East Coast Band
Always been short apparently.
Posted on 11/9/24 at 12:04 am to TigerMyth36
Arizona is a dirty as they come. I don't trust any state that takes 10 times longer to count the votes than the rest of the country.
Posted on 11/9/24 at 7:57 am to omegaman66
Posted on 11/9/24 at 8:08 am to John Barron
Somebody drop a few white crosses in the water bottle.
Posted on 11/9/24 at 8:08 am to John Barron
Trump is gonna win the state by 7 and Lake is still in a dog fight. That alone proves she's a poor candidate.
Posted on 11/9/24 at 8:09 am to Stidham8
quote:
53 Senate seats
Hold your horses. New York Times has not projected Dave McCormick in PA as the winner
Posted on 11/9/24 at 8:14 am to tarzana
AP has you communist prick
Posted on 11/9/24 at 8:17 am to tarzana
I was hoping that you had killed yourself out of embarrassment.
What a giant dumb piece of embarrassing shite you are. Your parents have to be seething that you turned out like this.
What a giant dumb piece of embarrassing shite you are. Your parents have to be seething that you turned out like this.
Posted on 11/9/24 at 8:17 am to John Barron
She'd have my vote, but not enough from the people of Arizona....
Posted on 11/9/24 at 8:19 am to AU86
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