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Mystery trader on Polymarket garners $400,000-plus windfall on Maduro's capture
Posted on 1/5/26 at 5:23 pm
Posted on 1/5/26 at 5:23 pm
LINK
quote:
An unknown trader has raked in a profit worth about $410,000 after betting that Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro would be ousted from his position.
The trader's account ?on Polymarket built up positions in contracts tied to Maduro's removal on terms that implied long ?odds before the weekend raid. Those wagers, which were worth about $34,000 prior to Maduro's capture, surged in value after news of the U.S. ?military operation on the Venezuelan leader emerged, Polymarket data shows.
Major stock indexes jumped and oil prices gained earlier on Monday, while energy shares notched big gains after Maduro was captured by the U.S. military during the weekend. The country's default-hit government bonds surged, buoyed by expectations of a large and complex sovereign debt restructuring. Bonds issued by the government and ?state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela, known ?as PDVSA, jumped as much as 10 cents on the dollar, or almost 30%, as bullish investors swooped on the developments.
The mystery trade is likely to attract scrutiny from ?U.S. lawmakers who have been pushing for stricter insider trading rules, including a bipartisan effort to potentially ban trading of stocks by lawmakers. After news of the Maduro trades emerged on Monday, Democratic congressman Ritchie Torres said he plans to introduce a ?bill this week that would bar elected officials, lawmakers and federal employees from placing bets on prediction ?market platforms where they could potentially access material non-public information.
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Posted on 1/5/26 at 5:41 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Degens really will gamble on anything. The truly degenerate will cheat in doing so.
Posted on 1/5/26 at 5:46 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Probably some E-5 at JSOC who yolo'ed his reenlistment bonus.
Posted on 1/5/26 at 5:47 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
These stories are fake and are just advertisements for these platforms
Posted on 1/5/26 at 5:48 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
quote:Okay, and???
Mystery trader on Polymarket garners $400,000-plus windfall on Maduro's capture
Posted on 1/5/26 at 6:15 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
quote:
Democratic congressman Ritchie Torres said he plans to introduce a ?bill this week that would bar elected officials, lawmakers and federal employees from placing bets on prediction ?market platforms
Won’t help. They will just have their second cousins neighbor place the bet.
Posted on 1/5/26 at 6:23 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Posted on 1/5/26 at 6:36 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
I’ve been actively avoiding poly market like it’s cocaine, because I know I will absolutely fricking love it.
Was there a time frame similar to an options contract expiration date? When was it placed? Can’t be paying out that much AFTER an aircraft carrier was parked in the front yard, right?
Was there a time frame similar to an options contract expiration date? When was it placed? Can’t be paying out that much AFTER an aircraft carrier was parked in the front yard, right?
Posted on 1/5/26 at 6:38 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Clearly it was that deep stater Barron Blumpf- TxTiger
Posted on 1/5/26 at 6:39 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Prob someone lurking a telegram chat.
Posted on 1/5/26 at 6:41 pm to Major Dutch Schaefer
Pelosi?
Posted on 1/5/26 at 6:42 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Degens really will gamble on anything. The truly degenerate will cheat in doing so.
Highly doubt they are a degen. That dude 100% had an insider feeding him. This wasn’t organic
Not to mention, he kept loading up more shares which tells any logical person that the extraction attempt time was nearing.
I’d be curious to know what % of shares he bought say a week before Maduro was caught.
Posted on 1/5/26 at 7:14 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:Yeah, lots of insiders can make a lot of money now.
Degens really will gamble on anything. The truly degenerate will cheat in doing so.
Even world events are rigged now. That's the pandora's box of legal gambling.
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