Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Historical polar motion... has fully ended | Page 11 | Political Talk
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re: Historical polar motion... has fully ended

Posted on 1/2/26 at 11:12 pm to
Posted by BlueFalcon
Aberdeen Scotland
Member since Dec 2011
3645 posts
Posted on 1/2/26 at 11:12 pm to
So not even 1 km of change per decade?

So over 5000 years we're looking at a 300 to 500 km shift in altitude max?

So Lake Charles would be looking at weather similar to Hot Springs Arkansas in 500 years?

So not exactly 'don't service your AC' type change over the next five centuries

Thanks for letting us know, we'll be ready
This post was edited on 1/2/26 at 11:17 pm
Posted by somethingdifferent
Member since Aug 2024
1878 posts
Posted on 1/2/26 at 11:13 pm to
quote:

I am going to need a 140IQ person to explain how Orlando is above sea level and Vail ski resort is under water?
Because if the Earth's core decouples, elevations will change all over the world. Just because something is at 7k feet today, doesn't mean it will stay that way
Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
45161 posts
Posted on 1/2/26 at 11:19 pm to
That’s not how any of this works
Posted by somethingdifferent
Member since Aug 2024
1878 posts
Posted on 1/2/26 at 11:21 pm to
quote:

If you want this taken seriously (and I mean really seriously), here’s what would be required:
1. Persistence over 6–12 months
2. Agreement across:
• IERS C04
• Independent VLBI solutions
• LOD anomalies
3. A physical mechanism, not just curve-fitting
4. Error analysis showing this is not endpoint bias
5. Demonstration that previous Chandler collapses are qualitatively different
Excellent overview. We'll apparently have a good idea by June but could know sooner

quote:

Now it’s time to slow the inference down to match the physics
I think this is why most physicists are in a wait and see mode. The data will paint the picture
Posted by somethingdifferent
Member since Aug 2024
1878 posts
Posted on 1/2/26 at 11:25 pm to
quote:

Who the frick are these people supposed to be and why should I care about them?
Feel free to investigate on your own. People are getting bent out of shape for the wrong reason. A person looked at some data from NOAA and IERS and make an extrapolation. He apparently showed his mathematical calculations. Yes, there are alternative viewpoints. It's either going to happen or not. We don't know right now. We should have a much clearer picture by June. If the data is an anamoly, stand down from red alert. Otherwise, get your earthly affairs in order because we're about to experience turbulence
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
42632 posts
Posted on 1/2/26 at 11:28 pm to
Hey, listen OP.

I was just talking to some buddies the other day about a hike I did and how much shift there has been in magnetic north since the 70s and early 80s (based on an old topo map I had sent to me by one of my men, that he found from this thing we did in Latin America).

So when I got home, after crunching the numbers on the AT with an old SOCOM buddy of mine ... we did an overlay and then put the question to grok .... and it blew our minds. It has drifted about 750 miles from where it was on the old maps we were issued on that mission.

Then we called another one of our buddies, over in Atlanta, who had been a base commander up in Alaska, and presented him with the numbers and he told us he was aware that the drift was accelerating even back before he retired 10 years ago.

For any map readers who have ever relied on topo maps and had to put a compass on a map ... it's a dramatic thing to suddenly see and realize.

I don't see how it cannot be a potential catastrophe in the making ... but Grok says there's nothing to worry about any time soon. It's arching toward Siberia.

Posted by somethingdifferent
Member since Aug 2024
1878 posts
Posted on 1/2/26 at 11:28 pm to
quote:

That’s not how any of this works
It has already been stated that there are alternative viewpoints. The data isn't conclusive right now but it's definitely something that's possible
Posted by SouthEasternKaiju
SouthEast... you figure it out
Member since Aug 2021
45161 posts
Posted on 1/2/26 at 11:55 pm to
Basic geological knowledge says different.
Posted by International_Aggie
Member since Oct 2012
2006 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 2:34 am to
I can't believe I live in a time where I'd get to experience at least 10 apocalypses in 25 years.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
136994 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 5:41 am to
quote:

The rebuttal is Core-Mantle Decoupling. If the magnetic field fails, the crust and mantle become "free" from the core.
First off, the magnetic field generated in Earth's outer (molten fluid) core is caused by, not the cause of, coupling. "Coupling" itself is gravitational, not magnetic.

A shift in flow of Earth's molten outer core can cause a magnetic shift, and this has happened many times in Earth's history.

However, there is no scenario where the crust and/or mantle becomes “free” of the core in a physical sense, and as stated, there is no circumstance in which Earth meets any Dzhanibekov criterion, much less all of them.
This post was edited on 1/3/26 at 5:49 am
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
136994 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 5:44 am to
quote:

It's just an acknowledgement of something that could happen based on data we currently have.
No it isn't.
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
2820 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 5:52 am to
Well I'll be 65 next week. This better not frick around with my Gunsmoke or Bonanza episodes!

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298305 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 5:54 am to
Interesting to theorize but it will be inconsequential.

Posted by ChineseBandit58
Pearland, TX
Member since Aug 2005
48856 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 6:59 am to
quote:

A shift in flow of Earth's molten outer core can cause a magnetic shift, and this has happened many times in Earth's history.

However, there is no scenario where the crust and/or mantle becomes “free” of the core in a physical sense, and as stated, there is no circumstance in which Earth meets any Dzhanibekov criterion, much less all of them.

How this is not common knowledge is an indictment of our educational system - HOWEVER the larger problem is the ease with which nonsense 'theories' such as this can find any support whatsoever.

Shows total ignorance wrt any aspect of how the universe works or the basics of logical reasoning.
Posted by The Maj
Member since Sep 2016
30551 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 7:09 am to
This world will end one day…. Get your heart right with Jesus and quit worrying about it…
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
79141 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 7:52 am to
quote:

If you are in America, and find some weird way to survive the oceanic flooding and violence that comes with that, move as far northeast as you can. Before that, only those that find themselves 5000ft above sea level have even a remote shot. Ground salinity from oceanic flooding will render farming useless for a couple years before rain has washed the grounds clean. Greenland is ideal for the new equator.
You quit the meds?
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
136994 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:25 am to
quote:

HOWEVER the larger problem is the ease with which nonsense 'theories' such as this can find any support whatsoever.
As I said when science sold out to climate change and some of the healthcare bullshite, credibility lost is not easily regained. Lack of credibility opens the doors for folks to thumb their nose at basic physics (because all mainstream science is called to question) and instead make bank off of pseudointellectual fantasy. Sad.
Posted by BTROleMisser
Murica'
Member since Nov 2017
11378 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:03 am to
So, what does this mean? What is the result of the polar shift? Don’t just leave us hanging, brah.
Posted by Rodo
Houston
Member since Aug 2011
1846 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:13 am to
Man is the causation for pole change. Man’s use of electronic devices has affected the magnetic fields of earth and created an existential threat. We must immediately ban cell phones, computers, and A/Cs. The tipping point will occur within 5 years. We must act NOW!

Rodo
Posted by somethingdifferent
Member since Aug 2024
1878 posts
Posted on 1/3/26 at 11:22 pm to
quote:

Basic geological knowledge says different
Not according to some scientists
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