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re: Florida and Georgia citizens
Posted on 11/6/18 at 2:29 pm to jnethe1
Posted on 11/6/18 at 2:29 pm to jnethe1
I see it going differently than the fake polls would suggest.
Unlike some I learned my lesson in 2016.
The average is Kemp+3 LINK
...but a poll that predicted Trump wins in state's others didn't has Kemp ahead by +12
LINK
Also Cagle was to entrenched into the establishment. The people got tired of that shite in 2016.
But I would have voted for him over Abrams. I would have voted for anyone over Abrams.
Unlike some I learned my lesson in 2016.
The average is Kemp+3 LINK
...but a poll that predicted Trump wins in state's others didn't has Kemp ahead by +12
LINK
Also Cagle was to entrenched into the establishment. The people got tired of that shite in 2016.
But I would have voted for him over Abrams. I would have voted for anyone over Abrams.
This post was edited on 11/6/18 at 2:32 pm
1
Posted on 11/6/18 at 2:32 pm to FlexDawg
It’s fairly predictable since there was an election 2 years ago. Trump won 50-46. She will get a huge turnout. I suspect it will be like 49-49
Posted on 11/6/18 at 2:36 pm to jnethe1
Abrams winning would be great for Alabama. Businesses would flock here.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 2:42 pm to thomass
If fake polls say he's 3+ then that means he's ahead by more.
Go look at the Georgia congressional district 6 results from last year:
They had Ossoff leading from March up until June and then had it deadlocked: LINK
Handel ended up winning by 3.8%
The trafalgar poll that I referenced having Kemp ahead by 12 had Handel ahead by 2%. They are the most accurate so I will stick with them.
Go look at the Georgia congressional district 6 results from last year:
They had Ossoff leading from March up until June and then had it deadlocked: LINK
Handel ended up winning by 3.8%
The trafalgar poll that I referenced having Kemp ahead by 12 had Handel ahead by 2%. They are the most accurate so I will stick with them.
This post was edited on 11/6/18 at 2:44 pm
Posted on 11/6/18 at 2:49 pm to FlexDawg
Right. I’m just going on actual past results. It was 50-46 2 years ago. Dems have been hovering around 44-47 % since 2008. Thus, you can expect her to get a little higher than that. Her problem is breaking 50%, which would seem highly unlikely. She may even get more votes today, but she would lose the runoff.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 2:53 pm to thomass
What makes you more confident about the runoff?
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:00 pm to FlexDawg
The libertarian vote would mostly go to him I would think
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:07 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
Eventually, the left will take over the State of Georgia politics.
Take away urban/ITP Atl, and the geographically large (no 24) State is as red as Liz Warren claims her ancestors to be.
Urban Savannah, Athens, Macon, Columbus, and Augusta aren't significant enough to make a blip.
Eta: point being, time to secede and leave Atlanta to maintain its third-world polity.
This post was edited on 11/6/18 at 3:11 pm
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:08 pm to Aubie Spr96
I would definitely accelerate my permanent exit from GA.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:11 pm to jnethe1
quote:
Do you think that the socialist/liberals take control of your state? And if so is this a long term change or a temporary one?
Dude it’s Florida. People move here and live on the coasts for half the year to get out of other states. Depends on who votes. It’s kind of a purple state in a lot of nationwide elections. Nelson has been elected numerous times, it’s nothing new. Gillum is the worry but I think he’s more an Obama like charismatic that low info voters like.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:12 pm to jnethe1
All the polls are BS. DeSantis will win and Scott, maybe. Lots of folks like Nelson.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:32 pm to NotoriousFSU
quote:
It's absurd a southern state has a candidate for gun confiscation and it's this close.
Georgia is not really a southern state. Have you been to Atlanta lately?
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:33 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
There are still some very good, family people in the state. Unfortunately, they are being "outnumbered" by the needy and will eventually be the minority
GFY. Really.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:39 pm to jbond
quote:
Atlanta resident here. From the radio and anecdotes, lines many places are longer than in 2016. 538 gave a 2/3 probability of Kemp winning. It feels like a tossup, and more likely than not heading to a runoff (we have a libertarian on the ballot and if no one gets >50% that'll happen). I've got a tiny feeling Abrams wins, but it's just a hunch. Neither result would surprise.
You've lost your fricking mind.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:43 pm to jnethe1
I see Kemp winning in a run off, but man do I find him shady as shite at times. That being said Abrams is even worse.
Economically Kemp is alright but man his stance on social issues is pretty much a cookie cutter southern Republican
Economically Kemp is alright but man his stance on social issues is pretty much a cookie cutter southern Republican
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:44 pm to rb
How he's probably right on the runoff and it's not insane to think she can win.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:53 pm to dawgfan24348
You're right,...Its moronic to believe she can win.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:57 pm to jnethe1
I just arrived at my polling place. A line of around 150.
The polling place a mile away has a line stretched around building
I’m in east cobb, newts old district
The polling place a mile away has a line stretched around building
I’m in east cobb, newts old district
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:59 pm to St Augustine
quote:
Gillum is the worry but I think he’s more an Obama like charismatic that low info voters like.
Gillum keeps his hands out and like Obama, he lies a lot. So Obama is a good comparison.
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