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re: Tropical Storm Rafael - Spinning Down in Gulf

Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:09 pm to rds dc
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:09 pm to rds dc
NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen, located over the south-central Caribbean Sea, at 400 PM EST (2100 UTC).
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Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:10 pm to rds dc
What sort of intensity we taking about?
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Posted by biglosdaddy
south louisiana
Member since May 2007
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:50 pm to SlidellCajun
Models show anything from a TS to a 4

LINK
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Posted by friendlyobservation
Member since Mar 2024
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:57 pm to biglosdaddy
Good lord Cat 4 in November? Is this one I'm going to have to prepare for?
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Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 2:57 pm to biglosdaddy
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Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 3:04 pm to lsuman25
Campus festivities for the Alabama game should be fun.
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Posted by friendlyobservation
Member since Mar 2024
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 3:06 pm to Ghost of Colby
Probably a big rainmaker whatever it is and since LSU can't run the fking the ball that would have to favor Bama.
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Posted by biglosdaddy
south louisiana
Member since May 2007
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 3:12 pm to friendlyobservation
It's always best to be in the first cone though.
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Posted by friendlyobservation
Member since Mar 2024
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 3:13 pm to biglosdaddy
I doubt that's case in this situation. There's a high over Georgia and Florida so it's probably getting squashed west even if historically they hit panhandle.
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Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 3:24 pm to friendlyobservation
I’m glad this thread popped up, I wasn’t tracking anything. Any chance a front from up north comes down and kills this thing?
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Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 3:47 pm to Swagga
quote:

This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 3:47 pm
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Posted by macatak911
Mandeville, LA
Member since Sep 2007
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 4:04 pm to Mr Roboto
18Z GFS coming in just now on very east of cone
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Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 4:30 pm to lsuman25
College gameday going to be doing their broadcast during a hurricane in BR Saturday
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Posted by RBTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2011
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 4:31 pm to SlidellCajun
Latest Run has it a weaker 1006 millibar Tropical Storm near Gulf Shores AL

Guessing water temps that way are in the upper 70's

BR would get minimal effects ...this could change a few times between now & then.
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 4:33 pm
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Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 4:46 pm to RBTiger
quote:
BR would get minimal effects ...this could change a few times between now & then.


ya think?
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Posted by sqerty
AP
Member since May 2022
8302 posts
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:00 pm to Cosmo
Does the cold come with it?
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Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:28 pm to sqerty
Lord willing
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Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:06 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
I don’t think so.
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Posted by BigHoss
Offshore
Member since Apr 2010
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:20 pm to dukke v
Welp. We are screwed
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Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61618 posts
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Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:40 pm to biglosdaddy
quote:
Models show anything from a TS to a 4


That’s just a reminder of how many stupid models there are
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